The Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

by WagerHome Blog on September 12, 2023

It was the most anticipated home opener in the history of the New York Jets. It was the anniversary of 9/11, the Jets were debuting a Hall of Fame quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, who came running out of the tunnel carrying an American flag, and finally, after years of being cursed, the Jets were going to be an elite team.

Then, just four plays into Rodgers’ career in New York, it was over. His Achilles tendon was torn, and his season had ended.

Aaron Rodgers Injury: The Jets Super Bowl Chances

Within minutes of the injury, the futures bet on a Jets run to the Super Bowl dropped from +1800 to +2700. And by the end of the night, as the severity of the injury became more sure, those odds dropped all the way to +5500.

New York still has a great defense, as evidenced by their win on Monday night in spite of the injury, but Zach Wilson doesn’t look any better at quarterback than he has in his previous two seasons. As far as being a Super Bowl contender, this team is done.

The Green Bay Packers Fallout

While the blow to the Jets is obviously the greatest, the injury to Rodgers also affects the Green Bay Packers. In the trade that sent Rodgers to New York, the Packers got back a conditional 2024 draft pick that would become a first-round pick if Rodgers played 65% of the snaps. That is no longer a possibility, so instead of the 2024 pick being a first, it will be a second-round pick.

Green Bay received first- and second-round picks in this past draft, which became defensive end Lukas Van Ness and tight end Luke Musgrave.

The Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

Monday Night Bettors Revolt

With such a high-profile player leading off the first Monday Night Football game of the season, many sportsbooks offered special proposition bets, boosters, and same-game parlays.

Most of the sportsbooks are refunding the Rodgers specific bets, like overs on passing yards, touchdowns, etc. And if Rodgers was used in a leg of a same-game parlay, those bets are also being refunded. If, however, you bet the under, those are being treated like wins.

FanDuel and Pointsbet did not offer any refunds and were very clear about their posted rules. FanDuel wrote on social media;

“Due to regulatory requirements, all bets will be settled in accordance with our house rules. Unfortunately we will not be offering a bad beat on this occasion.”

Bettors were quick to complain, but FanDuel isn’t budging.

Pay Per Head Software

Rodgers is out for the year, but the NFL season is just starting. That means there are 17 more weeks of regular season football and four weeks of the postseason for independent bookmakers to make NFL money. However, to maximize those profits, the best way to go is with a pay per head software partnership.

With WagerHome.com, you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogThe Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

NFL Special Props for 2023

by WagerHome Blog on July 21, 2023

NFL training camps opened this week, and by early next week, all 32 teams will be conducting full-squad practices as they get ready for another season of professional football. For us, that means another season of NFL wagers and fun prop bets to get us ready for September’s kickoff.

Justin Fields – Chicago Bears

Bears quarterback Justin Fields is hoping to take another big step this season, and the special props are ready for it.

4,750 combined passing and rushing yards (+150)

This is a lot of total yards for a quarterback, and it would be more than 1,400 above his 2022 output. But he is a special player with an incredibly high ceiling. Have the Bears added enough around him to allow this kind of a leap.

400-plus passing yards in any one game (+225)

This is a bet that is more likely to happen than the season bet above. In a division with the high-scoring Lions and with games against the Chiefs, Chargers, and Cardinals, a one-game shootout where Fields goes crazy isn’t that far-fetched.

New York Jets

We’re going to get a lot of the Jets this season, thanks to the move to New York by Aaron Rodgers. They are going to be this year’s “Hard Knocks” team, and they have some of the most tempting special season props.

Aaron Rodgers: 4000-plus passing yards and Jets make playoffs (+160)

On the surface, this seems like an easy bet. Rodgers has gone over 4,000 yards 10 times in his career and 11 times he’s been to the playoffs. But he was under 4,000 yards in 2022, and the Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2009.

Garrett Wilson: 175-plus receiving yards in any one game (+275)

After winning Rookie of the Year, expectations for Garrett Wilson are off the charts. He’s an incredible talent, and Rodgers will help move him into the class of elite wide receivers.

NFL Special Props for 2023

All of that is true, and what is also true is that 175 yards is a tall order. In 2021 the Rodgers to Davante Adams connections went over 175 only once. It also only happened once in 2020 and once in 2019. Just three times in 108 games together.

Rodgers and Wilson will have many big games together this season, but to go over 175 yards is a tall order and not all that likely to happen.

Dalvin Cook’s Next NFL Team

  • Patriots (+150)
  • Dolphins (+200)
  • Jets (+400)
  • Broncos (+1500)

Dalvin Cook is a 27-year-old four-time Pro Bowler, and he will have a team by the end of training camp. The odds suggest quite strongly that it will be in the AFC East, but not with the Bills, where his brother James plays.

Pay Per Head Software

The NFL season is coming, and if you are an independent bookmaker looking to maximize your profits, now is the time to join forces with a top pay per head service provider like WagerHome.com.

With WagerHome, you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Special Props for 2023

NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 27, 2022

Two weeks are left in the season, and nine of the 14 NFL playoff spots have been claimed. Although we don’t yet know where any of those nine teams will be seeded. That, along with the five remaining playoff teams, as well as four division titles, are still to be decided.

It’s the NFL’s sprint to the end of the regular season, and these are the most fun games to wager in Week 17.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-5.5)

Detroit’s playoff chances took a hit with last weekend’s loss to the Panthers. But if they win this week and next and just get a little bit of help, they can still be a postseason team.

Back home in the dome and against the Chicago defense, the Lions should be fine. The one caveat is that Justin Fields ran for 147 yards against them in their last meeting. Just hold Fields to 100 yards, and Detroit will win this game by at least a touchdown. Give the points, enjoy Fields, and watch the Lions cover.

New York Jets (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Mike White is back at quarterback for the Jets, and at least for one week, he will keep New York’s NFL season alive. The Jets’ defense will put the clamps on a struggling Geno Smith, and White will generate enough points to get the low-scoring win.

New York takes this game 23-16, and they go to Miami in Week 18, still in the NFL playoff hunt.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

The Packers were dead and buried, and the only thing that would cure their staleness in 2023 was the end of the Aaron Rodgers era. Not. So. Fast, says the reigning MVP.

Green Bay has an offense again, they have three straight wins, and if a couple of things fall their way, the Packers will be in the NFL playoffs. One of those things is winning this week against the Vikings at Lambeau Field – something that the Packers did exactly one year ago, 37-10.

The Vikings are a different team outside, and they will lose to Green Bay, 27-20.

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (+1)

The game of the week, and maybe the game of the year, is Monday night in Cincinnati. The reigning AFC champion Bengals, hosting the current top seed in the AFC, the Bills. Joe Burrow vs. Josh Allen is always great, but as the final game of Week 17, it promises to be a classic.

The Bills have been struggling to put lesser teams away, and the Bengals right now are not a lesser team. At home in front of a crazy crowd in the Jungle, Cincinnati will get the win, 27-24.

Pay Per Head Software

If you are an independent bookmaker looking to boost your income during the NFL playoffs, now is the time to join forces with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com.

With WagerHome, you get your own fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com and get your first four weeks absolutely free.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Week 17 Betting Picks

NFL Week 16 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 23, 2021

Welcome back to our NFL Week 16 betting picks! As we move into the final three weeks of the season, there are two things we’re focused on: Which teams have the most to play for and which teams are best equipped to survive positive COVID tests. Unfortunately, December of 2021 is looking a lot like the 2020 season, and rosters can take unexpected hits at any given moment.

So always check the latest COVID/reserve list before placing your NFL Week 16 betting picks.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-7)

We expect that Baker Mayfield will be back for the Browns for Saturday’s game in Green Bay. But the Browns are now 7-7 and on playoff life support. The Packers, on the other hand, have control of home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs, and Aaron Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his life.

The Packers have an extra day of rest, more to play for, and a quarterback looking like a back-to-back MVP. There won’t be a late-game meltdown to blow the point spread like last week at Baltimore. This week Green Bay wins by at least 10 points and covers the spread.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (+10.5)

The old narrative would read like this: Tom Brady is super angry about getting shut out on Sunday night, and like the Hulk, you don’t want to make Tom Brady angry.

That sentiment about Brady is real, but the injuries just suffered by the Bucs offense are also very real and far more relevant. The simple fact is when Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are not in the lineup, this offense struggles. Remove Mike Evans, who we won’t know about until closer to kick-off, and points will be at a premium.

NFL Week 16 Betting Picks

The Panthers have a good defense, and they will be able to slow an already slowed Tampa Bay offense enough to keep the final score to within 10 points. The Bucs will win but take the Panthers and the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-9) at Houston Texans

Another team that’s angry heading into Week 16 is the Los Angeles Chargers, who are just a fourth-down conversion away from being in the first place. Instead, they are most likely going to finish no better than second place, leaving them in the jumbled mess of the AFC wild-card race.

Winning at Houston keeps the Chargers clear of the teams currently out of the playoffs, like Baltimore and Pittsburgh, and helps them keep pace with the Colts and Bills. Winning big at Houston will help soothe the soul after losing in overtime to the Chiefs, and that is what will happen.

Take the Chargers and give the points.

Pay Per Head Software

There is no better football than right now and no better time for independent bookmakers to join forces with a top pay per head software provider. With WagerHome.com, you get a fully customizable website, plus access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, as well as EZ live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com and get your first four weeks of membership absolutely free.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Week 16 Betting Picks

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2021

Welcome to our NFL Week 15 Betting Picks! The NFL has moved into its Saturday game phase, so we are now treated to a full slate of NFL games all weekend long for the remainder of the regular season. More days of football is always a good thing, as are more days of football betting.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

It’s not that we’re not believers in the one-year turnaround in New England. The Patriots deserve their top spot in the AFC playoff seedings. We’re just big believers in the Colts at home, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way.

Both teams are coming off their bye, and are well-rested and as healthy as you can expect this late in the season. New England is also rolling. Their weather game in Buffalo was close, but their previous four wins were by 18, 38, 25, and 23 points.

But Saturday night is all about Taylor and if the Patriots can stop him. New England ranks 19th against the run, and in their last three games, they’ve given up 136.3 ypg. That is the opening Taylor needs, and that is why the Colts win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

There are five teams in the AFC bunched up at 7-6, and only two of them are going to make the playoffs. These two teams would both like to be in that group, making Sunday’s game in Denver a must-win for both.

The Broncos did look good last week, but it was Detroit. The week before, when they were in Kansas City and playing for first place in the AFC West, they lost 22-9.

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

The Bengals are coming off two straight losses at home, but Joe Burrow, despite his injured finger, is playing well. And when it comes to do-or-die football in late December, go with the better quarterback. Plus, the weather in Denver will be nice this weekend, leaving the Bengals offense to do its thing and win this game outright.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

As we just said with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, go with the better quarterback. And in Baltimore this weekend, despite these being the last two NFL MVPs, Aaron Rodgers is the better quarterback. And the healthiest.

Rodgers is rolling right now. Over his last three games, he has 1,033 yards, ten touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. Lamar Jackson has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and will be playing on a sprained ankle.

The Ravens look like a team completely out of gas. Green Bay looks like a team on a mission. Packers roll and win by 10 points.

Pay Per Head Software

With four weeks of regular season football left, the best way for independent bookmakers to finish the year is with a pay per head software partnership. Join WagerHome.com and get a fully customizable website as well as access to their huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com, and get your first four weeks absolutely free.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Week 15 Betting Picks

NFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview by Wagerhome.com

by Wager Home on August 13, 2019

NFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview

 

With the NFL preseason now fully underway and the first meaningful contest inside a month, another NFL season ripe with sports betting opportunity is upon us. The league’s extreme popularity has forced most on and offshore sportsbooks pay per head to post Week 1 many months in advance, in addition to season win totals and other season-long props. With preseason games already complete, teams are starting to take form and the lines are already starting to tighten. Let’s look at some of the first week’s games and see where the edges still exist.

NFL week 1

Week 1 NFL

 

Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky indicated improvement throughout the 2018 season, but I’m still not buying totally in. For the Packers, it’s been another dramatic offseason for Aaron Rodgers who has been forced to yet again defend himself and his character in the media for seemingly the entire spring and summer. Assuming no incident in what should be limited preseason action, Rodgers should be fully healthy for the first time since this time last year and as good as the Bear’s defense was last year and should be this season, I’ll still take a healthy Rodgers when it counts. As September approaches, I think this line also dips to below a field goal with the public jumping on Green Bay.

pay per head

Bears VS Packers

 

Los Angeles Rams (-3) @ Carolina Panthers

 

The last time we saw an NFL game that mattered, we witnessed Sean McVay and his Rams get one of the worst coaching beat-downs in the history of the Super Bowl. The offensive strategist McVay has now been given the entire offseason to prepare for what has been a one-dimensional Cam Newton-lead team with an aging roster and simple-minded Ron Rivera. In this one, give me the team that’s better on both sides of the ball and undoubtedly in the coaching department. Currently sitting at -3, I could see this point spread dipping to below a field goal by kickoff and might be worth waiting on.

sports gambling

Rams VS Panthers

 

Indianapolis Colts (+3) @ Los Angeles Chargers

 

This line originally opened as high as Colts +3.5 and has since been bet down to where it sits now. As week one approaches, I see the number continuing to dip, pending any injuries in training camp or a preseason game. The Colts finished off the 2018 campaign as one of the hottest in the NFL, winning 10 of their last 12 games including a blowout win in the playoffs game against the Texans. Most offshore and local sportsbooks also have the Colts as one of their top teams to win Super Bowl LIV at +1400, with the Chargers closer to +1600. With little to no field advantage yet again, I expect the Colts to be able to take advantage of this opening spot in LA.

bookie software

Colts VS Chargers

 

read more
Wager HomeNFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview by Wagerhome.com