Potential Super Bowl Previews Highlight Week 16

by WagerHome Blog on December 22, 2023

This week we have an NFL scheduling treat that is worthy of leaving for Santa, in place of his normal cookies and milk.

On Sunday we get the two highest scoring teams in the NFL going head-to-head when the Cowboys visit the Dolphins. Then on Monday the two top seeds in the NFL playoffs meet when the Ravens visit the 49ers.

It’s two of the best matchups of the season, and it comes on the best weekend of the year.

Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins (-1)

The Dolphins are scoring the most points per game in the NFL, and the Cowboys are right behind them in second. Both of these teams are in first place in their divisions, and as things stand today, they are the second playoff seeds in each of their respective conferences.

But there are also inconsistencies with each team that make this an interesting game. For all of their high-octane scoring, when playing a team with a winning record, the Dolphins have yet to win. Miami has gotten fat off beating bad teams – the Patriots and Jets twice each, the Chargers, Giants, Panthers, Raiders, and Commanders.

When playing Kansas City, Buffalo, and Philadelphia, they lost.

There is a similar criticism for the Cowboys. They do have wins over the Eagles and Seahawks, but when going on the road against a winning team, Dallas loses. The 49ers, at the Eagles, and last week at Buffalo.

One of these two teams will answer these criticisms. Either Dallas beats a good team on the road, or Miami beats a winning team. We’ll find out Christmas Eve.

Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers (-5)

The Ravens and 49ers are tied for the best record in the NFL at 11-3, and as of today they are the top seeds in the AFC and NFC. They also come into this game playing great football.

Baltimore comes into this Christmas night game on a four-game winning streak, with a dominating 23-7 win at Jacksonville last week. San Francisco is on a six-game winning streak, and all six of those wins have been by at least 12 points. The average win has been 19 points.

The 49ers have the best scoring defense in the NFL. The Ravens are second. They are ranked third and fourth in points scored, and the Ravens have the best rushing team in the NFL while the 49ers are the most efficient passing team.

This game also features Brock Purdy, the MVP betting favorite, Lamar Jackson, the second betting favorite, and Christian McCaffrey, the fourth betting favorite and NFL touchdown leader.

It’s the perfect way to end Christmas weekend.

Pay Per Head Software

These are just two of the 16 NFL games this weekend, and we still have two more full weekends after this before we get to the NFL playoffs.

If you are an independent bookmaker, don’t go into the postseason short-handed. Join forces with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com and get a fully customizable website and access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogPotential Super Bowl Previews Highlight Week 16

The Week 16 NFL Playoff Jumble

by WagerHome Blog on December 19, 2023

In the AFC there are seven teams that are either 8-6, 7-7, or 6-8. The NFC has five teams at 7-7 and two others at 6-8.

All of them can finish over .500 and in the playoffs, and all of them can finish below .500 and out of the playoffs. Through 15 weeks only four teams have clinched a playoff berth – only one in the AFC – and only six teams have been eliminated from the playoffs.

It’s a crazy wonderful mess and we head into the Christmas weekend.

NFC – Who’s In

The San Francisco 49ers have clinched the NFC West and they are proving to be the class of the NFL. They are currently the top seed in the conference, and they hold a one-game lead and the tiebreaker over the two teams who could possibly catch them, the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles.

Both the Cowboys and Eagles are in the postseason, and one of them is going to be at home to begin the playoffs, and the other will be on the road as a wild card. That is still TBD.

NFC – Who’s Next

The Detroit Lions need just one win in their final three games to wrap up the NFC North. Beyond them it’s a total crapshoot.

Tampa Bay is currently 7-7, tied with New Orleans for first in the NFC South. The other NFC teams with realistic shots at the postseason are the Vikings (currently the 6th seed), the Rams (currently the 7th seed), the Bucs/Saints, Seahawks, Falcons, and Packers.

Seattle has the easiest remaining schedule with games against the Steelers, Cardinals, and Titans. The Vikings have the toughest with two games left against the Lions.

AFC – Who’s In

The Baltimore Ravens have clinched a playoff berth, but because of the magic of Joe Flacco they have yet to clinch the AFC North. They also have a challenging schedule ahead, with the 49ers this week and the Dolphins the week after.

If Baltimore were to lose those two games, and Cleveland wins out (Texans, Jets, Bengals), we’d go all the way to the fourth tiebreaker, best record in the conference, and that would go to the Browns.

AFC – Who’s Next

The Chiefs and Dolphins will clinch their divisions if they win this week, or any of the remaining weeks. Miami can clinch this week even if they lose, if the Bills also lose.

The Jaguars have dropped into a three-way tie for first with the Colts and Texans, and at 8-6 any or all of them can make the playoffs. 

The Browns are the top wild card and probably in regardless of what happens with the Ravens. The Bengals and Bills are 8-6, and the Steelers and Broncos are both 7-7 and within a game of the playoffs.

Pay Per Head Software

It’s going to be a wild three final weeks, and if you are an independent bookmaker looking to maximize your NFL profits, you must sign up today with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com.

With WagerHome you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogThe Week 16 NFL Playoff Jumble

Best Bets for NFL Week 15

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2023

We have Saturday, Sunday, and Monday NFL football this weekend, as the league begins its sprint to the postseason. And there is not one of the 15 games that doesn’t have meaning for the playoffs. In every game there is at least one team in the playoff chase.

Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

Joshua Dobbs is out in Minnesota and Nick Mullens is in. And he’s not bad as far as backup quarterbacks, but he doesn’t present the excitement of a Dobbs, nor is he in command of the offense quite like Jake Browning has been in Cincinnati.

The loss of Joe Burrow was supposed to sink the Bengals, but Browning and the rest of the team has other plans. Those plans include winning this Saturday at home, and covering the spread against an offense that is playing its worst football of the season.

New York Giants (+6) at New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints are one of the worst teams in football when it comes to playing against the spread. Only three times have they covered the spread, and they’ve covered just once against a team playing good football. We don’t count covering against the Patriots and Panthers.

The Giants used to be one of the worst teams against the spread, but then Tommy DeVito happened. After losing to Dallas a month ago, New York was just 2-8 against the spread. They have since covered in three straight games, winning outright as the underdog in all three.

This week they are once again an underdog, and they are simply playing too well on offense with DeVito to warrant such a big spread. Take the Giants and the points.

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (Under 37.5)

The 37.5 points is the lowest over/under line of Patrick Mahomes’ career. But don’t take that fact to mean that you should bet the over. That would be a mistake.

This season the Chiefs have gone over just four times, while hitting the under nine times. And last week in their game against the Bills they were a full 12 points under.

The Patriots are also 9-4 in favor of the under, and four times they have been under by double digits. In the last four games, they have one over, and three unders by 32.5 points, 19 points, and 26.5 points.

The Chiefs play good defense, but struggle offensively. The Patriots, as bad as they are, also still play good defense. Kansas City wins this game 20-10, and the under hits by more than a touchdown.

Pay Per Head Software

Four weeks remain of the NFL regular season, the college bowl season begins this Saturday, and the NBA and college basketball are ready to kick it up a notch now that the holiday season is here.

Independent bookmakers, now is the time to join forces with a top pay per head software provider. WagerHome.com gives you a customizable website, access to their huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting.

See a demo at WagerHome.com.

 

read more
WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 15

NFL MVP Race Has a Cowboy In Front

by WagerHome Blog on December 12, 2023

As crazy it sounds, considering the successful history of the Dallas Cowboys and the fact that two of their former quarterbacks are in the Hall of Fame, no Cowboy QB has ever won the MVP award.

Roger Staubach was the league’s top passer four times, he was never its MVP. Troy Aikman engineered the Dallas dynasty of the 1990s, but his highest vote total ever was three in 1993, the year that his teammate Emmitt Smith won the award.

The Cowboys QB shutout, however, may be about to change.

NFL MVP Odds

  • Dak Prescott (+160)
  • Brock Purdy (+200)
  • Lamar Jackson (+550)
  • Jalen Hurts (+650)
  • Tua Tagovailoa (+1000)
  • Tyreek Hill (+1300)
  • Patrick Mahomes (+1600)

For the first time this season, Dak Prescott is the odds-on favorite to win the MVP award. If the Cowboys grab both the NFC East and the top seed in the conference, it will be impossible to deny Prescott, who is having his finest season as a pro. His current quarterback rating of 107.5 is a career-high, and with Sunday night’s big win over Philadelphia, he has 10 wins this season. One more and he will tie his most wins in a season since his rookie year.

The current one-seed in the NFC is the San Francisco 49ers, and their quarterback, Brock Purdy, is the second betting favorite to win the MVP. The one knock against him is the incredible talent around him. But Kurt Warner had Isaac Bruce, Tory Holt, and Marshall Faulk; and Peyton Manning had Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison, and Edgerrin James, and both of those QBs won the MVP with a collection of great teammates.

To deny his incredible season because he has great weapons is hollow. He has been outstanding this season.

The Baltimore Ravens escaped with an overtime win over the Rams, and that keeps them in the driver’s seat for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. It also keeps Lamar Jackson as the third betting favorite for the MVP. Jackson’s three touchdown passes against L.A. was tied for the Sunday-high, and his 316 yards was the third best performance.

Next in line would be Jalen Hurts even though the Eagles are on a two-game losing streak. The Eagles also failed to score an offensive touchdown against the Cowboys – the first time that has happened to them since 2019. Hurts has 31 total touchdowns this season, but his turnovers are up to 15, compared to just eight for all of last year.

Pay Per Head Software

We have four weeks of the NFL regular season, then it’s a month of playoffs leading up to the Super Bowl. And in that time there will be 41 college bowl games and the College Football Playoff, plus a full schedule of NBA and college basketball, and the NHL.

One independent bookmaker alone can not keep up with it all. But, if you are partnered with a top pay per head software provider, you can.

With WagerHome.com you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL MVP Race Has a Cowboy In Front

NFL Week 14 Playoff Clinching and Elimination Scenarios

by WagerHome Blog on December 6, 2023

As wild as it seems, with multiple nine- and 10-win teams, as well as 10- and 11-loss teams, no one has clinched a playoff berth, or been eliminated from the playoffs through 13 weeks of play.

That is likely to change this week as the number of games remaining dwindles down to just four after this week.

NFC Clinching Scenarios

Philadelphia Eagles

As the only 10-win team in the conference, the Philadelphia Eagles have the easiest of the clinching scenarios. Win on Sunday in Dallas, and if the Rams or Seahawks lose, the Eagles are in. 

The Eagles also get it if they win, and they get one of the following combinations: Minnesota loss/tie + Green Bay loss/tie, or Green Bay loss/tie + Detroit loss/tie.

An Eagles tie on Sunday also gets them into the playoffs with a number of other teams losing outright.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are going to get into the playoffs, but it likely won’t happen this week. Even if they beat the Eagles (a must if they are to get in this week), they would also need the following: A Detroit win/tie, Tampa Bay loss, Seattle loss, Green Bay loss, Rams loss/tie, and Minnesota loss/tie.

It could happen this week but don’t bet on it.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have a fairly easy road to clinching this week. If they win, and if the Vikings lose, or the Packers lose, or both the Vikings and Packers tie, the 49ers are in. The only way the 49ers don’t clinch this week is they lose, or both the Packers and Vikings win.

NFC Elimination Scenarios

The Arizona Cardinals are off this week, but they are the only NFC team that could get knocked out of the playoffs. If the Rams and Packers win, or the Rams win and the Packers tie and the Vikings win/tie, Arizona can look ahead to next season.

AFC Elimination Scenarios

In the AFC there are no teams that can clinch a playoff berth this week, so we move straight to the elimination scenarios.

New England Patriots

Anything less than a win for the Patriots this week, and they are out. A loss or tie with the Steelers on Thursday will eliminate the Patriots.

If they do win on Thursday, but Houston also wins, or Cincinnati wins, or the Raiders + Bills win, then the Patriots are also out.

Tennessee Titans

The Titans aren’t dead yet, and the scenario to knock them out this week is unlikely to happen. But they will be gone at some point soon. It happens in Week 14 if the Titans lose, Jacksonville and Cleveland tie, Indianapolis wins, Pittsburgh wins, and Houston wins or ties.

Pay Per Head Software

We have the final month of the NFL season, the full college bowl schedule, and NHL and NBA and college basketball. If you are an independent bookmaker, this is the month to join forces with a top pay per head software provider.

WagerHome.com gives you a fully customizable website, access to their huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Week 14 Playoff Clinching and Elimination Scenarios

A Bettor’s Guide to the College Football Playoff

by WagerHome Blog on December 5, 2023

With the College Football Playoff going to 12 teams next year, we’ll never see another unbeaten conference champion like Florida State get passed over for a one-loss Alabama. But if anyone thinks there won’t be controversy involving the 11th, 12th, and 13th best teams in the country, I have a bridge to sell you.

There will always be controversy in a sport that uses polls. But we are getting closer to making sure the best team in college football is always given an opportunity to compete for the National Championship, and this year we have succeeded.

Odds to Win College Football Playoff and National Championship

  • Michigan (+185)
  • Alabama (+200)
  • Texas (+260)
  • Washington (+750)

This year the committee had no room for second place finishers. Georgia, after an entire season of sitting at No. 1, is out after losing to Alabama in the SEC Championship. The Tide rolled through the last half of the regular season and they enter the playoffs as the fourth seed by the committee, but as the second betting favorites in Las Vegas.

Texas beat Alabama early in the year, and then they put a loss to Oklahoma in the rearview mirror by cruising to an easy Big 12 title. The Longhorns closed out the season with a 50-point win over Texas Tech to get into the Big 12 Championship Game, then they beat Oklahoma State by 28 to claim their fourth conference championship.

Washington finished the season undefeated and beat Oregon twice on its way to winning its final Pac-12 title. Next year, along with Oregon, USC, and UCLA, the Huskies move to the Big Ten. Before the Huskies begin their quest to win the school’s first National Championship since 1991, quarterback Michel Penix Jr. hopes to win Washington’s first ever Heisman Trophy this weekend in New York.

For Michigan, three straight wins over Ohio State and three straight Big Ten titles are no longer enough. To complete the resume of this era of Wolverine football they must finish the season as National Champions. They are the betting favorite, and they are the most experienced. They are the only team returning from last year’s group of four.

Semifinal Matchups

  • No. 4 Alabama vs. No. 1 Michigan (-1.5)
  • No. 3 Texas (-4.5) vs. No. 2 Washington

Beginning our New Year’s Day of top college football will be Alabama and Michigan in the Rose Bowl in Pasadena. The Wolverines are favored in that one by just 1.5 points. 

Following the conclusion of the Rose Bowl, Texas and Washington will kick off in the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. Texas is 4.5-point favorites.

Pay Per Head Software

These four teams will play just three of the 41 college football bowls that are on tap this month. Plus we have the end of the NFL regular season, NBA, college basketball, and the NHL. So many sports, so little time, unless as an independent bookmaker you also have a pay per head software partner like WagerHome.com.

With WagerHome you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting. See a demo at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogA Bettor’s Guide to the College Football Playoff

NFL Week 13 Betting Preview & Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 30, 2023

December football is here, and the playoff picture is becoming clearer. In fact, this week we might have our first playoff clinching scenario. If the Philadelphia Eagles win, and the Rams don’t, the Eagles are in the postseason.

Philadelphia also can get in with a win and losses by the Lions and Packers.

It won’t be an easy win for the Eagles, but it speaks to the coming dominoes to fall. Over the next few weeks, spots will be claimed, and other teams will be eliminated. And we get to place wagers on all of it.

Miami Dolphins (-9.5) at Washington Commanders

There has been a change at defensive coordinator in Washington. After losing to the Cowboys, 45-10, on Thanksgiving, a week after losing to the Giants 31-19, Jack Del Rio was relieved of his duties. Head coach Ron Rivera, himself on the hot seat, will take over DC duties for the remainder of the season.

None of it will matter against an offense as explosive as the Dolphins. Tyreek Hill has gone for 248 yards over the last two weeks, the Dolphins just boat-raced a good Jets defense on Black Friday, 34-13, and they should cruise against Washington.

Don’t be surprised if Miami wins by the largest margin of the week.

Detroit Lions (-4) at New Orleans Saints

Do not jump off the Lions just yet. Yes, the last three weeks the defense has looked bad, and in the last two weeks the results have been mixed. They should have lost to the Bears, and they did lose to the Packers. But the Lions are still good, and the three fumbles by Jared Goff last weekend is an anomaly. That will be fixed this week.

The Saints have scored just two touchdowns in their last 27 possessions, and last week they were kept out of the end zone by the Atlanta Falcons. They are one of the worst red zone teams in the NFL, ranking 29th in touchdowns per visit, and they will continue to struggle on Sunday.

The Lions get right and cover this spread.

San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Philadelphia Eagles

The aforementioned clinching scenario for the Eagles is indeed going to be a challenge. For the first time this season they are underdogs, and underdogs at home for the first time since 2021. And it’s for good reason. The 49ers are playing like the best team in the NFL.

The Eagles are an impressive 10-1, but they are winning by one or two plays, and in a few cases – like the Chiefs’ dropped pass – by luck. Meanwhile the 49ers are hammering the opposition, winning by an average of 21 points since they came off their bye.

Take the 49ers, and then look forward to the rematch.

Pay Per Head Software

Along with Week 13 in the NFL, this is conference championship week in college football. Plus the NBA and NHL are in full tilt.

Independent bookmakers, now is the time to join forces with a top pay per head software provider. WagerHome.com gives you a customizable website, plus access to their huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ live betting.

See a demo at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Week 13 Betting Preview & Picks

College Football Conference Championships to Determine College Football Playoff

by WagerHome Blog on November 28, 2023

There are eight teams left in the running for the College Football Playoff’s final four positions, and it all comes down to one final weekend of conference championship football.

No. 6 Oregon (-9.5) vs. No. 4 Washington

Both the Ducks and Huskies can make the CFP, but only if they win on Friday in Las Vegas. Washington would be an obvious choice as an undefeated conference champion, and a two-time winner over Oregon. If the Ducks win the Pac-12 instead, then they would likely need a loss by Florida State to get into the CFP.

No. 20 Oklahoma State vs. No. 7 Texas (-15)

Similar to the scenario for one-loss Oregon to get into the CFP, Texas also has one loss, and would likely only leapfrog Florida State if the Seminoles lose. A win over Oklahoma State is expected to put them ahead of Ohio State, since the Longhorns would be a conference champion with an extra win.

Oklahoma State can’t get it, but a Big 12 win would be quite a coup for a team that got blown out this season by South Alabama and UCF.

No. 1 Georgia (-6) vs. No. 8 Alabama

If Alabama is able to get past Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, they will get into the CFP. Probably. But they would also need Texas to win, so that loss to the Longhorns early in the season doesn’t look so bad.

If Georgia loses, there are scenarios in which they can still get into the final four of the CFP. But the field is crowded, and there would need to be no more than one unbeaten team remaining. In order for two teams from the same conference to get it, we would need to see a little bit of chaos on Saturday.

No. 10 Louisville vs. No. 5 Florida State (-2.5)

It’s hard to envision a scenario where Florida State wins the ACC, but doesn’t get in. No unbeaten Power Five conference champion has ever been left out of the College Football Playoff. However, it isn’t beyond the realm of possibility that if FSU looks rather sluggish in beating Louisville, they could lose out to a one-loss Georgia.

The Seminoles would do themselves a big favor in showing the committee that even without quarterback Jordan Travis, this offense can put up points.

No. 3 Michigan (-23) vs. No. 17 Iowa

The biggest favorite of the week is Michigan, going against the best punting team in the history of college football, Iowa. The Wolverines cruise into the CFP with a win.

The looming question for the Big Ten is Ohio State. They lost to Michigan last year by 22 at home, and they still got into the CFP. In order for it to happen again this year they need Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Texas to lose, and then put up their resume against one-loss FSU.

Pay Per Head Software

With big weeks ahead in college football and the NFL, don’t leave money on the table if you are an independent bookmaker. Join forces with WagerHome.com, and get your own customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting.

See a demo today at WagerHome.com.

read more
WagerHome BlogCollege Football Conference Championships to Determine College Football Playoff

A Big Final Weekend of College Football

by WagerHome Blog on November 21, 2023

It’s Thanksgiving, it’s the final weekend of the college football regular season, and there are still several spots in conference championship games up for grabs.

Eat your leftover turkey sandwiches, turn on the TV, and place your wagers – just as the Pilgrims envisioned.

Texas Tech at No. 7 Texas (-13)

The Big 12 is a bit of jumbled mess behind Texas. If the Longhorns beat Texas Tech on Friday, they are in the Big 12 Championship Game in Arlington, Texas. Oklahoma State is also in if they beat BYU on Saturday.

But if either of these teams lose, Oklahoma could get in, Kansas State could get in, or Texas and Oklahoma State could still get in with losses. We could have as many as four teams tied for two spots, making for a great weekend of college football chaos.

No. 15 Oregon State at No. 6 Oregon (-13.5)

Washington is already in the Pac-12 Championship Game, and Oregon has the best chance at joining them. Win the “Civil War” over rival Oregon State, and the Ducks are going to Las Vegas.

But the Beavers are no pushover. They almost beat the Huskies last week, and they did beat the Ducks last year. And if they are to win this Friday, then Arizona gets a chance to advance to the Pac-12 Championship Game over Arizona State on Saturday.

No. 2 Ohio State at No. 3 Michigan (-3.5)

Nevermind the nonsense going on with Jim Harbaugh. This game, called The Game, is bigger than any one head coach. Unless that coach is Woody Hayes, who famously risked running out of gas, rather than filling his tank in “that state up north.”

His attitude sums up the entire feeling of this rivalry. The fans, the school, the alumni, the states, nothing but hatred for the other.

Both teams are in the top-five, both teams have designs on making it to the College Football Playoff, and both want to win this game more than any other on their schedule. The winner in Ann Arbor will face Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game.

No. 8 Alabama at Auburn

Alabama is already headed to the SEC Championship Game to play Georgia, but winning the Iron Bowl before they do that could set them for a shot at the College Football Playoff. If they beat Auburn and Georgia, it will be hard to deny the Crimson Tide. But a loss at Auburn, which would be a second loss this season, would likely sink any chance at a national championship.

Pay Per Head Software

So much great college football, then we have the championship games next weekend. Plus the NFL regular season marches on, the NBA and NHL, college basketball – it never ends.

If you are an independent bookmaker trying to stay on top of it all, now is the time to join forces with a top pay per head software provider. With WagerHome.com you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com!

read more
WagerHome BlogA Big Final Weekend of College Football

NFL Thanksgiving Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on November 21, 2023

Since 1934 the Thanksgiving holiday has featured a Detroit Lions home game. The Dallas Cowboys joined the holiday action in 1966, hosting their own annual Thanksgiving Day game. A third game was added in primetime in 2006, and now in 2023 we get a fourth game on Black Friday.

The best American holiday keeps getting better.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-7.5)

The Lions have been underdogs in 11 of their previous 15 Thanksgiving Day games, but this Lions team is now one of the best in the NFC, and they are the deserved favorite over the Green Bay Packers.

The Lions are 8-2 this season and they are tied for an NFL-best 7-3 against the spread. Meanwhile the Packers have covered in just two of their last seven games, and when they faced Detroit in Green Bay earlier this season, they lost by 14 points.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys (-11)

The last time these two teams played, last January, the Commanders won 26-6 and easily covered the spread. It was Week 18, but Dallas wasn’t resting anyone. They weren’t playing a skeleton crew in preparation for the playoffs. They just got their butts kicked, plain and simple.

This Commanders team in theory is better than that team, but this Cowboys team is certainly better. They are playing great football on both sides of the ball, and they have covered double-digit spreads in each of the previous two weeks.

San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Seattle head coach Pete Carroll says that despite the bruised tricep quarterback Geno Smith suffered last week, he will play on Thursday night against the 49ers. And that’s a good thing, because the Seahawks need all hands on deck when playing against the 49ers offense.

No offense looks better than San Francisco’s, and Seattle’s only hope is to score a lot of points themselves. It will be tougher without Kenneth Walker, who is out with an oblique injury. And it will be tough against a pretty good San Francisco front-seven that should harass Smith all game long.

Miami Dolphins (-10) at New York Jets

If you do not want to get into fist fights at Target over a half-price television, the NFL has your back. For the first time ever we get an NFL game on Black Friday, with the Dolphins visiting the New York Jets.

Miami has the offense, the Jets have the defense, and the Jets also have a new quarterback. Head coach Robert Saleh has moved Zach Wilson to third string, and handed over the offense to Tim Boyle, a 29-year-old five-year pro who made three starts for the Lions back in 2021. Trevor Siemian will serve as his backup on Friday.

Pay Per Head Software

It is an action packed holiday weekend filled with NFL and college football, the NBA and college basketball, and the NHL.

If you are an independent bookmaker trying to take wagers on all of it, get some help from a top pay per head software provider. With WagerHome.com you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting. See a demo today at WagerHome.com!

read more
WagerHome BlogNFL Thanksgiving Betting Preview