MLB Postseason Betting Guide

MLB Postseason Betting Guide

by WagerHome Blog on October 3, 2023

The four best MLB teams in baseball’s regular season won’t play their first playoff game until Saturday, October 7.

That gives them six full days off, begging the question if a hot baseball team wants to keep playing or if resting players and setting your rotation is the better way to go.

We shall find out as baseball debuts its new postseason format of 12 teams and four MLB Wild Card series that are each best-of-three.

MLB Wild Card Matchups

Texas Rangers (+135) at Tampa Bay Rays (-160)

As the top seed in the American League, the Baltimore Orioles will get the winner of the Rangers at Rays series. Texas is in the playoffs for the first time since 2016, while the Rays are in the playoffs for the fifth straight year.

Toronto Blue Jays (-105) at Minnesota Twins (-115)

In the early 1990s, these were two of the best teams in baseball. The Minnesota Twins won the World Series in 1991, and the Toronto Blue Jays won in 1992 and 1993. Neither has been back since and of the 12 playoff teams, only the Brewers and Orioles have been absent from the fall classic for longer.

The winner will play the defending World Series champion Houston Astros.

Miami Marlins (+160) at Philadelphia Phillies (-190)

The winner of the Marlins-Phillies series will head to Atlanta to take on the top-seeded Braves. The Phillies are the defending National League champions, they are the higher seed, and they are the favorites to win this series. However, in 13 games this regular season, the Marlins came out on top 7-6.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+130) at Milwaukee Brewers (-155)

It’s been more than 40 years since the Milwaukee Brewers were American League champions and playing in the World Series. Now they are National League Central champions for the fourth time and hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks, a World Series winner 22 years ago.

The winner of this series will be at Dodger Stadium on Saturday.

MLB

MLB World Series Odds

  • Atlanta Braves (+310)
  • Houston Astros (+450)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (+450)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+700)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (+1000)
  • Philadelphia Phillies (+1300)
  • Texas Rangers (+1600)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (+1600)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (+1700)
  • Minnesota Twins (+2000)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks (+3000)
  • Miami Marlins (+3500)

The Braves finished this MLB season with the best record in baseball, and the 2021 World Series champions enter the postseason as the favorite to win another World Series. The Houston Astros are at +450 to repeat as champions, with the Los Angeles Dodgers also at +450.

The Baltimore Orioles, a 100-game winner for the first time in 42 years, have the shortest odds in the American League at +700.

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WagerHome BlogMLB Postseason Betting Guide
MLB

The Best and Worst of the MLB Trade Deadline

by WagerHome Blog on August 4, 2023

You’re either competing for a World Series, or you are trying to get the roster that will enable you to compete for a World Series. There is no other way to be a general manager in the MLB. (The A’s, working to do neither until they have successfully forced their way to Las Vegas, is the exception.)

For some teams, getting that roster for the MLB World Series push means that you are trying to win now. For others, 2024 or 2025 becomes the target date. Partnerships between the two contrasting plans is how we get trades.

The Teams With a Plan

The Houston Astros (+550 to win the MLB World Series) are always looking to win now. They are the defending MLB World Series champions, and one of the keys to that win, Justin Verlander, is back in Houston. He was traded by the Mets to the Astros, where he is a proven winner.

Up I-45, the Texas Rangers (+850 to win the World Series) grabbed Verlander’s teammate in New York, Max Scherzer, as well as left-hander starter Jordan Montgomery from the Cardinals. The Astros and Rangers are locked in a battle for the American League West, and now they have the Hall of Fame arms to create a great pennant race.

The Mets are clearly not looking to win this year, even though that was what they were thinking when they signed Scherzer for 2022 and Verlander for 2023. For Scherzer, they now have shortstop prospect Luisangel Acuna, for Verlander, they got outfielder Drew Gilbert and Ryan Clifford, and for closer David Robertson, they received catcher Ronald Hernandez and infielder Marco Vargas.

The Best and Worst of the MLB Trade Deadline

Too many teams are unwilling to change courses so quickly, but kudos to the Mets for reading the writing on the wall and setting themselves up nicely for the future.

What’s the Plan?

The Kansas City Royals were the MLB World Series champion eight years ago, but it might as well be 100. They are on pace to have their worst season in franchise history. Trading away Nicky Lopez was a good idea, but for 29-year-old reliever Taylor Hearn, a pitcher was just designated for assignment by the Rangers? It’s an unusual move for a team appearing to be lost at sea.

At the top of the A.L. Central is Minnesota, but all they did was trade middle relievers. No other moves were made, no real push to become a winner, and no real effort to end their 32-year World Series drought. Strange.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogThe Best and Worst of the MLB Trade Deadline

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