NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2021

We’ve had a change at the top of the AFC, with the Ravens now in the driver’s seat for the top seed. Meanwhile, the Cardinals keep winning in the NFC and are the unchallenged favorites.

As for the top bets that you should look at for NFL Week 7, here they are.

Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

Just as impressive as Green Bay’s five-game winning streak is the five straight games in which they have covered the spread. And in three of those games, they won by at least 10 points, which would be enough to cover this week too.

Meanwhile, Washington is an abysmal 1-5 against the spread this season and running back Antonio Gibson continues to get even more banged up.

It’s Packers all the way. They win by at least two touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens were dominant last week, but most of their games have come down to the final play or two, and most are within one score. And in spite of a 5-1 record that leads the AFC, they are just 3-3 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have had a margin of victory/defeat of exactly three points in four of their six games played – three-point losses to Chicago and Green Bay and three-point wins over Minnesota and Jacksonville.

This game will be close, and if not exactly three points, it will be less than seven. Look for Cincinnati to cover.

Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders (-3)

The Raiders avoided a three-game losing streak by easily handling their business at Denver. So to everyone who thought there would be a significant hangover following the departure of Jon Gruden, think again. Las Vegas played with freedom against the Broncos that we hadn’t seen before.

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

The Eagles played the Bucs tight and covered the spread. But Thursday games are always unpredictable. Prior to a win against Carolina the week earlier, the Eagles had failed to cover in three straight games. Raiders win this game by at least a touchdown. Take Vegas and lay the points.

Kansas City at Tennessee (Over 55)

The Chiefs did go under on Sunday against Washington, but that was because of some uncharacteristically good defense out of Kansas City. Offensively they did their part, scoring 31 points. Prior to that game, they had point totals of 58, 72, 54, 71, and 62.

They love going over, as do the Titans. Tennessee has hit three straight overs with 65, 56, and 51 points. It’s also worth noting that the two teams played twice in 2019, and they combined for 67 points in the regular season and 59 points in the AFC Championship Game.

Hammer this over.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 7 Betting Picks
Super Bowl Prop Bets

Consider Wagering These Five Super Bowl Prop Bets

by WagerHome Blog on February 2, 2021

One of the great things about Super Bowl prop bets is that they are a fun way to watch the game without taking the game too seriously. The opening coin toss, the length of the National Anthem, and the color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning coach’s head are all somewhat lighthearted, playful prop bets.

But that isn’t true of all proposition bets. Some of them can become valuable money-making plays when you dig into the numbers just a little bit.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Total Number of Sacks Over/Under – 3.5

This feels like an obvious bet on the over. All you need is four sacks to hit, and the Buccaneers just recorded five sacks against a superior Packers offensive line. The Chiefs, for their part, just got to a much more mobile Josh Allen four times. That’s nine sacks between these two teams in the Championship Games.

The teams only combined for three sacks when they met in November, but the Chiefs offensive line was healthier then, and the Buccaneers defense was more banged up. The over on 3.5 total sacks is a solid play.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Combined Rushing Attempts Over/Under – 50.5

Even with a big lead in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs only ran the ball 25 times. The Bucs were running the clock late in the game against Green Bay and only made it to 24 rushes. When the teams met in November, the Chiefs got out to a big lead but still only rushed 13 times. The combined rushing attempts total in that game was just 33.

It’s hard to picture a scenario where both teams become rush heavy enough to hit the over. Go under 50.5 total rushes.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Combined Passing Attempts Over/Under – 80.5

Working off the under for rushing attempts, bet the over on passing attempts. In the November game, Tampa Bay and Kansas City threw the ball 91 times. It just makes sense to take the over here.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Patrick Mahomes Props

There are many good prop bets surrounding Patrick Mahomes, but one that is highly recommended is: Mahomes over 400 yards and Chiefs win.

It pays +270, which sets up a nice payday for the exact scenario that played the last time these teams played. In that Chiefs win, Mahomes threw for 462 yards.

 

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Rob Gronkowski Prop Bets

The future Hall of Fame tight end hasn’t been a huge part of the Buccaneers offense this season, but he has been a Kansas City killer in the past. In the AFC Championship two years ago, he caught six passes for 79 yards against the Chiefs.

The prop: Rob Gronkowski over 80 yards paired with a Buccaneers win pays +900. Kansas City has the corners to cover the Tampa Bay wide receivers. They don’t have much in the way of coverage linebackers, and Gronk could feast. At +900, it’s definitely worth a play.

Pay Per Head Software for Super Bowl Prop Bets

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WagerHome BlogConsider Wagering These Five Super Bowl Prop Bets
AFC Championship Game

AFC Championship Game Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2021

While Sunday’s NFC Championship Game is a tribute to the last generation of great quarterbacks, this year’s AFC Championship Game is a celebration of the quarterbacks that will lead the NFL for the next decade. It will be the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes hosting the No. 2 seeded Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen.

The Line: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

These teams met in Week 6 in Buffalo, and it was a grind-it-out win for the Chiefs. Rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran for a season-high 161 yards that night, and Allen was held to just 122 yards passing.

Allen has been terrific ever since, and Edwards-Helaire hasn’t played in a month, so this game should be much closer than the nine-point Kansas City win in October.

Buffalo Bills

This season, the Bills ended the New England Patriots’ stranglehold on the AFC East. Then the Bills ended their own 25-year playoff victory drought.

Now they are trying to return to the Super Bowl for the first time since they lost to the Cowboys in Super Bowl XXVIII in 1994.

The Bills have the NFL’s receiving champion in Stefon Diggs and a quarterback in Allen who solidified himself as one of the rising stars in the league. The Buffalo defense just held the Ravens to three points in the divisional round, and the Bills have won eight straight games.

If anyone can dethrone the defending Super Bowl champions, it’s the Bills. They will move the ball against Kansas City better than they did in the regular-season meeting, and their run defense has also improved since then.

But if the Bills are to pull the upset, they will need to force Mahomes into committing at least one big mistake.

Kansas City Chiefs

The collective hearts of Chiefs fans dropped into their shoes when Mahomes left the divisional round game against the Browns with what looked like a concussion. Now the injury is a little less clear, with some reports calling it a tweaked nerve in the neck that caused him to lose consciousness.

Whatever the case, the Chiefs organization feels confident that he will play on Sunday.

AFC Championship Game

As for the rest of the offense, there is also optimism that Edwards-Helaire will return from ankle and hip injuries that he suffered against the Saints.

Wide receiver Sammy Watkins also has a chance to return from the calf injury he suffered in Week 16 against the Falcons. He was huge in the playoffs last year for Kansas City and would be a big boost to its quest to repeat as Super Bowl champion.

Pay Per Head Software

The Chiefs are favored by three, and the over/under is 53.5, and both bets are going to take a lot of action on Sunday. If you are an independent bookmaker taking wagers on Championship Sunday, now is the time to check out the advantages of a pay per head software partnership.

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WagerHome BlogAFC Championship Game Betting Preview
super bowl betting odds

Updated Super Bowl Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2020

We’re six weeks into the NFL season, which has brought about some changes to the Super Bowl betting odds.

The best game of the week, and perhaps the best game of the season, was Tennessee’s come-from-behind overtime victory over Houston and the dominant display of Derrick Henry on Sunday. With the 42-36 win, the Titans remained unbeaten, and with 264 total yards, Henry has to be in the MVP conversation.

But that 5-0 start does not mean that Tennessee has become one of the top favorites to win this season’s Super Bowl.

After six weeks of NFL play, this is how the Super Bowl betting odds board looks.

Kansas City Chiefs (+400)

A big win on Monday night in Buffalo keeps the defending champions as the favorite to win another Super Bowl. In the quest to get the top seed, the Chiefs now own tiebreakers against the Ravens and Bills, making Kansas City’s quest to repeat that much easier.

Baltimore Ravens (+550)

The Ravens have the defending MVP in Lamar Jackson, an explosive offense, and a great defense. They lost to Kansas City, but that’s the lone blemish on their record.

They remain a solid bet to make it to Tampa Bay and win. Two games still remain with Pittsburgh, which may have something to say about it.

Seattle Seahawks (+750)

Each time it looks like another NFC team is set to emerge as a rival to the Seahawks, they lose. The Buccaneers lost a tough game at Chicago, and then the previously unbeaten Packers got crushed at Tampa Bay. With Russell Wilson playing like the MVP frontrunner, a bet on Seattle is solid.

super bowl odds

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1100)

Pittsburgh is one of just two unbeaten teams in the AFC, but because it shares a division with the Ravens, it is paying a nice +1100 on a Super Bowl-winning bet. Ben Roethlisberger looks great, the offense has many great weapons at wide receiver, and the defense might be the best in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers (+1200)

The Packers were humbled on Sunday and no longer look like the best offense in football. But with Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams, it’s still pretty darn good, and +1200 on the Pack pays a lot of value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)

No team has ever played in a Super Bowl on its home field, but no team has ever had a 43-year-old six-time Super Bowl champion at quarterback. Tom Brady and his collection of wide receivers are fun to watch, but it’s the Buccaneers defense that might carry them to February.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogUpdated Super Bowl Betting Odds
super bowl

Top Five Reasons to Bet Kansas City In Super Bowl LIV

by WagerHome Blog on January 21, 2020

The Super Bowl matchup is set following the Kansas City Chiefs’ win over Tennessee in the AFC Championship Game and the San Francisco 49ers’ victory against Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.

We still have two weeks to talk about the biggest day on the sports betting calendar, and a lot can change over these next two weeks. And you could change the entire complexion of your bookmaking business by signing up for pay per head software in the next two weeks.

WagerHome.com allows you to test its product for four weeks free, giving you the chance to supercharge your business before the Super Bowl.

As for the game itself, the Chiefs have opened as 1.5-point favorites, and here are the top five reasons we think taking the Chiefs is a good bet.

Patrick Mahomes

With all respect to Jimmy Garoppolo, Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback playing in this Super Bowl, and maybe the best to play in any Super Bowl since Tom Brady was at his peak.

Mahomes simply never has a bad game. All of his games are either good or great. In four career playoff games, Mahomes is averaging 297 yards and three touchdowns and has yet to turn the ball over.

This is a quarterback’s league, and going with the better quarterback is always a good bet.

Andy Reid

San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the best young offensive minds in the NFL, and he will win a Super Bowl or two before his career is over. But Kansas City coach Andy Reid seems destined to end his Super Bowl drought and cement his place in the Hall of Fame.

We’ve all heard about how good Reid is when he has two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He is 18-3 in the regular season when coming off a bye, and in the playoffs when his team earned an extra week to prepare for its first game, he is 6-0.

Reid with an extra week to prepare for Super Bowl LIV is a big Kansas City advantage.

Tyreek Hill

Richard Sherman is a great cornerback who is destined for the Hall of Fame, and he will give Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill some problems. But he doesn’t have the speed to keep up with Hill, the fastest man in the NFL.

super bowl

Sherman will need safety help to keep Hill from adding to his 17 total touchdowns of more than 50 yards.

Tyrann Mathieu

This is one Honey Badger that does care. Since gelling with the new defense in Kansas City, safety Tyrann Mathieu has emerged as one of the team’s unquestioned leaders and has been playing some of the best football of his career.

He’s playing like a man on a mission and gives this team a big lift in the secondary.

Chris Jones

There was some doubt that Chiefs defensive end Chris Jones would play in the AFC Championship Game because of a lingering calf injury. But not only did he play, he was a disruptive force.

He helped hold Titans running back Derrick Henry to his worst game since Week 6, and several times his pressure forced Tennessee quarterback Ryan Tannehill to misfire on third downs. With two more weeks to get healthy, Jones will be even better in the Super Bowl.

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WagerHome BlogTop Five Reasons to Bet Kansas City In Super Bowl LIV

Three NFL Favorites To Bet As Locks In Week 13

by WagerHome Blog on November 30, 2019

Thanksgiving weekend is the unofficial start to the NFL’s homestretch. Playoff teams begin to separate themselves from the pack. Other teams begin to eye the coming offseason. Weather becomes an issue. And since this is prime betting time on the sports calendar, if you haven’t yet signed up for a Pay Per Head bookmaking website, you are leaving money on the table. You can give it a look at WagerHome.com and get four free weeks to test it out.

If you have already moved your bookmaking business to a PPH site, then you know the value of NFL betting and the values that can be found by betting the best favorites for this week.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

Raiders quarterback Derek Carr does not do well in cold weather, and a winter storm is rolling its way through Kansas City. Couple that with Carr’s 0-5 record at Arrowhead Stadium in any weather and the giant egg the Raiders laid on last week’s trip to the Jets, and expectations are low for Oakland.

Meanwhile, on the other side, Kansas City coach Andy Reid is coming off a bye, where he’s deadly. The Chiefs are finally getting healthy after a number of weeks lost due to injury. And Patrick Mahomes has had huge games against a below-average Oakland defense.

The inclement weather expected for kickoff has lowered the over/under total line, but the Chiefs are still a great bet to score lots of points and roll to a big victory.

Cleveland Browns (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers

It’s not often we look forward to a Browns-Steelers rematch. But following the Myles Garrett helmet-swinging incident, this game carries a little extra excitement with it. Even if the change at quarterback for Pittsburgh robs us of one the major players in that fight in the first meeting.

Devlin Hodges will be making his second career NFL start for the Steelers because, as head coach Mike Tomlin said, “He hasn’t killed us.”

Not exactly a ringing endorsement, and reason enough to still like the Browns in this one despite playing on the road and being without Garrett. Cleveland’s offense has been clicking since the addition of Kareem Hunt, and it will keep it going in this one.

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

Seattle has been on a roll against the spread, going 4-2 in its last six games. Russell Wilson is playing some of the best football of his career, and the Seahawks have to get this win if they want to stay in the hunt for the NFC West title.

Minnesota also has a lot to play for as it remains in the hunt for its own division title and a possible first-round bye. But the Vikings are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against Seattle and going on the road in primetime isn’t where Kirk Cousins thrives.

The Seahawks are on a four-game winning streak, and against the Vikings, they will make five straight and win by at least a touchdown.

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WagerHome BlogThree NFL Favorites To Bet As Locks In Week 13

Five NFL Teams To Bet On In Week 10

by WagerHome Blog on November 9, 2019

The NFL regular season is half over, and the San Francisco 49ers are the last undefeated team in the league. The New England Patriots lost last weekend, which was their first loss of the season, but they are still the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl.

As a PPH bookie, the NFL season gives you tons of betting options to offer your players, which is great for you, considering you can really make a profit. Having a legit PPH site, like the ones from WagerHome.com, that is well set up and offers players NFL betting options can be profitable for you and keep your players happy with all the wagers they can make.

Let’s take a look at Week 10 action and five teams to bet on.

Los Angeles Rams -3.5 at Pittsburgh Steelers

While the Rams are on the road and their two-game win streak has come against weak opponents, they are still the pick in this game. Yes, the Steelers have won three in a row, but they had a little luck on their side in their last game and may be without starting RB James Conner for a second straight game.

Baltimore Ravens -10 at Cincinnati Bengals

The Ravens are flying high, winning four in a row, and handing the Patriots their first loss of the season in their last game. Lamar Jackson has emerged as an MVP candidate, and Baltimore is a double-digit road favorite even though they only beat Cincy by six points at home early in the season. The Ravens are the pick against the winless Bengals in this game, as they have the top-ranked rushing offense in the NFL, while Cincy ranks dead last in the league in run defense.

Kansas City Chiefs -4 at Tennessee Titans

The Chiefs are coming off a big win over the Minnesota Vikings, and they have won two of their last three games with backup Matt Moore. Reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes is expected back for this game, and that would really spell doom for Tennessee.

Kansas City has many offensive weapons, and it will outmatch the Titans, even in their house. Tennessee has not beaten a team with a winning record this season, and that will continue in this game, as it will lose its second in a row and fail to cover the spread.

Minnesota Vikings +3 at Dallas Cowboys

In the Big D in the Sunday night primetime game, the Cowboys are a three-point home favorite against the Vikings. Dallas has won two in a row and is atop the NFC East, but it has been inconsistent on the season. The Cowboys beat the 5-4 Eagles in the game before their last one, but their other four wins have come facing teams that have a combined five wins.

The Vikings lost their last game where league rushing leader Dalvin Cook struggled. He will get back on track, and in this close game, Minnesota will, at least, cover the spread.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers -5.5

The Packers took their worst loss of the season in their last game, while the Panthers are coming off a solid win where Christian McCaffrey had 166 total yards from scrimmage with three TDs.

The reason Green Bay is the pick is that it is back home at Lambeau Field, and Aaron Rodgers, who passed for 429 yards with 5 TDs and no interceptions in his last home game, will light it up.

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WagerHome BlogFive NFL Teams To Bet On In Week 10

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