College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2021

It has been an unusual bowl season to be sure, with teams pulling out, replacement teams being found, and some bowls just outright canceled.

However, two games this Friday that we know will be played are the College Football Playoff Semifinals, taking place in Dallas and Miami.

Cotton Bowl – No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Cincinnati (+13.5)

Alabama was an eyelash away from losing its final regular season game and not even making it to this point. But they won that game in the closing seconds, and then by virtue of their win over Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, they are the No. 1 ranked team heading into the CFP.

They certainly look like the better team when compared to the Bearcats, but are they two touchdowns better?

Cincinnati finished hot, beating the spread in its final three games. But before that, they went four straight without covering and only beat Navy and Tulsa by one score. Their overall strength of schedule ranks 45th; Alabama’s is first.

Bryce Young is fantastic, and if the Heisman winner duplicates his play from the SEC title game, Alabama cruises. But the Bearcats are physical up front, and Desmond Ridder is also a talented quarterback.

College Football playoffs

Heisman winning quarterback Bryce Young and the Alabama Crimson Tide take on Cincinnati in the Collège Football playoffs.

Alabama wins, but Cincinnati keeps it under 10 points.

Orange Bowl – No 2. Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5)

 

Instead of pining for the game they could have had against Cincinnati, had Michigan not been passed over by Alabama, they are preparing to take on the team that was No. 1 in the nation for most of the season, Georgia.

The Bulldogs are the favorite because of just how great they looked from September through November, beating FBS teams by an average margin of victory of 32 points.

They did get run out of the building by Alabama, but Michigan doesn’t have an offense nearly as potent as what Georgia just faced, and that’s why the Bulldogs are favored to win by more than a touchdown.

The Wolverines counter their own great defense that hammered both Ohio State and Iowa to win the Big Ten. But the Michigan defense, while great, is a tick below that of Georgia. 

Michigan has two great running backs in Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum, but just how good can they be against Georgia? Quarterback Cade McNamara has been solid down the stretch, but he can’t take over games.

Georgia will simply be too much for Michigan, and they will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogCollege Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 6, 2021

Hello darkness, my old friend…

For those of you (us) that thought finally we were going to avoid having to watch Alabama in the College Football Playoff, not so fast. ‘Bama is back in the CFP for the seventh time in eight seasons on the strength of a dominating win over Georgia to win the SEC.

The win was good enough, and Nick Saban’s history is decorated enough for the Crimson Tide to be the favorite to win the National Championship.

  • Alabama (+120)
  • Georgia (+140)
  • Michigan (+700)
  • Cincinnati (+1600)

Alabama has the best coach in the country, regularly the best roster in the country, and has quarterback Bryce Young, who is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Even though this was a disappointing season by Tuscaloosa standards, they are the favorite, and it’s easy to see why.

No. 1 Alabama (-14) vs. No. 4 Cincinnati – Cotton Bowl

The four teams that made it in did it without controversy. But the seeding of the four teams is not without argument. As good as Cincinnati has been this season, everyone wanted to be seeded first so they could play the Bearcats.

Alabama gets that honor, jumping from No. 3 to No. 1 because of their win over Georgia. As selection committee chair Gary Barta explained, “Not only did Alabama beat Georgia – the way they beat them. They controlled the game, pretty much from start to finish.”

Couldn’t Barta say the same thing about Michigan, who Alabama leapfrogged? In fact, you could say it, but without the “pretty much,” because Michigan’s 42-3 was every bit start to finish dominating win.

Saying that Alabama’s one win was more impressive than Michigan’s last two wins is questionable, but that’s what the committee did, and the Tide gets Cincinnati in the semifinal. However, they will have to do it without star wide receiver John Metchie III, who is out with a significant ACL injury.

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5) – Orange Bowl

If there was one knock on Georgia, it was wins over quality teams. They played lots of great football this season, but their schedule was without any top-10 teams. Until they faced No. 3 Alabama, and that didn’t go so well.

Now they get a team that has dominating wins over a pair of top-10 teams, Wisconsin and Ohio State. And Michigan just won the Big Ten with a blowout over Iowa, 42-3.

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

But we know that Georgia is still really good. Michigan still has Jim Harbaugh as its head coach, and his ability to win big games is still in doubt. And being runner-up in the SEC is still considered just as good as winning most other conferences.

And for all of those reasons, Georgia is more than a touchdown favorite to win their semifinal and set up a rematch with Alabama in the Championship Game.

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WagerHome BlogEarly College Football Playoff Betting Picks