Joey Logano Archives

Geico 500 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2023

From the short tracks of Bristol and Martinsville, NASCAR heads back to big racing, with a stop at the Talladega Superspeedway for the Geico 500.

We go from the half-mile track at Martinsville, and an average speed win of 75 MPH, to the 2.66 miles track at Talladega, where last October, the winning average speed was 153.5 MPH.

It’s a different kind of racing, and the variety from week to week is what tests these drivers and pushes them to the limit.

Favorites to Win Geico 500

Joey Logano (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
William Byron (+1600)
Ross Chastain (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1800)
Kyle Larson (+1800)
Christopher Bell (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Last week Joey Logano fell off the lead lap twice but still battled back for a second-place finish. He said after the race, “There are some days that a second-place finish leaves you angry. This is not one of those days.”

Logano is the favorite this week on a track that was unkind to him in 2022, with a 32nd-place finish in April and a 27th-place finish in October. He does, however, have three career wins at Talladega.

Ryan Blaney doesn’t yet have a win this season, but four times he has finished in the top 10. Traditionally he has raced well on superspeedways, with an eighth-place finish at Daytona and a fourth-place finish there in 2022. He was the runner-up at Talladega last October, and he won on this track in 2019 and 2020.

That race in Talladega last October was won by Chase Elliott, who’s making just his second start since returning from a broken leg. In his return last week at Martinsville, he finished in 10th place. He was the runner-up in California in the race before he got injured.

Best Geico 500 Value Bets

The betting curve for this race is pretty flat, with no favorites going for less than +1000. That leaves good value at the back end, like +2800 for Erik Jones. He’s finished in the top 10 in five of the last six races at Talladega and has led for 68 laps in those five.

Kevin Harvick is a bit of an afterthought when racing at Talladega. He hasn’t won here since 2010. But at +2800, and with three top-10 finishes in his last four races here, including a fourth-place finish in 2021, he’s worth a look at that number.

Pay Per Head Software

From the finishing position, to the car manufacturer, to teams and featured matchup bets. If you are an independent bookmaker, the number of possible Geico 500 bets can be a little overwhelming. And then add in all of the other sports taking place in April.

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Cook Out Southern 500 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 31, 2022

With the regular season ending in the rain at Daytona, and a surprise victory by Austin Dillon, NASCAR moves on to the playoffs and the round of 16 in Darlington for the Cook Out Southern 500.

By virtue of his rain-delayed win, in which he had to retake the lead in the final three laps, Dillon is in the final field of 16. Ryan Blaney also got in by finishing the race in 15th place – the lone driver in the playoffs who did not record a victory this season.

Martin Truex Jr. lost out on that final spot, and he is now racing the rest of the season with no chance to win a championship.

Favorites to Win Cook Out Southern 500

Kyle Larson (+600)
Denny Hamlin (+700)
Chase Elliott (+800)
Joey Logano (+800)
Ross Chastain (+800)
Tyler Reddick (+800)
Kyle Busch (+900)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
William Byron (+1400)

Leading the pack is Kyle Larson, and why not. He is the defending Cup Series champion, and in his last four Cook Out Southern 500 races at Darlington, he has three top-five finishes. His engine let him down at Daytona last week, but he was the winner the week before at Watkins Glen, giving him ten top-five finishes in 2022.

Since 2019 Denny Hamlin has raced at Darlington seven times, and he has two wins and four top-five finishes, which includes his win at Cook Out Southern 500 last year. He also didn’t finish last week’s race at Daytona, but he began the month of August with a third-place finish in Michigan and a fourth-place finish in Richmond.

Chase Elliott is your overall points leader, and he’s been so good all season that it seems like it’s been ages since he last won. In reality, it was only July 24th when he won at Pocono. He had two top-five finishes in August, but he’s only third on the Cook Out Southern 500 odds board because of an up-and-down history at Darlington.

Elliott finished fifth here back in May, but at Cook Out Southern 500 a year ago, he was 31st. He was 20th at this race in 2020 and 19th in 2019.

The last of the favorites worth an extra look is Joey Logano, who finished the regular season just 15 points behind Elliott. And unlike the man he has been chasing all season, he does have a good history at Darlington. He won here in May, was eighth last September, and he has four other top-five finishes in his career on this track at the Cook Out Southern 500.

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Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

NASCAR takes a trip to Louden, New Hampshire, this weekend for the Ambetter 301. This race was originally 300 miles, but at one point, the sponsor of the event had the slogan, “tools that go the extra mile,” so naturally, an extra mile was added to the race.

Sponsorship has changed since then, but the race distance has not. This weekend’s Ambetter 301 winner will only be crowned after he goes that extra mile.

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Ryan Blaney (+600)
Kyle Busch (+650)
Joey Logano (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+850)
Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
Ross Chastain (+900)
Chase Elliott (+1000)
Kyle Larson (+1200)
Kevin Harvick (+1600)
Christopher Bell (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has yet to take a checkered flag this year, but he is the betting favorite heading into this weekend’s Ambetter 301 in New Hampshire. Blaney has no wins, but he does have seven top-five finishes and is currently in second place in the Cup standings.

The man atop the standings is Chase Elliott, who has surprisingly long odds considering that he has three wins on the season, including two wins in his last three starts and a second-place finish in the other of those three races. Elliott has never won in New Hampshire, but he’s simply too hot right now to ignore.

Kevin Harvick, at +1600, is also playing longer odds than he deserves. He’s been very good on flat tracks this season, and on the closest facsimiles to New Hampshire – Phoenix and Richmond – he was in the top-10 at both, and he was the runner-up in Richmond. He’s also finished in the top 10 in three of his last four races.

Longer Shots to Consider

Aric Almirola is paying +2500 because he hasn’t won this year, and he only has two top-five finishes in 2022. But in his career, he does have a win in New Hampshire to go along with three top-five finishes. And it was just last July when he recorded that win.

Brad Keselowski is paying a whopping +10000, even though he won at New Hampshire in 2020 and he finished third here in 2021.

Keselowski was a top-10 finisher at Sonoma a month ago, but overall his 2022 has been well below his standards. He has just two top-10 finishes and has finished worse than 20th a total of 10 times. But his recent history at New Hampshire is worth a look.

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GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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Ruoff Mortgage 500 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 9, 2022

We are in for another exciting race, Ruoff Mortgage 500. We’ve had three official races of the 2022 Cup season and three different winners, with Alex Bowman holding off Kyle Larson in the closing seconds last week to take home the win and keep Larson from winning for a second consecutive week.

But even more topsy-turvy than the rotating champions is what we’ve seen out of the top-10 here in the early going of this year. Through three races, we’ve had 25 different drivers finish in the top-10. That is the most through three races since 1973, and only five drivers off from the maximum possible of 30 drivers in three races.

Here today, gone tomorrow, has been the theme since Daytona.

Favorites to Win Ruoff Mortgage 500

Kyle Larson (+360)
Martin Truex, Jr. (+700)
Kyle Busch (+700)
Joey Logano (+800)
Denny Hamlin (+800)
Chase Elliott (+800)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
William Byron (+1400)
Kevin Harvick (+2000)
Alex Bowman (+2500)
Tyler Reddick (+2500)

Kyle Larson nearly won his second race of the season last week in Las Vegas, and he is the favorite to get it done this weekend in Phoenix. He is the best driver in NASCAR, but he’s also been one of the best in Phoenix. He has finished no worse than sixth place in his last six races here, and this was the site of his championship win last November.

At nearly double the payday, if you want to bet one of the favorites, Kyle Busch has the much better value. Sure, he’s chasing Larson as the best driver, and there’s no question that Larson is No. 1. But Busch has three wins in Phoenix, eight other top-five finishes, and a total of 22 top-10 finishes on the D-shaped oval.

Longer Shots to Consider

Yes, it feels like the Hudson Hornet was the king of NASCAR cars the last time Kevin Harvick won a race, but never discount him in Phoenix, and definitely don’t do it when he’s paying +2000.

His nine career wins in Phoenix are an incredible six more than any other active driver, and he currently has a 17-race streak of top-10 finishes at this raceway. In 12 of those 17 races, he finished in the top five.

At +3000, you might want to give Christopher Bell a look. He’s only raced at Phoenix four times, but his last two starts here were top-10 finishes.

He also finished top-10 in Las Vegas a week ago, and led for 32 laps of the race. That is a good sign that Bell may be ready to break into the victory column for the first time in more than a year.

Pay Per Head Software

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Pennzoil 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 3, 2022

We had an unexpected winner at Daytona, with Austin Cindric taking the checkered flag at the Daytona 500 as a rookie. He was 20th in the favorites board and paid +3100.

Last week at Wise Power 400, things returned to normal, with Kyle Larson winning the race and joining mainstays Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski and winners in 2022.

From Fontana, California, we go to Las Vegas, Nevada, and the Pennzoil 400, and not surprisingly, the betting world loves Larson to win again.

Favorites to Win Pennzoil 400

Kyle Larson (+350)
Chase Elliott (+700)
Joey Logano (+800)
Denny Hamlin (+800)
Ryan Blaney (+850)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
William Byron (+1200)
Martin Truex, Jr. (+1400)
Tyler Reddick (+1500)
Kevin Harvick (+1500)

Larson won this race a year ago and is coming off the win last week. Of course, he is the heavy favorite.

Joey Logano was a winner this year in Los Angeles and has two wins in Las Vegas, including two years ago. In the last six races in Las Vegas, Logo has led 15% of the laps and has four top-10 finishes to go along with his two wins. Overall he has 17 career starts in Vegas and has finished in the top-5 a total of six times.

Logano finished fifth last week in Fontana.

Like Logano, Denny Hamlin is paying +800, and he has a solid history in Las Vegas. At the race here last September, he was the winner, leading for 137 laps.

He was fourth at the Pennzoil 400 last March, and in September of 2020, he finished third. Overall, Hamlin has nine top-10 finishes at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Value Bets to Consider

Jumping off the board is Brad Keselowski paying +2500. He was second in Las Vegas a year ago, and three previous times in Las Vegas, he has taken the checkered flag.

He’s finished in the top-10 in 12 of his last 13 Las Vegas starts, and eight of those starts had him finishing in the top-five. Keselowski also won the first of the Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona three weeks ago. Why he is only listed at +2500 is a mystery.

Daytona 500 winner Austin Cindric is paying +3000. He doesn’t have experience in Las Vegas, but that didn’t stop him in Daytona.

And while that win might have been flukey, he is a quality driver and followed it up with a 12th place finish in Fontana. He also had a nice showing at the L.A. Coliseum.

One last value play to look at is Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. at +6000. His most recent form in Las Vegas has been spotty, but it includes a third-place finish two years ago and a sixth-place finish in 2019.

Pay Per Head Software

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Geico 500 2023 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Geico 500

Best Geico 500 Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Cook Out Southern 500 2022 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Cook Out Southern 500

Pay Per Head Software

Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Longer Shots to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

GEICO 500 Preview

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Ruoff Mortgage 500 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Ruoff Mortgage 500

Longer Shots to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

Pennzoil 400 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Pennzoil 400

Value Bets to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

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