Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2023

It’s Mother’s Day at Darlington, as the Cup Series makes its annual regular season trip to the South Carolina raceway for the Goodyear 400. The Cup Series will return to this track in September when the playoffs begin.

Last week we were in Kansas, where Denny Hamlin was the big winner. And now he goes for back-to-back wins at a track that he has dominated in recent years. He won here in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and last year he was the runner-up.

Red-hot from last week and now racing at a place where he has been at his best has Hamlin as a co-favorite heading into the weekend.

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

  • Denny Hamlin (+550)
  • Kyle Larson (+550)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
  • Tyler Reddick (+850)
  • William Byron (+900)
  • Kyle Busch (+900)
  • Christopher Bell (+1000)
  • Ross Chastain (+1100)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1200)
  • Chase Elliott (+1200)

Kyle Larson was the runner-up to Hamlin last week, rebounding from back-to-back disappointments at Talladega and Dover. Larson now has five top-five finishes this season. Larson has never won at Darlington, and last year in this race, he finished 36th.

Martin Truex won the Goodyear 400 in 2021, and last year he led for 48 laps before a faulty water pump took him out of the race. He has led at least one lap in his last six races at Darlington. This season he has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races.

Tyler Reddick has never won here, but in the two races at Darlington in 2022, he finished second and third. And right behind him on the odds board is one the hottest drivers in the Cup Series, William Byron. He was third last week in Kansas, fourth in Dover, and seventh at Talladega.

Also, keep your eye on the trio of drivers paying +1200, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott.

Harvick had a mechanical issue last year that kept him from finishing. But in the 13 races at Darlington before that, he didn’t finish worse than ninth, and 11 times he was in the top five.

Logano won here last May, finished fourth in the playoff race in September, and has four other top-five finishes at Darlington since 2015. Elliott doesn’t have any wins at Darlington, but last May, he finished fifth, and in 2021 he was seventh.

Well, down the Goodyear 400 odds board is Erik Jones, paying +6500. He’s only finished in the top 10 in two of 12 races this season, but Darlington is his bread and butter. It’s the only track where he has won multiple times, which includes last September’s win over the playoff field.

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WagerHome BlogGoodyear 400 Betting Preview

Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 6, 2021

A week after a stop in Kansas, and a win for Kyle Busch and his No. 18 Toyota, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to Darlington for the Goodyear 400. It’s also throwback weekend at the track, with drivers and teams adopting new paint schemes to honor the legendary drivers of the past.

Odds to Win Goodyear 400

Kyle Larson (+550)

Denny Hamlin (+600)

Kevin Harvick (+700)

Kyle Busch (+800)

Brad Keselowski (+800)

Martin Truex, Jr. (+800)

Chase Elliott (+1100)

Joey Logano (+1100)

William Byron (+1500)

Ryan Blaney (+1600)

Kyle Larson is an interesting favorite for this race. In four of his last five races he’s failed to crack the top-15. He finished 19th in Kansas last weekend (although he did lead 132 laps) and hasn’t cracked the top-10 in almost a month. But Darlington seems to agree with him. In his last two races here Larson finished 2nd and 3rd, and also had a 3rd place finish in 2016.

Denny Hamlin as the second betting favorite also provides a mixed bag of results. He is the current Cup Series points leader and has eight top-5 finishes this season. But in Kansas last week he finished 12th, and was 32nd the week earlier at Talladega. So Hamlin has been great this year, but he’s been quite bad these last two weeks.

Kevin Harvick, however, has nothing but positives when looking at him as a potential bet. He’s the defending champion at this race and in his last five races at Darlington he finished 4th, 4th, 1st, 3rd, and 1st. Harvick was also the runner-up last week in Kansas, and finished in 4th place the week before that at Talladega.

darlington nascar goodyear 400

Underdogs to Consider

Austin Dillon is paying +5000 and is definitely worth considering. He’s been in the top-10 in each of the last three races, and don’t forget that he finished 3rd at the Daytona 500. He also finished as the runner-up at Darlington last September and was 4th place finisher here in 2017.

Erik Jones is paying +8000, and on some boards as much as +10000, and in six races at Darlington he has never finished worse than 8th. He was also a winner here in 2019. His season in 2021 has been largely forgettable, which is why he is paying so well. But because of his history on this track Jones is worth a look.

Chris Buescher came in 8th in Kansas last week but was running much better than his eventual finish. He also had one of the best cars at Homestead and led for 57 laps. At +10000 he’s a bet worth considering.

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WagerHome BlogGoodyear 400 Betting Preview