Best Super Bowl LVII Bets

by WagerHome Blog on February 8, 2023

If you have been placing bets all season long on the NFL, you can’t wait until Super Bowl Sunday. But even if you’ve only dabbled in NFL betting, or are a complete novice to the pastime, the Super Bowl is an attractive betting event.

An estimated 50 million Americans will place wagers on the Super Bowl, putting over $16 billion on the line. It’s huge business, it’s an unofficial national holiday, it’s the biggest winter party in the U.S.A., and you need to get prepared.

Total Points

The 1.5-point spread that favors the Eagles doesn’t come with any clear patterns, so for the business of naming the “best bets” we’re going to avoid that. But when it comes to a totals bet, which currently has a line of 50.5, we have history to look at.

In each of the last four Super Bowls it is the UNDER that has won this bet. And in two of those the UNDER won by big numbers.

We love offensive football, and the betting public would prefer to root for scoring, as opposed to rooting against it. So they tend to like the OVER. But as you can see from recent history, it’s not always the best way to go.

Coin Toss

If you are planning to bet on the result of the coin toss – heads or tails – there is of course a 50% chance you will win your bet. But if you are betting on the winner of the game based on the winner of the coin toss, buyer beware. Each of the last eight teams to win the coin toss have gone on to lose the game.

This bizarre and inexplicable streak began when the Seahawks won the coin toss but lost to the Patriots, and it extends through last year’s game where the toss was won by the Bengals, but the game was won by the Rams.

Eagles First Half Points

Right now the Eagles first half over/under is 12.5 points. Considering that they averaged a league-best 18.2 points in the first half during the regular season, and have scored 28 and 21 first-half points in the postseason, this is an excellent bet to place.

Gatorade Shower

The final bet of the night takes place after the game is over – the color of the Gatorade shower the winning coach takes as the team celebrates its Super Bowl championship. In Super Bowl LIV the Chiefs showered Andy Reid in orange, which is paying +250 this season.

Super Bowl

When the Eagles won in Super Bowl LII, the color of the Gatorade was yellow, which is paying +150.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBest Super Bowl LVII Bets

The Super Bowl Betting Extravaganza

by WagerHome Blog on February 2, 2023

For football fans, and fans of football betting, there is no bigger day on the calendar than Super Bowl Sunday. It is a day-long celebration of the NFL season, and more than 40 million Americans are expected to supplement that celebration by putting money down on the game.

Sports betting has never been more popular, the NFL has never been more popular, and marrying the two is a match made in prop betting heaven.

The Super Bowl doesn’t kick off until February 12, but you can start making your prop bets right now.

Cross-Sport Parlay Proposition Bets

Some of the most interesting and engaging bets offered on the Super Bowl are combination bets that include Super Bowl props with props from other sports that weekend. One bet being offered is for Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco to go over 69.5 yards rushing, and for the Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo to go over 29.5 points.

There are also bets that tie in Patrick Mahomes’ passing totals to the winner of the Phoenix Open, taking place on the other side of Phoenix from the Super Bowl.

In fact, you don’t even have to wait until next weekend for these cross-sport parlays to begin. You combine events this weekend, like the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am or this Saturday’s UFC event, with propositions from the Super Bowl.

Head-to-Head Prop Bets

Another type of prop that shows up during the Super Bowl that you don’t see very often during the regular season are head-to-head props. Similar to what you can find with golf bets and auto racing bets, these are bets between two players, and you wager on which will end the game with the most yards.

They also have defensive head-to-head props that involve tackles. There is no over/under on the bet. If the running back you wagered on finishes with just 11 yards, you will still win if his head-to-head opponent only gets 10 yards.

Super Bowl Exotic Props

super bowl

The name “exotic prop” conjures up images of a tropical island proposition bet. What is meant by exotic is props that don’t actually involve the game. Bets on the coin toss (heads/tails), the over/under on the length of the National Anthem, and the color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning head coach.

You can bet on which beer commercial will air first, which car commercial is first, and which celebrities we will see in the crowd. And of course you can place a wager on who the MVP of the game thanks first, mom or dad.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogThe Super Bowl Betting Extravaganza

NFL Awards Biggest Potential Wins

by WagerHome Blog on January 31, 2023

As the NFL takes a week off to get ready for the Super Bowl, let’s check in on their end-of-season awards, and which bets are most likely to cash in.

Most Valuable Player

The biggest NFL award of the night, and heading into this final week of betting, there isn’t a whole lot of doubt that Patrick Mahomes is going to win. He was paying +800 back in August, and the season’s leader in yards and touchdowns is now paying just -750.

Jalen Hurts was voted 2nd NFL Team All-Pro, making him the only other realistic contender, and he’s paying a distant +1500.

Offensive Player of the Year

Often seen as the award for the best offensive player who isn’t a quarterback, there are two non-quarterbacks on the list. Tyreek Hill was a favorite early in the season, but he’s at +1400 today. Justin Jefferson began the season paying +2000, and now he is the huge favorite at -800.

Defensive Player of the Year

NFL

These are regular season awards, so the big game from Chris Jones in the AFC Championship Game does not matter. He is one of the three finalists, but a long shot at +10000.

The favorite is Nick Bosa of the 49ers, going from +1200 in the preseason to -1100 today. Preseason favorite Micah Parson still has a chance at +600. When the season kicked off he was paying +900.

Offensive Rookie of the Year

This is one of the most interesting awards of the year, with three finalists that are all worthy candidates. It comes down to what you think the award means. Does it go to the best player all season long, or the player with the biggest impact?

If it’s the latter then you like Brock Purdy at +700. The 49ers quarterback wasn’t even on the betting boards in August. If you favor a full season of contributions, it’s either Garrett Wilson at -200 or Kenneth Walker at +450.

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Aidan Hutchinson of the Lions was the preseason favorite at +500, and he had a very good second half to the season to keep his name in the conversation. But Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner is the first rookie corner to be 1st Team All-Pro in 41 years, and at -1200 he is the runaway favorite. He was paying +1000 when the season began.

Coach of the Year

The NFL favorite is Nick Sirianni at -175, although the Eagles have a loaded roster and were picked to win the NFC by a lot of pundits. Kyle Shanahan is at +300, and deservedly so after the musical chairs he had to play at NFL quarterback. Doug Pederson, from No. 1 draft pick to division champion in just one year, is paying +900.

Pay Per Head Software

There is still time to bet on most of these awards, and then of course Super Bowl Sunday is right around the corner. And if you are an independent bookmaker, don’t head into the big game without the aid of a big pay per head software provider.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Awards Biggest Potential Wins

Betting the NFL Divisional Round

by WagerHome Blog on January 17, 2023

Annually it is the best weekend of the year. The fringe playoff teams have been removed from the mix, and only the eight best teams remain, all with the ability to win the NFL Super Bowl.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

The Jacksonville Jaguars spent the first 30 minutes of their Wild Card game against the Chargers looking like a team that had picked No. 1 overall in the last two NFL drafts. They spent the final 30 minutes looking like a team that can pull off an upset in Kansas City. Who shows up this Saturday?

Probably a team that is in-between. We will see a Jacksonville that definitely belongs, and is definitely on the rise, but they simply don’t yet have the consistency of the Chiefs. And especially at Arrowhead. The rested Chiefs get a big NFL day from Patrick Mahomes and win this game by 10 points.

New York Giants (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

We’re not going to take it as far as predicting a Giants win, but Daniel Jones has been on a tear since he and the Giants were beaten badly by the Eagles in NFL Week 14, and Jalen Hurts isn’t 100 percent. Just how much pain Hurts’ shoulder is still causing is unclear, but in Week 18 he admitted that he was causing him issues.

The rest of the Eagles team is better than the Giants, and that will be enough to get Philly to the NFC Championship. But look for New York to make it a closer game than expected.

Cincinnati Bengals (+5) at Buffalo Bills

NFL

When the Bengals and Bills were stopped in Week 17, Cincinnati was up 7-3 and Joe Burrow was looking on point. But since then the Bengals have lost two more offensive lineman, and they head into Buffalo more short-handed than in the Monday game that was canceled.

Both NFL teams struggled to put away backup quarterbacks in the Wild Card round, but Josh Allen’s turnovers are becoming a problem. Even with the offensive line issues Burrow will take advantage of that, just like Miami, and Cincinnati will make this a very close game.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

Will the real Dallas Cowboys please stand up? Are they the team that struggled against the Commanders and got beat in Week 18, or the team that blew out the Bucs? They are both, and that is the problem for them in this matchup.

San Francisco has been the most consistent NFL team over the final two months of the season, and on both sides of the ball. Even if the good Cowboys show up, it won’t matter. The 49ers are a machine, and they will cover this spread.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBetting the NFL Divisional Round

Top NBA Friday Night Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 13, 2023

The NBA is gearing up for a big holiday weekend with seven-afternoon games on Monday for Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Before the league gets to Monday, the weekend begins with nine games on Friday, including a pair of nationally televised Western Conference showdowns on Friday.

This NBA weekend also marks the halfway point of the regular season for most teams, and Friday’s action includes multiple teams battling to get over .500 and stay in the playoff race.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (+8.5)

NBA

The defending champion Golden State Warriors are (20-21) as they head to Texas for a nationally televised Friday night game against the San Antonio Spurs (13-29).The Warriors have struggled on the road this season with a 3-16 record, and they are 18-22-1 ATS on the season. The Spurs are 21-21 ATS, but just 8-14 at home, and they enter Friday’s game on a three-game losing streak.

San Antonio is 5-22 against Western Conference teams, including a 37-point loss to the Warriors in November. Golden State has Steph Curry back in the lineup, and with two days off since Tuesday’s loss, he should be good to play against the Spurs. Look for the Warriors to win, but the Spurs cover the number.

Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz (-5.5)

The Orlando Magic (16-26) are on the tail end of a five-game road trip as they get ready to take on the Utah Jazz (21-23). So far on their trip out west, the Magic are 2-1 with wins over Golden State and Portland. They are 6-14 on the road overall and 22-19-1 ATS, while the Jazz are 24-10 ATS and 8-16 at home.

Orlando has scored at least 109 points in five straight games, but the Jazz rank third in the league in scoring at 117.3 ppg. Look for this one to be a race to 120 points as it sails over the 232.5 total points.

Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings (-9.5)

These NBA teams are headed in opposite directions as the Houston Rockets (10-31) have lost eight in a row while the Sacramento Kings (22-18) have won five of eight. The Kings lead the NBA in scoring, averaging 119.2 ppg, and they shoot nearly 50% from the field. Sacramento has topped 130 points in three straight games, and they’ve scored at least 110 in eight of their last 10.

Meanwhile, the Rockets rank 29th in scoring (109.2 ppg), and they allow 116.3 ppg, which is in the bottom five in the NBA. They have allowed at least 130 points in two of their last three games and have lost by double digits six times during their losing streak.

The Kings should win this game based on the way the teams have played the last two weeks; look for them to cover a double-digit spread.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogTop NBA Friday Night Betting Picks

Betting NFL Win Totals After Schedule Release

by WagerHome Blog on May 12, 2020

Apart from draft day, there is no better window into how the NFL season might play out than when the league releases the upcoming schedule and win totals odds are released. Bye weeks, short weeks, early games in the East, and total mileage traveled for the season all play a role in how each week will unfold. And it all matters when you look at placing futures bets on NFL season win totals.

Here is a look at three of the more intriguing teams to watch this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Over/Under 10 Wins)

It’s hard to say that Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski will add three wins to Tampa Bay’s 2019 total of seven, but a favorable schedule might. The Buccaneers will play the Chiefs, Vikings, Packers, and their two division games against the Saints. But the Kansas City game is at home in late November, and then they get a bye before hosting the Vikings in mid-December.

With a lot of new parts to this offense, being able to put off those two big games until the end of the season is big. Meanwhile, in September they start tough, at New Orleans. But then they get the Panthers, Broncos, Chargers, and Bears – which could all very easily be wins.

Indianapolis Colts (Over/Under 8.5 Wins)

Indianapolis has another new quarterback in Philip Rivers, which will make the Colts better. But what really makes this an intriguing bet is that, based on projected win totals for the 2020 season, it is the Colts with the easiest schedule in the NFL.

Inside their division, everyone is anticipated to take a step back. Jacksonville is in total rebuild mode, the Texans have had a brutal offseason, and the Titans are not expected to repeat last year’s trip to the AFC Championship Game.

And in the first seven weeks of the season, Indy gets the Jags, Jets, Bears, Browns, Bengals, and Lions. It would not be surprising at all if they start the year 6-1 (with the lone tough matchup against Minnesota in Week 2).

New England Patriots (Over/Under 9 Wins)

Maybe it’s a fool’s errand to bet against Bill Belichick. But not only do the Patriots have a young quarterback whose growth might suffer from an unorthodox offseason and training camp, they play a brutal schedule in 2020.

win totals

Week 1 vs. Miami – not easy. Week 2 at Seattle – brutal. Week 4 at Kansas City – brutal. Week 7 vs. San Francisco – brutal. Week 10 vs. Baltimore – brutal. And then not once, but twice, do the Patriots play games 3,000 miles from home in Los Angeles. And with just four days between the two.

Add in two games against Buffalo and a trip to Houston, and it’s very easy to see how this team could fall short of nine wins.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBetting NFL Win Totals After Schedule Release

Betting on Burrow: Time to Bet Bengals Win Total for 2020?

by WagerHome Blog on April 30, 2020

It’s not often that people are excited to bet on the Cincinnati Bengals. But after a good draft that saw them pick Joe Burrow as their new starting quarterback – as expected – there is a buzz with the Bengals that hasn’t been there in many years. So much buzz in fact that the over/under on their 2020 win total is now 6.0.

So is this a time to put money down on Cincinnati? Can the Heisman Trophy winner make that much of a difference and make the Bengals good buys for the 2020 season? The history on that is mixed, and the answer is far from certain.

Joe Burrow vs. Peyton Manning vs. Andrew Luck

The Indianapolis Colts have been in a position to grab franchise-saving quarterbacks with the first overall pick twice since 1998 in Peyton Manning out of Tennessee and Andrew Luck from Stanford.

The year prior to Manning’s selection, the Colts were 3-13. The year with Manning as their rookie quarterback, the Colts were also 3-13. So there was no improvement there, although in year 2, Manning led Indy to a 13-3 record.

For Luck, the improvement was far more immediate. The Colts were 2-14 before he was drafted and 11-5 in his rookie year. So big turnarounds can happen.

Joe Burrow vs. Baker Mayfield vs. Kyler Murray

Burrow’s selection marks the third straight season that a quarterback has gone first overall. In 2018 the Cleveland Browns selected Baker Mayfield, while in 2019, the Arizona Cardinals picked Kyler Murray. All three of them won the Heisman Trophy the year before their selection.

burrow

It’s worth noting that neither Mayfield or Murray were the sure things that Burrow is thought to be, but both did lead their teams to improved records. Mayfield only started 13 games in 2018, but the Browns improved in the win column by seven victories. Easier to do when you were 0-16 the year before, but still, that’s a very noticeable improvement.

Murray, for his part, improved the Cardinals from 3-13 to 5-10-1. So not as big a jump, but still noticeable.

Joe Burrow vs. Andy Dalton

One big difference in the Burrow selection is that the Bengals weren’t saddled last year with a terrible quarterback. Andy Dalton has never been exciting but has always been solid.

The Browns, Cardinals, and Colts didn’t have a competent NFL quarterback as their starter prior to drafting their young superstar. So just how much will Burrow move the needle in Cincinnati?

Oddsmakers say they’ll go from two to six wins. It’s a tall order, but definitely not impossible.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBetting on Burrow: Time to Bet Bengals Win Total for 2020?