Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 24, 2023

We end the regular season back where it began, on the high banks of Daytona International Speedway. It is the Coke Zero Sugar 400, and there is one spot in the playoff field of 16 up for grabs.

It happened last year for Austin Dillon. He qualified for the playoffs in this very race after a wreck took out most of his competitors. The same type of thing would need to happen here, with Bubba Wallace comfortably in the final playoff spot, barring a win from a driver behind him.

Also at stake in the race is the regular season points champion. Martin Truex Jr. has the lead on the strength of six straight finishes in the top 10, along with wins this season at Dover, Sonoma, and New Hampshire. Trailing him by 39 points is Denny Hamlin.

The only result that will really change things for the drivers trying to get into the playoffs, or the drivers jockeying for playoff position, is a win. That means that chaos will reign supreme at Daytona, as there are no consolation prizes for second place.

Favorites to win Coke Zero Sugar 400

  • Chase Elliott (+1100)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1200)
  • Kyle Busch (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1200)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1200)
  • Brad Keselowski (+1200)
  • William Byron (+1400)
  • Chris Buescher (+1600)
  • Bubba Wallace (+1800)
  • Kyle Larson (+2000)
  • Ross Chastain (+2000)

Chase Elliott is not one of the 15 drivers that is already in the playoff field. That means that anything short of a win on Sunday, and he is out. Elliott was the runner-up two weeks ago in Indy, but he was just 32nd last week at Watkins Glen.

A host of drivers sit at +1200, and all of them have secured their spot in the playoffs. Hamlin, with an opportunity to win the regular season points title, is the one with the most to drive for. He has struggled on the superspeedways this season, finishing 17th, sixth, 17th, and 14th. His last win at Daytona came in 2020.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

At +1400, you have William Byron, who hasn’t been very good at the Daytona 500, but here at the Coke Zero Sugar 400, he won in 2020 after finishing second in 2019. Byron won last week at Watkins Glen, and he won in July at the superspeedway in Atlanta.

Bubba Wallace doesn’t necessarily have to win to clinch the final playoff spot, but it would guarantee it. He’s never won at Daytona, but he does have four top-five finishes at Coke Zero Sugar 400, including a runner-up last year.

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The Cup Series Playoffs begin next week, college football kicks off this Saturday, and then we’ll have the NFL, postseason baseball, basketball, and hockey will return, and the betting calendar will be as packed as ever.

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WagerHome BlogCoke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 20, 2022

This week, we are in for the M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400. Last week in New Hampshire, it was Christopher Bell taking the checkered flag and paying +1600 for the lucky bettors who put their money down on him. It was his first win of the year, and it put him into the top 10 in the current Cup Series standings.

Staying in the Northeast, NASCAR heads to Pennsylvania and the Pocono Raceway, known as the Tricky Triangle. NASCAR has been racing at the 2.5-mile track since 1974 when Richard Petty won the inaugural race.

Of note in 2022, this is the first time the Cup Series will have just one race at Pocono Raceway since 1981. For the last 40 years, they’ve run a pair of races during each visit.

Favorites to Win M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400

  • Chase Elliott (+700)
  • Denny Hamlin (+800)
  • Kyle Busch (+800)
  • Kyle Larson (+800)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
  • Ross Chastain (+1000)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1000)
  • William Byron (+1000)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1200)
  • Christopher Bell (+1600)
  • Joey Logano (+1600)

As the Cup Series leader, Chase Elliott is the favorite to win this week. It also doesn’t hurt his standing that over the last four races, he has finished first, second, first, and second last week in New Hampshire. Much like Kyle Larson’s season last year, this year, everything is going right for Elliott.

Of the collection of drivers behind Elliott at +800, you can’t really go wrong. Denny Hamlin has struggled with consistency this year, but he has four all-time wins at Pocono Raceway.

Kyle Busch is a three-time Pocono champion, and he drives the M&M’s car, which surely will be a factor in an M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 race. And Kyle Larson has nine top-five finishes this season even as overall, the year has been a disappointment.

Christopher Bell, coming off his win last week at +1600, is once again paying +1600.

M&M's Fan Appreciation 400 Betting Preview

Value Bets to Consider at M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400

Kurt Busch got back into the top-10 at New Hampshire, erasing two bad performances following his runner-up finish in Nashville. Last year at Pocono, he finished in sixth place and led for 12 laps.

Bubba Wallace made his Cup Series debut at the Pocono Raceway in 2017, and while he’s never won here, he did finish fifth in the final start at Pocono Raceway in 2021. He’s paying +2800 at this weekend’s race, coming off a third-place finish in New Hampshire last week.

This has easily been Brad Keselowski’s worst season in over a decade. He has no wins and no top-five finishes for the first time since 2010.

But he’s been very good at Pocono Raceway through the years, including a third-place finish last year – one of 11 top-five career finishes here. And he’s paying a whopping +6600.

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WagerHome BlogM&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 Betting Preview

Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

NASCAR takes a trip to Louden, New Hampshire, this weekend for the Ambetter 301. This race was originally 300 miles, but at one point, the sponsor of the event had the slogan, “tools that go the extra mile,” so naturally, an extra mile was added to the race.

Sponsorship has changed since then, but the race distance has not. This weekend’s Ambetter 301 winner will only be crowned after he goes that extra mile.

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

  • Ryan Blaney (+600)
  • Kyle Busch (+650)
  • Joey Logano (+700)
  • Denny Hamlin (+850)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
  • Ross Chastain (+900)
  • Chase Elliott (+1000)
  • Kyle Larson (+1200)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1600)
  • Christopher Bell (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has yet to take a checkered flag this year, but he is the betting favorite heading into this weekend’s Ambetter 301 in New Hampshire. Blaney has no wins, but he does have seven top-five finishes and is currently in second place in the Cup standings.

The man atop the standings is Chase Elliott, who has surprisingly long odds considering that he has three wins on the season, including two wins in his last three starts and a second-place finish in the other of those three races. Elliott has never won in New Hampshire, but he’s simply too hot right now to ignore.

Kevin Harvick, at +1600, is also playing longer odds than he deserves. He’s been very good on flat tracks this season, and on the closest facsimiles to New Hampshire – Phoenix and Richmond – he was in the top-10 at both, and he was the runner-up in Richmond. He’s also finished in the top 10 in three of his last four races.

Longer Shots to Consider

Aric Almirola is paying +2500 because he hasn’t won this year, and he only has two top-five finishes in 2022. But in his career, he does have a win in New Hampshire to go along with three top-five finishes. And it was just last July when he recorded that win.

Ambetter 301

Brad Keselowski is paying a whopping +10000, even though he won at New Hampshire in 2020 and he finished third here in 2021.

Keselowski was a top-10 finisher at Sonoma a month ago, but overall his 2022 has been well below his standards. He has just two top-10 finishes and has finished worse than 20th a total of 10 times. But his recent history at New Hampshire is worth a look.

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Only seven races remain on the schedule before NASCAR begins the Cup Playoffs. We’ve also got the British Open this weekend, NFL training camps will open next weekend, and next week is the Major League Baseball All-Star Game.

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WagerHome BlogAmbetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

Coca-Cola 600 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 25, 2022

After a weekend All-Star getaway that saw Ryan Blaney take home the checkered flag, the Cup Series gets back to business this weekend with its longest race of the season, the Coca-Cola 600.

Since 1960 NASCAR has been racing at Charlotte Motor Speedway and at 600 miles. And not only is this race unique on the circuit for its distance, but it’s also the only race that begins in the sunlight and ends under the lights at night.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

  • Kyle Larson (+450)
  • Kyle Busch (+650)
  • Chase Elliott (+750)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1000)
  • William Byron (+1000)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1000)
  • Ross Chastain (+1000)
  • Tyler Reddick (+1400)
  • Christopher Bell (+1500)

Kyle Larson won this race last year, the first of three straight wins that ended up catapulting him to the Cup Series championship. He opened the week tied with Kyle Busch atop the favorites board but has since put a little space between himself and Busch.

Kyle Busch was third two weeks ago in Kansas, seventh in Dover, and in April, he had four starts, four top-10 finishes, and a win at Bristol. At the Coca-Cola 600 race last year, Busch finished third. He was fourth in 2020, third in 2019, and he was the winner in 2018.

Even after his 29th place finish in Kansas, Chase Elliott remains the season’s overall points leader. Prior to that race, he was fifth at Darlington, the winner at Dover and seventh at Talladega. At the Coca-Cola 600, Elliott finished as the runner-up in each of the previous two years.

Coca-Cola 600 2022 Betting Preview

Best Value Bets

Kevin Harvick, paying +3000, is still without a win in 2022, and he definitely isn’t an obvious choice in this one. But he races well at Charlotte, finishing in the top-10 in each of his last two starts here. And while Harvick hasn’t won this season, he has been racing well of late.

He was fourth at Dover three weeks ago, the third of three straight top-10 finishes. He also has three other top-10s this season and runner-up at Richmond.

A longer shot that might be worth considering is Ricky Stenhouse Jr, paying +6000. He’s also without a win in 2022, but like Harvick, he has been close. He has four top-10 finishes this season, with three of them coming in his last five starts.

At this race in 2020, he finished fourth, improving on his fifth-place finish in 2019. He’s finished in the top-10 at Charlotte three times and in the top-20 a total of 12 times.

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WagerHome BlogCoca-Cola 600 2022 Betting Preview

DuraMAX Drydene 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2022

NASCAR moves from the 2.6-mile tri-oval at the superspeedway at Talladega to the 1-mile oval at Dover Motor Speedway for the DuraMAX Drydene 400.

The Monster Mile, as it is known, gives this race something we didn’t see a week ago – parity. Since 2019 we have had five races at Dover, and we have had five different winners – Kyle Larson, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Alex Bowman, and Denny Hamlin.

And according to DuraMAX Drydene 400 race ratings, 11 drivers competing this weekend have a 90 rating or better at Dover. That means we should be in for a great race and a close finish.

Favorites to Win DuraMAX Drydene 400

  • Kyle Larson (+500)
  • Kyle Busch (+700)
  • William Byron (+700)
  • Joey Logano (+700)
  • Chase Elliott (+750)
  • Ryan Blaney (+800)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1000)
  • Alex Bowman (+1100)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
  • Ross Chastain (+1200)

There is parity this week, with those five different winners in the last five races, but Kyle Larson is the deserved DuraMAX Drydene 400 favorite because of his performance here.

He has just one win, coming in 2019, but in the other 2019 race, he finished third, and in the May race last year, he finished second. And when looking back even further, he has two other runner-up finishes in Dover – 2016 and 2017.

A trio of drivers are tied for the second shortest odds at +700. Kyle Busch won here in 2017, but his most recent two races were 11th and 27th place finishes.

William Byron has finished fourth in each of his last two races at Dover, his only top-five finishes here. And Joey Logano was eighth three races ago, sixth two races ago, and fifth in 2021.

Chase Elliott is the last of the top five, and he’s been up and down at Dover recently. He finished third in his last DuraMAX Drydene 400 race here, wrecked to a 39th place finish the race before that, was fifth three races ago and had a mechanically challenged 38th place finish before that.

DuraMAX Drydene 400 Betting Preview

DuraMAX Drydene 400 Longshots Worth a Look

You can find Cole Custer for between +10000 and +25000, and as someone with back-to-back top-10 finishes at Dover, that is great value. He started 30th last year and worked his way up to 10th, so if he can qualify in the top half, you have to like his chances.

A little less out there is a bet on Daniel Suarez, who is paying +7500 to take the W at DuraMAX Drydene 400. He finished ninth here last year, and when he was racing for Joe Gibbs in 2017 and 2018, he had three top-10 finishes.

Driving in the Truck Series, he also has a pair of runner-up finishes at Dover and a win here with the Xfinity Series.

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WagerHome BlogDuraMAX Drydene 400 Betting Preview

Ruoff Mortgage 500 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 9, 2022

We are in for another exciting race, Ruoff Mortgage 500. We’ve had three official races of the 2022 Cup season and three different winners, with Alex Bowman holding off Kyle Larson in the closing seconds last week to take home the win and keep Larson from winning for a second consecutive week.

But even more topsy-turvy than the rotating champions is what we’ve seen out of the top-10 here in the early going of this year. Through three races, we’ve had 25 different drivers finish in the top-10. That is the most through three races since 1973, and only five drivers off from the maximum possible of 30 drivers in three races.

Here today, gone tomorrow, has been the theme since Daytona.

Favorites to Win Ruoff Mortgage 500

  • Kyle Larson (+360)
  • Martin Truex, Jr. (+700)
  • Kyle Busch (+700)
  • Joey Logano (+800)
  • Denny Hamlin (+800)
  • Chase Elliott (+800)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1200)
  • William Byron (+1400)
  • Kevin Harvick (+2000)
  • Alex Bowman (+2500)
  • Tyler Reddick (+2500)

Kyle Larson nearly won his second race of the season last week in Las Vegas, and he is the favorite to get it done this weekend in Phoenix. He is the best driver in NASCAR, but he’s also been one of the best in Phoenix. He has finished no worse than sixth place in his last six races here, and this was the site of his championship win last November.

At nearly double the payday, if you want to bet one of the favorites, Kyle Busch has the much better value. Sure, he’s chasing Larson as the best driver, and there’s no question that Larson is No. 1. But Busch has three wins in Phoenix, eight other top-five finishes, and a total of 22 top-10 finishes on the D-shaped oval.

Longer Shots to Consider

Yes, it feels like the Hudson Hornet was the king of NASCAR cars the last time Kevin Harvick won a race, but never discount him in Phoenix, and definitely don’t do it when he’s paying +2000.

His nine career wins in Phoenix are an incredible six more than any other active driver, and he currently has a 17-race streak of top-10 finishes at this raceway. In 12 of those 17 races, he finished in the top five.

At +3000, you might want to give Christopher Bell a look. He’s only raced at Phoenix four times, but his last two starts here were top-10 finishes.

He also finished top-10 in Las Vegas a week ago, and led for 32 laps of the race. That is a good sign that Bell may be ready to break into the victory column for the first time in more than a year.

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Following Phoenix this week, NASCAR heads back east for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta. The schedule is packed, the betting is intense, and now is the time to partner with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com.

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WagerHome BlogRuoff Mortgage 500 Betting Preview