Favorites to Win the NCAA Basketball Championship

by WagerHome Blog on December 1, 2020

One of the biggest sports casualties of the COVID-19 pandemic was last year’s NCAA Basketball Tournament. The fans were, of course, deprived of the best month of sports and the best sports gambling event anywhere on the calendar.

But more importantly, 68 teams worth of young basketball players were deprived of the dream of playing for the basketball national championship.

Since last March, the sports world has figured out how to play out championships, with the NHL, NBA, and MLB all awarding their titles. We hope and pray the same works out for the NFL, NCAA football, and the college basketball season that tipped off last week.

NCAA Basketball Futures Betting Odds

Barring any changes, there will be 68 teams playing for the championship in March, with 31 automatic bids going out to the conference tournament champions (The only conference missing this season is the Ivy League).

As for which of the 68 teams will be left standing at the end of the Final Four in Indianapolis, these are your favorites.

  • Baylor (+175)
  • Gonzaga (+175)
  • Villanova (+200)
  • Virginia (+200)
  • Iowa (+225)
  • Kansas (+250)
  • Kentucky (+250)
  • Texas Tech (+300)
  • Creighton (+325)
  • Duke (+325)
  • Illinois (+325)
  • Florida State (+350)
  • Wisconsin (+375)
  • Michigan State (+425)

We’ve already seen our first big game between contenders when Gonzaga won easily over Kansas. It was an offensive explosion with the Bulldogs, besting the Jayhawks 102-90.

The game was especially welcome when you consider that we lost a Baylor vs. Villanova game due to COVID-19 issues.

Normally this kind of upset is reserved for the first weekend of the tournament, but Virginia lost to San Francisco in one of the true early-season shockers. It’s a window into the upcoming season and not only the unpredictability of COVID-19, but the unpredictability of how it will affect play on the court.

Blue Bloods vs. New Bloods

Kentucky reloads every season, and, as former Providence head coach Pete Gillen once said, “Duke is Duke.” So it’s no surprise that the Wildcats and Blue Devils are among the favorites to win in March.

But perennial participant North Carolina doesn’t make our list, as it is tied with Ohio State and San Diego State at +700. Long-time basketball powers UCLA and Louisville are also at +700. Connecticut, with championships in 2011 and 2014, is only +1400 – the same as Maryland and Purdue.

ncaa basketball

Meanwhile, Baylor, which hasn’t been to a Final Four since 1950, tops our list. And the Creighton Bluejays, who have never appeared in a Final Four and haven’t gotten to the Round of 32 since 2014, has the same odds as Duke and five-time Final Four participant Illinois.

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WagerHome BlogFavorites to Win the NCAA Basketball Championship

Thanksgiving Day 2020 NFL Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2020

In this NFL season that feels like none other and a Thanksgiving Day that is sure to feel different than any that we’ve experienced in recent memory, we do get a bit of normalcy. Thanksgiving Football.

We may be missing mom and her stuffing and fighting with your brother over the last piece of pumpkin pie, but we will still have a full day of NFL football with our traditional stops in Detroit and Dallas.

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Detroit Lions

The Thanksgiving tradition in Detroit goes back to 1934, and there’s an impression that the Lions, because of their experience, play particularly well on their annual short week. Not true.

In their history, the Lions have an overall .443 winning percentage, with a modest improvement to .475 on Thanksgiving Day.

Detroit is 6-14 against the spread in its last 20, while Houston is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10. But the Texans have a quarterback playing out of his mind.

Deshaun Watson is playing some of the best football of his career, while the Lions’ Matthew Stafford has an injured thumb that has really hampered his performance. With a spread at less than a field goal, take the Texans to cover.

Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Someone has to win the NFC East and get a home playoff game, as much as we wish it wasn’t so.

The winner of Washington and Dallas will move into first place at 4-7, and as crazy as it sounds, that team will be on a two-game win streak. The Cowboys have Andy Dalton back at quarterback and are coming off an impressive win against Minnesota.

Washington is getting good football from quarterback Alex Smith and just beat the Bengals.

thanksgiving

The Cowboys’ Thanksgiving history goes back to 1966, and they have won 60% of their games on Thanksgiving. But in 2020, they are an NFL worst 2-8 against the spread.

Washington is 5-5 ATS in 2020 and will cover the three points here.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)

Hard to believe, but the Ravens aren’t just out of first place in the AFC North, they’re now in third place. And if the playoffs began today, they would be staying home.

Pittsburgh is 10-0, showing no signs of slowing, and is the favorite right now to get the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The Steelers are also a league-best 8-2 against the spread in 2020, including a cover in Week 8 at Baltimore.

The Ravens are just 4-6 ATS, losers of two straight, and they just put their two best running backs on the COVID-19 list. The Steelers win this one by at least a touchdown and cover another spread.

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WagerHome BlogThanksgiving Day 2020 NFL Picks

NBA Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on November 17, 2020

The new NBA season won’t begin until the end of December. But the delayed NBA Draft provides bettors with a little pre-Thanksgiving wagering gift on Wednesday night.

It’s no longer about just the Los Angeles Lakers and the Miami Heat and which team will capture the NBA title. Instead, we look at the worst teams in the NBA – teams that failed to make the playoffs – and who their future building blocks are for 2021 and beyond.

Favorites to Go No. 1 Overall

  • LaMelo Ball (-176)
  • Anthony Edwards (+175)
  • James Wiseman (+600)
  • Obi Toppin (+5000)
  • Deni Avdija (+6500)

Ball is the pre-draft favorite, and as a 6-7 point guard with versatility, you can see why. He does have his own clothing line already, and a father who is less than desirable if you’re an NBA general manager. But his talent outweighs his baggage.

To consider before plunking down a bet on Ball is that the Minnesota Timberwolves already have a possession-dominant point guard in D’Angelo Russell, who they traded a pair of 2021 picks for just last season. So while Ball might be the best player in the country, he may not be the best fit in Minnesota.

That’s where Georgia’s Anthony Edwards comes in. He averaged 19 points per game as a freshman, and the 6-5 shooting guard would fit perfectly on the wing.

James Wiseman is 7-1 and destined to be an elite big man. But after just three games at Memphis last year, he was ruled ineligible, making him a wild card going into draft day.

Player Draft Positions

Not sure which player is coming off the board at No. 1? No problem. You can bet on each player’s NBA draft position with a bet that mimics an over/under bet.

  • LaMelo Ball: 2.5 (over +260; under -345)
  • Anthony Edwards: 1.5 (over -213; under +175)
  • James Wiseman: 2.5 (over -125; under +105)
  • Obi Toppin: 4.5 (over -189; under +155)
  • Deni Avdija: 4.5 (over +100; under -121)
  • Killian Hayes: 6.5 (over -200; under +165)
  • Tyrese Haliburton: 7.5 (over +135; under -164)
  • Isaac Okoro: 8.5 (over -115; under -105)
  • Devin Vassell: 11.5 (over +105; under -125)
  • Aaron Nesmith: 12.5 (over -125; under +105)

nba draft

Most mock drafts have Deni Avdija going to the Bulls with the fourth overall pick. It makes sense with former Nuggets general manager Arturus Karnisovas making the pick for Chicago and with a history of picking international players. So the under looks good there.

The most volatile of these top picks might be Iowa State’s Tyrese Haliburton. He could go as high as fourth, or possibly as low as eighth.

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WagerHome BlogNBA Draft Betting Preview

Updated 2020 Masters Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on November 10, 2020

In a scheduling quirk brought on by the delay in spring sports because of the COVID-19 pandemic, just two weeks before we celebrate Thanksgiving, we can be thankful that the best major golf tournament of the year will be played.

It’s six months late, but Masters week is here (minus fans on the course). And as the sports world focuses on Augusta National for the 84th time in history, sports bettors will have the weekend trifecta of college football, the NFL, and premiere golf wagering.

Top 2020 Masters Betting Odds

  • Bryson DeChambeau (+800)
  • Dustin Johnson (+900)
  • Jon Rahm (+1000)
  • Justin Thomas (+1100)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1200)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1600)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Tony Finau (+2500)
  • Bubba Watson (+2800)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
  • Patrick Reed (+2800)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+2800)

U.S. Open champion Bryson DeChambeau is the 2020 Masters Betting favorite to win, and he has easily been the most exciting golfer on tour this summer.

Dustin Johnson finished tied for second at last year’s Masters and has finished in the top two in five of his previous six tournaments played this year. Jon Rahm was a fourth-place finisher in Augusta in 2018, won the Memorial this year, and at one point in 2020, he was ranked No. 1 in the world.

Rory McIlroy is still in search of his first Masters win, the only major championship that still eludes him. It’s been an up and down year for McIlroy, but he did finish in the top-10 at the U.S. Open in September.

Other Notable 2020 Masters Betting Odds

Collin Morikawa (+3300)
Tiger Woods (+4000)
Jordan Spieth (+6600)
Phil Mickelson (+10000)
Ian Poulter (+10000)

2020 Masters BettingTiger Woods is the defending Masters champion, and he looks to go back-to-back at the age of 44. On the opposite end of the spectrum is Collin Morikawa, who looks to become the first tour rookie to win at Augusta since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. He won the PGA Championship in August.

Jordan Speith was a Masters winner in 2015, and Phil Mickelson has three green jackets. Both would provide big paydays if they win again this year. And don’t sleep on Ian Poulter, who sits at +10000 in 2020 Masters betting odds. Poulter hasn’t played much in the United States this year, but he had two top-10 finishes in Europe in October. The Englishman has never won a major title but does have a pair of top-10 finishes at The Masters.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated 2020 Masters Betting Odds

2021 World Series Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on November 5, 2020

It’s only been a handful of days since the Los Angeles Dodgers won their first World Series in 32 years. We’re in the midst of awarding baseball’s regular hardware, and everyone in the sport is bracing themselves for an offseason unlike any other after the financial losses of the shortened 2020 season.

The assumption is that since the 60-game season and bubbled postseason was an overall success, the 2021 season will be a full year of baseball. That means it’s never too soon to look ahead to 2021 World Series betting and what teams you could expect to see competing for the title.

2021 World Series Betting Favorites

Los Angeles Dodgers (+400)
New York Yankees (+600)
Atlanta Braves (+800)
Chicago White Sox (+1000)
San Diego Padres (+1000)
Tampa Bay Rays (+1200)
Oakland Athletics (+1600)
Minnesota Twins (+1600)
Cincinnati Reds (+2000)
Houston Astros (+2200)
Cleveland Indians (+2500)
New York Mets (+2500)
Chicago Cubs (+2500)

Two of the biggest movers on this board from a year ago are the Padres in the National League and the White Sox in the American League. San Diego was +4500 to win the 2020 World Series, but had a great season, made it to the NLDS, and have a great young core of players that should be even better in 2021.

The White Sox were in the AL Central race to the very end and lost in the Wildcard Round to the A’s. At +2500 a year ago, the White Sox are now tied with the Padres at +1000. Chicago’s young stars like Eloy Jimenez, Luis Robert, and Tim Anderson should continue to shine in 2021. With the fourth-best odds at the championships, the White Sox make a lot of 2021 World Series betting sense.

The Dodgers, Yankees, and Braves are no surprise at the top. They have loaded rosters and were all great teams in 2020. But there is one intriguing value play that isn’t on this board – the Washington Nationals at +3500.

2021 World Series BettingThe World Series winner in 2019 had a rough 2020. Ryan Zimmerman took the COVID opt-out, and World Series MVP Stephen Strasburg was lost for the season after wrist surgery. After that, the Nationals never got back on track.

But 2021 expects to have a healthy Strasburg back in the rotation, and at just 21-years old, Juan Soto might already be the best hitter in the National League. In 2020 he led the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Trea Turner has also established himself as one of the premier shortstops in baseball.

It’s easy to see how the Nationals could recapture their 2019 magic and pay big dividends on a +3500 wager in a full season.

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WagerHome Blog2021 World Series Betting Odds

Top Three NFL Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 29, 2020

Week 7 in the NFL saw some amazing finishes, like the Arizona Cardinals coming back to beat Seattle in overtime, handing the Seahawks their first loss. And the Titans missing a late field goal against the unbeaten Steelers to suffer their first loss.

And how about a missed extra-point attempt at the end of the Browns-Bengals game that didn’t change the outcome on the field but most certainly changed things if you bet the three-point spread.

So what surprises does Week 8 have in store for the NFL fan? But more importantly, which games are the best NFL bets for Week 8 we can wager that have the fewest surprises?

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) at Baltimore Ravens

For the second straight week, the Steelers are involved in the game of the week. Last Sunday, they hung on to beat the Titans, and this Sunday, they have their first of two meetings with the Ravens.

With Ben Roethlisberger back, the Steelers (5-1 ATS) are back, and they sit as the NFL’s last remaining unbeaten team. The Ravens (3-3 ATS) are the defending AFC North champs and have taken a step back on offense this season, but only have a lone loss to Kansas City.

This is going to be a great game that comes down to the final possession, and no more than a field goal will separate the two at the end. Take Pittsburgh and the points.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns (Over 52.5)

Scoring around the NFL is up this season, and a big part of that is how these two teams play. Both of them love to score, and both of them hate playing defense.

For the Raiders, their point totals allowed this season are 30, 24, 36, 30, 32, and 45, with the average total points per game coming in at 63. Not once have they failed to break 52.

Cleveland has been just as bad (or good if you’re betting the over), giving up 38, 30, 20, 38, 23, 38, and 34. Their average total points per game is 61.

Two really bad defenses and two offenses that love to score. This over is ripe for the picking.

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at Denver Broncos

These two teams have identical 2-4 records, but when watching the Chargers, you see a team on the rise. When watching the Broncos, especially last week at home, you can see a team still trying to find itself.

nfl bets for week 8

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS, playing with confidence in their young quarterback and coming off a 10-point win. In Denver, Drew Lock continues to struggle, and the Broncos are coming off a 27-point loss.

Los Angeles wins this by a touchdown. Take the Chargers and lay the points.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NFL Bets for Week 8

Betting Odds to Win 2020 Masters

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2020

The disruption to the sports schedule in the spring cost us one of the very best events when the NCAA Tournament was canceled. And always on the heels of the Final Four is the very best of golf’s major championships, The Masters.

We missed it then, but instead of a cancellation, golf’s annual visit to Augusta, Ga., was simply postponed, and now we are just two weeks away. The ceremonial opening tee shot, lightning-fast greens, Amen Corner, the walk up 18, and, of course, the awarding of the green jacket, are six months later than normal, but they are coming.

As are the golfers who have set their sights on winning at Augusta National Golf Club.

Favorites to Win

The first tee shot will be struck on Nov. 12, and these are the current favorites to win the green jacket on Nov. 15.

  • Bryson Dechambeau (+800)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1100)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1200)
  • Jon Rahm (+1200)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2000)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)
  • Patrick Reed (+2800)
  • Webb Simpson (+2800)
  • Bubba Watson (+2800)
  • Tiger Woods (+2800)

For the very first time in his professional career, Bryson Dechambeau is a favorite to win a major championship. For the six-stroke winner of the U.S. Open in September, he is clearly deserving of his spot atop the favorites.

The next bunching of five players have all been playing well, and any one of them could get past Dechambeau to win their first-ever Masters championship. Dustin Johnson is perhaps the best-placed as a Masters runner-up last year and top-10 finishes in 2016 and 2018. He didn’t play in 2017.

It’s worth noting that of the golfers on the favorites list, only the final two – Bubba Watson and Tiger Woods – have won the tournament before. Watson has two wins – 2012 and 2014 – and Woods has five Masters titles, including last year.

masters

If Woods is to defend his title successfully, he will tie Jack Nicklaus for the most Masters victories all-time with six.

Collin Morikawa at +2800 is an interesting bet. He’s a first-time Masters participant, and only three first-timers have won at Augusta. But he did win the PGA Championship this summer, and despite a disappointing showing at the U.S. Open, he remains one of the hottest golfers since tour play resumed in June.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win 2020 Masters

Best College Football Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 22, 2020

There were so many great storylines in college football bets last weekend, including South Carolina’s upset win over Auburn, Tennessee getting thumped by Kentucky, Notre Dame grounding out a win over Louisville, and Clemson putting up a basketball score at Georgia Tech.

And now this week, the college football season gets even better as we welcome in the Big Ten and its shortened eight-game season, including our first look at one of the best teams in the country in Ohio State.

Here are a few games we think you should take a look at making a bet on this weekend.

Nebraska at Ohio State (-26)

No slight to Nebraska, and normally a 26-point spread should be enough to scare bettors away, but with a late start to the season, Ohio State has extra motivation. Clemson already has five wins, and Notre Dame and Alabama each have four wins on their resumes, so the Buckeyes need to make an immediate impression with college football voters.

Quarterback Justin Fields and Ohio State will pour it on the Cornhuskers, cover the spread, and prove they belong in the national championship conversation.

Alabama (-21) at Tennessee

Tennessee was just in the top 20, which makes this look like a closer game on the surface. But a 34-7 loss to Kentucky a week after losing by 23 to Georgia has the Vols in a freefall. Ready to push them over the cliff is an Alabama offense averaging 49 points per game.

This will be a win by four touchdowns or more for Alabama, so take the favorites and lay the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (+10.5)

Notre Dame will probably win this game. But Pitt has the third-ranked defense in the country – 29 sacks, 57.5 rush yards allowed – and the Irish have a rather pedestrian offense. This will be a defensive showdown, and points will be hard to come by for both teams.

Take the points and the Panthers.

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-3.5)

After a bye in week 6, and an unexpected bye in week 7 because of Baylor’s positive COVID-19 tests, Oklahoma State is well-rested. Most importantly, quarterback Spencer Sanders‘ ankle is now healed, giving the Cowboys offense an added boost.

college football bets

Iowa State’s defense did play well against Texas Tech, but it was scored on by Oklahoma and TCU, and the same will happen this weekend. OSU covers the spread with a touchdown or bigger victory.

North Carolina State at North Carolina (-17)

The Tar Heels’ loss to Florida State notwithstanding, North Carolina deserved its Top 10 ranking from a week ago and will want to prove it against in-state rival North Carolina State. On the other hand, the Wolfpack just lost their starting quarterback to a broken leg, so in a game that should be a shootout, they are missing their biggest gun.

North Carolina’s offense rolls to a three-touchdown win and covers the spread.

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WagerHome BlogBest College Football Bets for Week 8

Updated Super Bowl Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2020

We’re six weeks into the NFL season, which has brought about some changes to the Super Bowl betting odds.

The best game of the week, and perhaps the best game of the season, was Tennessee’s come-from-behind overtime victory over Houston and the dominant display of Derrick Henry on Sunday. With the 42-36 win, the Titans remained unbeaten, and with 264 total yards, Henry has to be in the MVP conversation.

But that 5-0 start does not mean that Tennessee has become one of the top favorites to win this season’s Super Bowl.

After six weeks of NFL play, this is how the Super Bowl betting odds board looks.

Kansas City Chiefs (+400)

A big win on Monday night in Buffalo keeps the defending champions as the favorite to win another Super Bowl. In the quest to get the top seed, the Chiefs now own tiebreakers against the Ravens and Bills, making Kansas City’s quest to repeat that much easier.

Baltimore Ravens (+550)

The Ravens have the defending MVP in Lamar Jackson, an explosive offense, and a great defense. They lost to Kansas City, but that’s the lone blemish on their record.

They remain a solid bet to make it to Tampa Bay and win. Two games still remain with Pittsburgh, which may have something to say about it.

Seattle Seahawks (+750)

Each time it looks like another NFC team is set to emerge as a rival to the Seahawks, they lose. The Buccaneers lost a tough game at Chicago, and then the previously unbeaten Packers got crushed at Tampa Bay. With Russell Wilson playing like the MVP frontrunner, a bet on Seattle is solid.

super bowl odds

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1100)

Pittsburgh is one of just two unbeaten teams in the AFC, but because it shares a division with the Ravens, it is paying a nice +1100 on a Super Bowl-winning bet. Ben Roethlisberger looks great, the offense has many great weapons at wide receiver, and the defense might be the best in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers (+1200)

The Packers were humbled on Sunday and no longer look like the best offense in football. But with Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams, it’s still pretty darn good, and +1200 on the Pack pays a lot of value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)

No team has ever played in a Super Bowl on its home field, but no team has ever had a 43-year-old six-time Super Bowl champion at quarterback. Tom Brady and his collection of wide receivers are fun to watch, but it’s the Buccaneers defense that might carry them to February.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated Super Bowl Betting Odds

NFL Best Bets for Week 6

by WagerHome Blog on October 15, 2020

Week 5 of the NFL season extended its way through Tuesday for just the second time in 70 years. We’re down to five unbeaten teams, while only three teams remain winless.

And we got one quarterback who heroically worked his way back to the field in Washington’s Alex Smith, while another in Dallas’ Dak Prescott is starting his journey on the same road to recovery after a Week 5 injury.

What does Week 6 have in store for NFL fans, and where should the smart bettor put their money? Let’s take a look at our NFL best bets.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

These are not your father’s Cleveland Browns, but they are your grandfather’s. For the first time since Bill Belichick was their head coach, the Browns are 4-1, and it’s a solid 4-1. They have legitimate playmakers on both sides of the ball and are right to be thinking playoffs.

They haven’t won in Pittsburgh since the stone age, and they may not win here – the Steelers are one of those remaining unbeatens. But look for Cleveland to keep the final margin to within a field goal.

Cincinnati Bengals (+8) at Indianapolis Colts

Rookie growing pains aside, Joe Burrow is showing himself to be a capable quarterback in Cincinnati. And while the record doesn’t show it, with just one win in five games, the competitiveness of each game does.

The Bengals lost by three, lost by five, tied, and won by eight. (We don’t count the big loss to Baltimore because the Ravens do that to everyone.)

Philip Rivers is good for a turnover, and the Colts have been too up and down to justify such a big spread. Look for the Bengals to keep this within a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

If not for a pair of games against the two winless teams from New Jersey, the 49ers would be winless themselves. Along with the other injuries they’ve suffered, suddenly they don’t have a reliable quarterback, with Jimmy Garoppolo getting benched in last week’s embarrassment against the Dolphins.

The Rams have scored 30 points in three of their last four games. They’ll do it again this week and will easily cover against their division rivals.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (Over 54.5)

A good backup quarterback can save a season, and it just might do that in Dallas. Prescott is done for the year, but Andy Dalton is very good when he has weapons, and he definitely has them in Dallas.

nfl best bets

The problem in Big D is the lack of any meaningful defense, which is giving up an average of 40 points per game in the last four weeks. The Cardinals will score, and score often, and score again.

Anything could happen with who wins this game, but offense is guaranteed. This game will go over 54.5 with plenty of room to spare.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Best Bets for Week 6