A Big Final Weekend of College Football

by WagerHome Blog on November 21, 2023

It’s Thanksgiving, it’s the final weekend of the college football regular season, and there are still several spots in conference championship games up for grabs.

Eat your leftover turkey sandwiches, turn on the TV, and place your wagers – just as the Pilgrims envisioned.

Texas Tech at No. 7 Texas (-13)

The Big 12 is a bit of jumbled mess behind Texas. If the Longhorns beat Texas Tech on Friday, they are in the Big 12 Championship Game in Arlington, Texas. Oklahoma State is also in if they beat BYU on Saturday.

But if either of these teams lose, Oklahoma could get in, Kansas State could get in, or Texas and Oklahoma State could still get in with losses. We could have as many as four teams tied for two spots, making for a great weekend of college football chaos.

No. 15 Oregon State at No. 6 Oregon (-13.5)

Washington is already in the Pac-12 Championship Game, and Oregon has the best chance at joining them. Win the “Civil War” over rival Oregon State, and the Ducks are going to Las Vegas.

But the Beavers are no pushover. They almost beat the Huskies last week, and they did beat the Ducks last year. And if they are to win this Friday, then Arizona gets a chance to advance to the Pac-12 Championship Game over Arizona State on Saturday.

No. 2 Ohio State at No. 3 Michigan (-3.5)

Nevermind the nonsense going on with Jim Harbaugh. This game, called The Game, is bigger than any one head coach. Unless that coach is Woody Hayes, who famously risked running out of gas, rather than filling his tank in “that state up north.”

His attitude sums up the entire feeling of this rivalry. The fans, the school, the alumni, the states, nothing but hatred for the other.

Both teams are in the top-five, both teams have designs on making it to the College Football Playoff, and both want to win this game more than any other on their schedule. The winner in Ann Arbor will face Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game.

No. 8 Alabama at Auburn

Alabama is already headed to the SEC Championship Game to play Georgia, but winning the Iron Bowl before they do that could set them for a shot at the College Football Playoff. If they beat Auburn and Georgia, it will be hard to deny the Crimson Tide. But a loss at Auburn, which would be a second loss this season, would likely sink any chance at a national championship.

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WagerHome BlogA Big Final Weekend of College Football

College Football Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 31, 2023

College Football Betting Preview

Labor Day weekend is just around the corner, which means everyone gets a day off to have a last-summer barbecue. Far more important, however, is that with the calendar ticking over to September, we get a full slate of college football games.

Every team in the AP Top 25 is in action this week, and one of the games features a pair of top-10 teams squaring off on Sunday.

Boise State at No. 10 Washington (-14)

The Pac-12 is still a conference for one more year, and one of the best in the conference is Washington, with quarterback Michael Penix Jr. This team is one of the best in the country and is getting College Playoff talk, largely because of Penix.

Boise State, however, is no slouch. They won eight of their last 10 games a year ago, including a win in the Frisco Bowl. They return quarterback Taylen Green, who led an offense that topped 30 points eight times in 2022.

It’s only Week 1, but Washington wants to justify its preseason hype with a big win. The two touchdown point spread is a little challenging against a team like Boise, but the under on 58.5 is not. Both offenses are good, but Boise has gone under in 10 of its last 11 games on the road.

No. 5 LSU (-2.5) at No. 8 Florida State

The game of the weekend takes place in Orlando. A year ago these teams played, and neither was ranked. Now 12 months later they are both in the top-10 and expecting to compete for a national championship.

Both teams ended last season with 10 wins, and both teams got bowl victories. Florida State beat Oklahoma in the Cheez-It Bowl, while LSU manhandled Purdue in the Citrus Bowl.

This game has everything you want, including two very good quarterbacks returning from last season, and a neutral site to give the game a postseason feel. In the end LSU’s defense is the best of the four units on the field, and that should be enough to get the Tigers the win and the cover.

No. 9 Clemson (-13) at Duke

College Football Betting Preview

Because it’s the first weekend, and because the NFL hasn’t kicked off yet, along with our Sunday game in Florida, we’re getting a Monday game in Durham, North Carolina.

It’s an ACC battle featuring the defending conference champs, Clemson, taking on the surprise of 2022, the 9-4 Duke Blue Devils.

Is a victory over Clemson possible? Sure, if these Tigers are as uneven as they were a year ago. For our purposes, the numbers that matter are 5-1. That is how well Duke did against the spread as the underdog. Roll with the home team to cover.

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Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on September 6, 2021

The second full Saturday of the college football season offers us a number of great betting options.

Georgia (-26.5) vs. UAB

It was a great start to the season for Georgia, as they knocked off Clemson with a suffocating defense. The offense only put up 10 points, but that will not be the case this week against UAB.

The Blazers also got off the good start, beating Jackson State, 31-0. But their great game through the air will not materialize against the Bulldogs. Georgia is a big winner in this one, and they cover the spread by winning by four touchdowns.

Colorado (+17) vs. Texas A&M

As good as Texas A&M is, if not for a pair of missed fields by Kent State in the fourth quarter on Saturday, they would have failed to cover the spread. Still, the nearly 600 yards of offense was impressive from the Aggies.

Colorado is a much tougher test than Kent State, as one of the surprise teams in the Pac-12 last season and as an easy winner over Northern Colorado last weekend.

Last year the Buffaloes were 4-2 against the spread, and with this week’s game being played at Empower Field in Denver, the extra energy from the bigger crowd will have CU covering this 17-spread.

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

Missouri (+5) vs. Kentucky

In a somewhat uninspired effort, Missouri won its first game, 34-24, and failed to cover the spread. The Tigers, however, are better than that and are expected to battle it out with Kentucky for third place in the SEC East.

Kentucky did cover the spread in its first win of the season, 45-10 over Louisiana Monroe. They get the Tigers at home, which helps account for the five-point spread. Last season Kentucky was also favored in this matchup, but it was Mizzou winning by 10 points.

The Tigers may not pull off the outright win as they did in 2020, but look for them to keep it inside the five-point spread.

Michigan (-6) vs. Washington

Michigan may have its quarterback. Cade McNamara was the highest-graded Power Five quarterback in the country last week by Pro Football Focus, as he led the Wolverines to an easy 47-14 win, which covered the 16.5-point spread.

Washington began the season in an opposite fashion, losing a stunner at home to FCS Montana, 13-7. Huskies quarterback Dyan Morris threw three interceptions in the losing effort.

This point spread actually opened at only five before rising up to its current six points. Washington isn’t nearly as bad as they looked against Montana, but that game shows they aren’t nearly as good as Michigan.

The Wolverines roll and cover the six points easily at home.

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college football

College Football Championship Saturday Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 17, 2020

There were false starts, cancellations, postponements, and held breaths for most of the college football season. But here we are. We made it. The weekend of conference championship games is ready to kick off.

Big 12 – Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5) vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State beat Oklahoma the first time these two teams met, 37-30. Since that loss, Oklahoma has won six straight games, and they’ve gone 5-1 against the spread over that streak. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won five straight and covered the spread in each of their last three wins.

This will be a high scoring game, but close. And with a game likely to finish inside a touchdown, the safe bet is to take the points. Sooners will win but will not cover.

Big Ten – Northwestern Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-20.5)

COVID-19 almost knocked Ohio State out of this game, and it wasn’t even their own positive tests. But the Big Ten ultimately righted that wrong, changed its rules, and put its best team in the conference’s championship game.

Northwestern is no push-over. They’ve had a great and balanced offense all season and earned their way into Championship Saturday by giving up just 14 points per game. Northwestern hasn’t advanced enough to win this game, but they will keep the margin under 20. Take the points.

SEC – Alabama Crimson Tide (-17) vs. Florida Gators

In the 29 year history of the SEC Championship, the Alabama Crimson Tide have been in the game 13 times. They’ve won it eight previous times, and this will be their ninth win. Florida needs this game for any chance to be considered for the College Football Playoff, but they will fall short.

Florida has a great passing attack that will find some success. But Alabama has covered the spread in six straight games, and this will be a seventh. Take the Tide and lay the points.

ACC – Clemson Tigers (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

These two teams met earlier in the college football season, with Notre Dame winning in overtime, 47-40. But there was no Trevor Lawrence in that game. Of course, Lawrence doesn’t play defense, and the Irish had their way with the Tiger defense, topping 500 total yards.

Lawrence will be the difference in the rematch, and the Tigers should win their sixth straight ACC Championship. But Notre Dame hasn’t lost a game by double digits in more than 14 months, and the Irish offense is good enough to stay close to anyone. 

Take the points. Clemson will fail to cover.

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