Favorites, Darkhorses, and Betting Picks for the 2021 BMW Championship

by WagerHome Blog on August 24, 2021

The BMW Championship is the penultimate tournament of the 2020-21 season and the final tournament before the PGA Tour Championship. This will be the first time Tour pros will play Caves Valley Golf Club in Owning Mills, MA., and the first tournament in the Baltimore area since 1962.

Jon Rahm is the defending BMW champion after an epic playoff victory over Dustin Johnson at Olympia Fields Country Club outside of Chicago.

This will be the final opportunity for players to get inside the top-30 in the FedEx Cup standings. The tournament winner gets 2,000 FedEx Cup points and $1.71 million of a $9.5 million purse.

The tournament is a 70-man field, minus Patrick Reed, who had to withdraw due to hospitalization for double pneumonia. There is no cut for the event, much like a WGC tournament.

Caves Valley Golf Club is a par-72 track that stretches 7,542 yards. The course opened in 1991 and was designed by Tom Fazio. The course went through some changes over the last 18 months that included lengthening the course, adding and revamping bunkers, and switching the front and back nines.

We will cover the favorites to win the tournament, along with a few darkhorses that have our attention.

PGA Tour preview and tips - BMW Championship | 19th Hole Golf Blog by Your  Golf Travel

The BMW Championship is the penultimate tournament of the 2020-21 season and the final tournament before the PGA Tour Championship. This will be the first time Tour pros will play Caves Valley Golf Club in Owning Mills, MA.

Betting Favorites

Jon Rahm (+550)

Rahm comes to Maryland as the heavy favorite, according to oddsmakers. The #1 player in the world has been a machine this season, finishing in the top 10 in 13 of 20 events highlighted by his first major victory at the U.S. Open in June. He was the 54-hole leader heading into Monday’s final round of the Northern Trust before a pair of late bogeys on the back nine took him out of contention.

Collin Morikawa (+1800)

This year, Collin Morikawa has a pair of victories, including his second major victory at the Open Championship last month. The 24-year old added a WGC win at the end of February and a total of eight top-10 finishes this year. Coming off a rare missed cut, the bargain for Morikawa is too good to pass up here.

Betting Darkhorses

Harris English (+3500)

A pair of victories and eight top-10 finishes have punctuated Harris English’s best season on Tour. In three of his last five starts, English has a victory, third, and fourth-place finish. The 32-year old wrapped up the first tournament of the playoffs with a T31.

Corey Conners (+8000)

A prolific ball-striker, Corey Conners is due for his second PGA Tour victory. The Candian ranks high in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, SG: Approach the Green, and SG: Tee-to-Green. If Conners can get the putter going this week, he has a great shot to capture his second career PGA victory.

Betting Picks: Morikawa (+1800) and English (+3500)

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WagerHome BlogFavorites, Darkhorses, and Betting Picks for the 2021 BMW Championship

BMW Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 25, 2020

The PGA Tour moves on to the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, and the field for the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club just outside of Chicago is as much about who is in it as who is not.

Failing to qualify last weekend at the Northern Trust were Brooks Koepka, Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose, Rickie Fowler, 2019 British Open champion Shane Lowry, and 2015 FedEx Cup winner Jordan Spieth. Those guys alone would make quite a field.

But not to worry. The field that did move on in the playoffs is quite impressive, and they present several great betting options this coming weekend.

The BMW Championship Favorites

The field is at 70, which will be reduced to 30 after this tournament, and these are who the bookmakers think are most likely to win this weekend’s no-cut tournament.

  • Dustin Johnson (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+950)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1100)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1600)
  • Webb Simpson (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2000)
  • Daniel Berger (+2000)
  • Jason Day (+2900)
  • Patrick Reed (+2900)
  • Tony Finau (+2900)

Dustin Johnson as the favorite is the no-brainer of no-brainers. At the Northern Trust, he lapped the field, winning by an eye-popping 11 strokes. It was the largest margin of victory on the PGA Tour since Phil Mickelson won by 13 shots in 2006.

This is a course-rotating tournament, so we don’t put too much weight on past champions. But for the record, the uber-hot Johnson did win the BMW Championship in 2016. Johnson is now back to No. 1 in the world.

Rory McIlroy has five career wins at FedEx Cup events – tied with Johnson for most ever – and at +2000, he presents an intriguing number.

The wild card here is Collin Morikawa. The PGA Championship winner went into last weekend ranked second in the FedEx Cup standings, but shockingly missed the cut for only the second time in his young career. A week ago, his +2000 would have been great value. Now it’s a bit up in the air.

Other Golfers to Watch

No matter how he is playing, Tiger Woods always has eyes on him. He’s in the midst of four tournaments in five weeks and comes in at +3100 for this weekend.

bmw championship

Louis Oosthuizen was the last man to make the BMW field, moving up from 99th to 70th and qualifying with a birdie on the 72nd hole. He’s +5000 in this one.

Jim Herman, on the back of his surprising win at the Wyndham Championship, is in the field and plays the longest odds at +42000.

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WagerHome BlogBMW Championship Betting Preview