Chase Elliott Archives

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 24, 2023

We end the regular season back where it began, on the high banks of Daytona International Speedway. It is the Coke Zero Sugar 400, and there is one spot in the playoff field of 16 up for grabs.

It happened last year for Austin Dillon. He qualified for the playoffs in this very race after a wreck took out most of his competitors. The same type of thing would need to happen here, with Bubba Wallace comfortably in the final playoff spot, barring a win from a driver behind him.

Also at stake in the race is the regular season points champion. Martin Truex Jr. has the lead on the strength of six straight finishes in the top 10, along with wins this season at Dover, Sonoma, and New Hampshire. Trailing him by 39 points is Denny Hamlin.

The only result that will really change things for the drivers trying to get into the playoffs, or the drivers jockeying for playoff position, is a win. That means that chaos will reign supreme at Daytona, as there are no consolation prizes for second place.

Favorites to win Coke Zero Sugar 400

Chase Elliott (+1100)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1200)
Brad Keselowski (+1200)
William Byron (+1400)
Chris Buescher (+1600)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)
Kyle Larson (+2000)
Ross Chastain (+2000)

Chase Elliott is not one of the 15 drivers that is already in the playoff field. That means that anything short of a win on Sunday, and he is out. Elliott was the runner-up two weeks ago in Indy, but he was just 32nd last week at Watkins Glen.

A host of drivers sit at +1200, and all of them have secured their spot in the playoffs. Hamlin, with an opportunity to win the regular season points title, is the one with the most to drive for. He has struggled on the superspeedways this season, finishing 17th, sixth, 17th, and 14th. His last win at Daytona came in 2020.

At +1400, you have William Byron, who hasn’t been very good at the Daytona 500, but here at the Coke Zero Sugar 400, he won in 2020 after finishing second in 2019. Byron won last week at Watkins Glen, and he won in July at the superspeedway in Atlanta.

Bubba Wallace doesn’t necessarily have to win to clinch the final playoff spot, but it would guarantee it. He’s never won at Daytona, but he does have four top-five finishes at Coke Zero Sugar 400, including a runner-up last year.

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Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 24, 2023

After taking the week off in the points race, the NASCAR Cup Series gets back to full action this Memorial Day Weekend at the Coca-Cola 600, the third of the four races in NASCAR that make up the Grand Slam.

However, even though no points were at stake, don’t ignore last week’s results. It was another Kyle Larson win at the All-Star Race, a win that didn’t net him any points, but it did result in a $1 million winner’s check. It also points to his return to his 2021 form, when he won the Cup Series and the Coca-Cola 600.

Not surprisingly, for this weekend’s race in Charlotte, he is the Coca-Cola 600 favorite.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Kyle Larson (+450)
William Byron (+550)
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Chase Elliott (+900)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Christopher Bell (+1100)
Tyler Reddick (+1600)
Kevin Harvick (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Kyle Larson has three wins this season after crossing the finish line first just three times in all of 2022. He finished seventh in the standings last year and is only 10th at the moment. But his racing of late points to a surging second half for Larson and a possible return to the top. A win this week would go a long way to making that happen.

William Byron is fifth in the Cup Series standings, he’s running with the second shortest odds here, and he’s just two weeks removed from a win at Darlington. That was his third of three straight top-five finishes. He also has wins in Phoenix and Las Vegas and is in great shape heading into Charlotte.

Denny Hamlin is the defending champion at this race, and a repeat win here would move him into the top three in the Cup Series standings. He won at Kansas three weeks ago, and he has two other top-five finishes over the last six weeks.

Kevin Harvick is down at the bottom of the top 10, but he’s been one of the most successful drivers at Charlotte in recent years. He hasn’t won here since 2018, but last year he finished third, and in each of the previous five races at Charlotte, he finished in the top 10.

Brad Keselowski is a longshot at +4000, but when he has actually finished the race at Charlotte, his last three results are 11th, seventh, and first. Two weeks ago at Darlington, Keselowski finished fourth. That was his third top-five finish of the season.

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NOCO 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 13, 2023

The NOCO 400 Cup Series is in Martinsville this week after last week’s run on the dirt in Bristol. Christopher Bell finally broke into the winner’s circle after five top-five finishes this season, and he is one of the top picks to make some noise at the NOCO 400.

Favorites to Win NOCO 400

William Byron (+600)
Christopher Bell (+650)
Chase Elliott (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+750)
Kyle Larson (+800)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Ryan Blaney (+1100)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Kyle Busch (+1400)
Ross Chastain (+1600)

William Byron had back-to-back wins in Las Vegas and Phoenix, and he was fifth at COTA three weeks ago. He also won at Martinsville 12 months ago, and he has three other top-five finishes at this track. He is a solid choice as the favorite.

Last week’s winner, Christopher Bell, is next on the favorites board at +650. When the playoffs rolled through Martinsville last October it was Bell who took the win then, putting him into the Championship 4. The rest of his history at this track is pretty lukewarm, but at the moment he’s the hottest driver in the Cup Series.

Martin Truex Jr. is a little down the board with the sixth shortest odds, and he wasn’t great at this track in 2022. But he won here in 2019, 2020, and 2021, and nine times he has finished in the top-five in Martinsville. His win in 2019 was one of the most dominant we’ve ever seen, with him leading for 464 of the 500 laps.

Ross Chastain has four top-10 finishes in his eight races this season, and three times he has been in the top-five. Last year at Martinsville he finished fifth in April and fourth in October.

Best Value Bets

Give Alex Bowman a closer look at +2500. He won the NOCO 400 playoff race here in 2021, and he has a pair of sixth-place finishes here in 2020. He’s also been running well of late, finishing eighth at Richmond and third at COTA.

Brad Keselowski is paying +2500 because of two bad results here last year. But in that October race, he actually finished fourth, but was disqualified after a post-race inspection found him just short of the minimum weight. If you include that as a fourth-place finish, that is 12 top-five finishes in his last 16 races at Martinsville, which includes a pair of wins.

Austin Dillon is paying +5000, but he was third at NOCO 400 last year, and he has two other top-five finishes at Martinsville.

He’s also coming off a third-place finish last week at Bristol.

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Cook Out Southern 500 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 31, 2022

With the regular season ending in the rain at Daytona, and a surprise victory by Austin Dillon, NASCAR moves on to the playoffs and the round of 16 in Darlington for the Cook Out Southern 500.

By virtue of his rain-delayed win, in which he had to retake the lead in the final three laps, Dillon is in the final field of 16. Ryan Blaney also got in by finishing the race in 15th place – the lone driver in the playoffs who did not record a victory this season.

Martin Truex Jr. lost out on that final spot, and he is now racing the rest of the season with no chance to win a championship.

Favorites to Win Cook Out Southern 500

Kyle Larson (+600)
Denny Hamlin (+700)
Chase Elliott (+800)
Joey Logano (+800)
Ross Chastain (+800)
Tyler Reddick (+800)
Kyle Busch (+900)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
William Byron (+1400)

Leading the pack is Kyle Larson, and why not. He is the defending Cup Series champion, and in his last four Cook Out Southern 500 races at Darlington, he has three top-five finishes. His engine let him down at Daytona last week, but he was the winner the week before at Watkins Glen, giving him ten top-five finishes in 2022.

Since 2019 Denny Hamlin has raced at Darlington seven times, and he has two wins and four top-five finishes, which includes his win at Cook Out Southern 500 last year. He also didn’t finish last week’s race at Daytona, but he began the month of August with a third-place finish in Michigan and a fourth-place finish in Richmond.

Chase Elliott is your overall points leader, and he’s been so good all season that it seems like it’s been ages since he last won. In reality, it was only July 24th when he won at Pocono. He had two top-five finishes in August, but he’s only third on the Cook Out Southern 500 odds board because of an up-and-down history at Darlington.

Elliott finished fifth here back in May, but at Cook Out Southern 500 a year ago, he was 31st. He was 20th at this race in 2020 and 19th in 2019.

The last of the favorites worth an extra look is Joey Logano, who finished the regular season just 15 points behind Elliott. And unlike the man he has been chasing all season, he does have a good history at Darlington. He won here in May, was eighth last September, and he has four other top-five finishes in his career on this track at the Cook Out Southern 500.

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Verizon 200 at The Brickyard 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 27, 2022

We are back with another NASCAR preview, this time for the Verizon 200 at The Brickyard.

Even when he doesn’t win, Chase Elliott is winning this season. That is how good he has been in 2022. He can finish third in a race, as he did at Pocono, and still come out on top, as he did due to two post-race disqualifications.

Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch failed their post-race inspections, and Hamlin became the first Cup race winner to be stripped of a win since 1960.

For Elliott and the rest of the drivers, hopefully, this week’s trip to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway provides cleaner racing and a less controversial finish.

Favorites to Win Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

Chase Elliott (+450)
Kyle Larson (+700)
Ross Chastain (+700)
Daniel Suarez (+1000)
Tyler Reddick (+1000)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)
A.J. Allmendinger (+1800)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1800)
Ryan Blaney (+1800)

It is a road course, and if he wasn’t the hottest driver on the circuit, he still might be the heavy favorite. But with four wins on the season and a commanding lead in the series standings, this is Chase Elliott’s race to lose. Elliott has seven wins in 22 career road course races and 13 top-five finishes.

If it’s not going to be Elliott, Kyle Larson is a solid plan B. He’s not had nearly the year in 2022 that he had in 2021, but he did just finish fifth at Pocono last week, and he has a good history at Indy, finishing third at this race last year.

The other driver of the big-three Verizon 200 favorites this week is Ross Chastain. He’s been the most consistent all year, with ten top-five finishes and 14 top-10s.

He wrecked out of last week’s race, and in this event last year, he barely cracked the top 30. But considering how well he is driving in 2022, he should always be on your radar.

Top Value Plays for Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

A.J. Allmendinger (+1800) is on your favorites board, so he isn’t a long shot. But he is the defending champion at this event, and he’s paying nearly 4.5x more than the favorite Elliott.

He’s a road course specialist, and you don’t see him at too many races, but coupled with his win last year and a top-10 at Road America on July 3 of this year, give him a look.

Kevin Harvick (+2800) should also be in consideration at the Verizon 200. He won at Indy in 2020, when it was the Brickyard 400, and that was his second straight victory here. He has the history at this venue, plus he’s had a good season on road courses – finishing fourth in Sonoma and 10th at Road America.

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M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 20, 2022

This week, we are in for the M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400. Last week in New Hampshire, it was Christopher Bell taking the checkered flag and paying +1600 for the lucky bettors who put their money down on him. It was his first win of the year, and it put him into the top 10 in the current Cup Series standings.

Staying in the Northeast, NASCAR heads to Pennsylvania and the Pocono Raceway, known as the Tricky Triangle. NASCAR has been racing at the 2.5-mile track since 1974 when Richard Petty won the inaugural race.

Of note in 2022, this is the first time the Cup Series will have just one race at Pocono Raceway since 1981. For the last 40 years, they’ve run a pair of races during each visit.

Favorites to Win M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400

Chase Elliott (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+800)
Kyle Busch (+800)
Kyle Larson (+800)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1000)
William Byron (+1000)
Kevin Harvick (+1200)
Christopher Bell (+1600)
Joey Logano (+1600)

As the Cup Series leader, Chase Elliott is the favorite to win this week. It also doesn’t hurt his standing that over the last four races, he has finished first, second, first, and second last week in New Hampshire. Much like Kyle Larson’s season last year, this year, everything is going right for Elliott.

Of the collection of drivers behind Elliott at +800, you can’t really go wrong. Denny Hamlin has struggled with consistency this year, but he has four all-time wins at Pocono Raceway.

Kyle Busch is a three-time Pocono champion, and he drives the M&M’s car, which surely will be a factor in an M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 race. And Kyle Larson has nine top-five finishes this season even as overall, the year has been a disappointment.

Christopher Bell, coming off his win last week at +1600, is once again paying +1600.

Value Bets to Consider at M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400

Kurt Busch got back into the top-10 at New Hampshire, erasing two bad performances following his runner-up finish in Nashville. Last year at Pocono, he finished in sixth place and led for 12 laps.

Bubba Wallace made his Cup Series debut at the Pocono Raceway in 2017, and while he’s never won here, he did finish fifth in the final start at Pocono Raceway in 2021. He’s paying +2800 at this weekend’s race, coming off a third-place finish in New Hampshire last week.

This has easily been Brad Keselowski’s worst season in over a decade. He has no wins and no top-five finishes for the first time since 2010.

But he’s been very good at Pocono Raceway through the years, including a third-place finish last year – one of 11 top-five career finishes here. And he’s paying a whopping +6600.

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Quaker State 400 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 6, 2022

NASCAR has been running races in Atlanta since 1960, and this weekend’s Quaker State 400 will be the 116th Cup Series race to be held at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The Cup Series standings are as tight as they’ve ever been, with Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, and Ross Chastain within 35 points of each other. The betting odds for this week’s race are also as tight as they’ve ever been, with four drivers listed as co-favorites and a total of 10 drivers playing odds of less than +2000.

Favorites to Win Quaker State 400

Chase Elliott (+1000)
Denny Hamlin (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1000)
William Byron (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1200)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1400)
Kyle Busch (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1400)
Tyler Reddick (+1800)

Chase Elliott is your current Cup leader, and he’s naturally one of the co-favorites to win at Quaker State 400. He finished second on Sunday at Road America, following up his win in Nashville to close out the month of June. Elliott has never won in Atlanta in eight career starts, but he has finished top-10 in five of those races.

Denny Hamlin hasn’t been very good since the summer months started, with only one top-10 finish in his last four starts. But he does have two wins on the season, and in two of his last four starts in Atlanta, he finished top-five.

Closing out the top-10 Quaker State 400 favorites is Tyler Reddick, who is coming off the win on Sunday at Road America. The reason Reddick isn’t higher on the favorites board this week is that his win on Sunday was his first of the season, and it follows an 18th place finish at Nashville and a 35th place finish at Sonoma. In the March race in Atlanta, he finished 28th.

Value Bets to Consider

Give Kurt Busch a closer look for this race. He’s 18th on the betting board, paying +2500. The reason there is value here is because Busch is the Quaker State 400 defending champion. At the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500, also run at Atlanta, he finished third. And just two weeks ago, he was the runner-up in Nashville.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is also paying +2500, and that is also very good value for a driver who should be in the mix in the final laps of the Quaker State 400. He’s an excellent plate track driver, which is what Atlanta has become after its redesign.

He’s twice a winner on such tracks – one at Talladega and one at Daytona – and at the race in Atlanta in March, he was battling for the lead on lap 201 when he unfortunately wrecked. He led for 22 laps that Sunday.

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Kwik Trip 250 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 29, 2022

Another week of racing, and another week of racing on a road course for the drivers of NASCAR. And another week of potential surprises at the Kwik Trip 250! The usual road course suspects, like Ryan Blainey and Martin Truex Jr, have not won on a road course this year, while Christopher Bell and Daniel Suarez have.

That’s not to say that there isn’t some predictability when it comes to road course racing anymore. The king of the road, Chase Elliott, is still the man to beat this weekend at the Kwik Trip 250.

Favorites to Win Kwik Trip 250

Chase Elliott (+500)
Kyle Larson (+600)
Ross Chastain (+800)
Kyle Busch (+900)
Ryan Blainey (+1200)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1200)
Christopher Bell (+1500)
Austin Cindric (+1500)
Joey Logano (+1500)

Elliott hasn’t won a road course race this season, finishing fourth at COTA in March and eighth at Sonoma three weeks ago. But he does have past wins at Circuit of the Americas, he has two wins this season, and he is the current Cup Series leader with a 30-point lead over Ross Chastain.

Kyle Larson hasn’t had the repeat of his dominant 2021, and he hasn’t been good on road courses in 2022. He finished 15th at Sonoma after starting the race in the first position.

He was 29th at COTA back in March. But Larson is a champion coming off a fourth-place finish in Nashville, and he is still a worthy Kwik Trip 250 second pick.

Ross Chastain already has a win at COTA this season, giving him a leg up this weekend in at least course confidence. But he also won at Talladega, and in three races in June, he has finishes of eighth, seventh, and fifth last week. Chastain has the third shortest odds this week, and an argument can be made that he should be the favorite.

Longer Shots to Consider at Kwik Trip 250

Tyler Reddick (+2500) was a washout at Sonoma three weeks ago, but he finished top-five at COTA in March, which was his fifth top-five finish in his previous ten road course starts. A year ago at COTA, he also finished ninth.

Kurt Busch (+3100) would like to forget the two races this season on road courses. He finished 32nd in COTA in March and 18th at Sonoma in June. But last year at Sonoma, he finished sixth, one of four top-10 finishes on road courses last season.

Chris Buescher (+3500) is only 22nd in the standings, he has just two top-five finishes this season, and he hasn’t won a race since 2016. But, and this is a big but, he nearly won at Sonoma three weeks ago, losing by less than four seconds, and coming after, he missed a week with COVID.

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Save Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2022

It is time for Save Mart 350! It’s road racing for NASCAR this week in Sonoma, California, and that means only one thing – Chase Elliott is at the top of the odds board as the undisputed king of the road.

But, and this is a big but, Sonoma races more like Circuit of the Americas than any other track, and that race this year was won by underdog Ross Chastain.

So while we know Elliott will be in the mix, anything can happen on this change of pace course.

Favorites to Win Save Mart 350

Chase Elliott (+450)
Kyle Larson (+500)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
A.J. Allmendinger (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1600)
Chase Briscoe (+1600)
Denny Hamlin (+1600)

No surprise that Chase Elliott is at the top of the board. He has seven wins on road courses since 2016, and during a stretch that went from 2019 to 2021, he won six of eight races.

It is worth noting; however, that as dominant as Elliott is on the road courses, he hasn’t been that way in Sonoma. He did have a second-place finish a year ago at Save Mart 350, but that is his career-best.

In the race that saw Elliott finish in second place at Sonoma in 2021, the man who finished first was Kyle Larson – the Cup champion last year. That was his second top-10 finish at Sonoma and only his second. He doesn’t have a long history of success at Sonoma, but following the win here in 2021, Larson also won at Watkins Glen two months later, and then he won at Charlotte Roval in October.

Ross Chastain did have that surprise win at COTA in March, but he had another top-five finish at COTA in 2021. Plus, when racing at Sonoma that same year, he came in seventh. Although in his previous race at Sonoma in 2019, he finished 33rd.

Longer Odds to Consider

William Byron is paying +2200 to take the W at the Save Mart 350, which is a lot for a guy who currently ranks third in the overall standings and has two checkered flags on this season. His last couple of races have been rough – he hasn’t been in the top-10 since April – but overall, he has raced well this season, and he does have five career top-10 finishes on road courses.

A real longshot to consider is Michael McDowell, paying +10000. He had a pair of top-10 road course finishes in 2021, and in 15 starts this season, he has five top-five finishes.

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Coca-Cola 600 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 25, 2022

After a weekend All-Star getaway that saw Ryan Blaney take home the checkered flag, the Cup Series gets back to business this weekend with its longest race of the season, the Coca-Cola 600.

Since 1960 NASCAR has been racing at Charlotte Motor Speedway and at 600 miles. And not only is this race unique on the circuit for its distance, but it’s also the only race that begins in the sunlight and ends under the lights at night.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Kyle Larson (+450)
Kyle Busch (+650)
Chase Elliott (+750)
Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
Ryan Blaney (+1000)
William Byron (+1000)
Denny Hamlin (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Tyler Reddick (+1400)
Christopher Bell (+1500)

Kyle Larson won this race last year, the first of three straight wins that ended up catapulting him to the Cup Series championship. He opened the week tied with Kyle Busch atop the favorites board but has since put a little space between himself and Busch.

Kyle Busch was third two weeks ago in Kansas, seventh in Dover, and in April, he had four starts, four top-10 finishes, and a win at Bristol. At the Coca-Cola 600 race last year, Busch finished third. He was fourth in 2020, third in 2019, and he was the winner in 2018.

Even after his 29th place finish in Kansas, Chase Elliott remains the season’s overall points leader. Prior to that race, he was fifth at Darlington, the winner at Dover and seventh at Talladega. At the Coca-Cola 600, Elliott finished as the runner-up in each of the previous two years.

Best Value Bets

Kevin Harvick, paying +3000, is still without a win in 2022, and he definitely isn’t an obvious choice in this one. But he races well at Charlotte, finishing in the top-10 in each of his last two starts here. And while Harvick hasn’t won this season, he has been racing well of late.

He was fourth at Dover three weeks ago, the third of three straight top-10 finishes. He also has three other top-10s this season and runner-up at Richmond.

A longer shot that might be worth considering is Ricky Stenhouse Jr, paying +6000. He’s also without a win in 2022, but like Harvick, he has been close. He has four top-10 finishes this season, with three of them coming in his last five starts.

At this race in 2020, he finished fourth, improving on his fifth-place finish in 2019. He’s finished in the top-10 at Charlotte three times and in the top-20 a total of 12 times.

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Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

Favorites to win Coke Zero Sugar 400

Pay Per Head Software

Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Pay Per Head Software

NOCO 400 Betting Preview

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Cook Out Southern 500 2022 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Cook Out Southern 500

Pay Per Head Software

Verizon 200 at The Brickyard 2022 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

Top Value Plays for Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

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M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 Betting Preview

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Quaker State 400 2022 Betting Preview

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Coca-Cola 600 2022 Betting Preview

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