NFL Week 11 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 17, 2021

Week 10 was the week of blowouts, with six wins by 20 points or more and another two wins by 17 points. Which point spreads are safe for NFL Week 11?

Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb is expected back for the Browns running game, while the status for Kareem Hunt remains unclear. But to be fair, D’Ernest Johnson had 157 total yards in their absence on Sunday, and the Browns still got blown out.

Getting their running backs healthy won’t help much. The Cleveland defense is incredibly disappointing, and Baker Mayfield continues to rack up the injuries and below-average performances.

Detroit, on the other hand, is more competitive than not. In two of the three games in which they have been at least a touchdown underdog, they have covered the spread. They lost to the Ravens by two, the Rams by nine, the Vikings by two, and they tied the Steelers.

The Browns will win on Sunday, but the Lions keep the final score to within one touchdown.

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

Panthers fans were desperate to welcome back Christian McCaffrey throughout the month of October. That’s gone well, with 257 total yards for McCaffrey in the last two weeks.

Unexpectedly, however, was the welcoming back of Cam Newton. The last time these two played significant time together, the Panthers had a top-10 offense.

The McCaffrey-Newton combo isn’t going to become top-10 this season, but a bit of offensive resurgence isn’t unexpected. And when you consider how the Carolina defense is playing, don’t be surprised if the Panthers make the playoffs.

NFL Week 11 Betting Picks

Washington is coming off a huge win, but a big loss of Chase Young to a torn ACL. CMC has a big day against WFT, and the Panthers cover this spread.

New York Giants (+11.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Yes, Tom Brady is angry after two straight losses, and he wants to take out his frustrations on the next opponent. Yes, it was the Giants who beat Brady twice in the Super Bowl, and he always enjoys beating them. But no, the issues with the Bucs will not be solved by the will of Tom Brady.

A very limited Washington offense just drove the ball 80 yards on 19 plays to seal the win over the Bucs. Brady can’t cover for that. Richard Sherman is now out with a calf injury, and it’s unclear when he might return. Vita Vea will also be out of the game because of an injury.

The wide receivers are banged up, the defense is short-handed, and the Giants will go into Tampa Bay and cover the spread. Take the points and New York.

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NCAA Football Week 12 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2021

Only two full weeks of the college football season remain, then it’s on to the conference championship games. So be sure to get your NCAA Football Week 12 bets in for this coming Saturday.

No. 7 Michigan State at No. 5 Ohio State (-19)

Both teams are in the top 10, and both are 9-1. Which makes the 19-point spread seem too big on the surface. But when we take a closer look, it might not be high enough.

Ohio State’s lone loss was way back in Week 2 at Oregon. It’s hard to compare who the Buckeyes are now vs. who they were in early September. Michigan State’s lone loss came just two weeks ago, at Purdue. The Spartans lost to Purdue by 11 points, who then went to Columbus the next week and lost to Ohio State by 28.

That 39-point swing between MSU and OSU isn’t a perfect extrapolation, but when you consider that Ohio State has six wins of at least 20 points, and Michigan State has just one, you can begin to see the differences.

In the Big Ten, the Buckeyes are in a league by themselves, and they will beat Michigan State by three touchdowns or more.

No. 11 Baylor (-1) at Kansas State

What does Baylor have to do to get respect? They just knocked off the previously unbeaten Oklahoma Sooners, have a previous win against Texas, and they beat Iowa State, who was ranked 14th at the time.

K-State’s most impressive home win came against West Virginia last week, a team outside the top-50 and one that lost to Baylor by 25 points in Week 6.

Baylor hasn’t been great when playing on the road, but one of their two losses came at top-10 Oklahoma State. One point at the Wildcats just doesn’t seem like enough for a team that is playing its best football of the season. At that small spread, a bet on Baylor comes with great value.

NCAA Football Week 12 Best Bets

No. 13 Wake Forest at Clemson Tigers (-4.5)

Clearly, Clemson isn’t what it was with Trevor Lawrence at quarterback. The Tigers have taken a step back, while Wake Forest has taken a big step forward. The Demon Deacons were below .500 last season. Now they are at the top of the ACC and ranked 13th in the nation.

But Clemson has that 32-game home winning streak, and even though they aren’t in the College Football Playoff picture for the first time since 2015, they are still good. And Clemson Memorial Stadium, better known as Death Valley, is a tough place for any road team to play.

Not only does the 32-game winning streak not end on Saturday, Clemson covers the 4.5-point spread.

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NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 10, 2021

The NFL has officially reached the halfway point, with nine weeks in the books and nine more weeks to go. As we kick off the second half, let’s begin with a look at NFL Week 10’s best point spread bets.

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3)

We were all very impressed with the Saints after they beat the Bucs in Week 8. There is simply something that New Orleans has over Tampa Bay, now with three straight wins over them in the regular season.

The problem is the rest of the league and their unsettled situation at quarterback. As 6.5-point favorites last week against the Falcons, the Saints lost outright. And now they get the hottest team in the AFC and on the road, no less. Three points just don’t feel like enough.

The Titans have beaten the Bills, Chiefs, Colts, and Rams in succession, and in all four games, Tennessee was the underdog. No Derrick Henry, no problem last week on the road in Los Angeles.

This team is very good, it’s not getting the respect it deserves from the betting public, and that is to your advantage. Take the Titans and lay the points.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5)

Maybe it was rust from Dak Prescott’s injury layoff. Maybe it was simply a case of one team not taking the other one seriously.

NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

Whatever was the case with the Cowboys embarrassing loss to the Broncos on Sunday, Dallas has a score to settle. They are still a very good team and one of the NFC’s favorites. The only thing scarier than an offense of Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Ezekiel Elliott is when those four stars are angry.

Give the Falcons credit for figuring out how to make Cordarrelle Paterson one of the most interesting weapons in football and to make the pick of a tight end in the top-five look good. But as plucky as Atlanta has been, this game will be all Cowboys.

Dallas wins by at least 10 points and covers this spread.

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

Even if Aaron Rodgers plays in this game, two weeks of being banned from the practice facility and not being able to prepare for the Seahawks will have an effect.

And if we learn on Saturday that Jordan Love is going to get another start, this line is going to go heavily for the Seahawks. So get in now while the getting is still good.

Russell Wilson is back and healthy, and he will provide a much-needed lift for Seattle. Even with a full-strength Rodgers, the Pack has won three games by only three points or less.

Take Wilson and the Seahawks with the points.

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NCAA Football Week 11 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 9, 2021

We’re in the final weeks of the college football season, and teams are jockeying for position in both the upcoming conference championship games and with the hopes that a College Football Playoff is in their future. Let’s take a look at the best bets for the NCAA Football Week 11!

Cincinnati Bearcats (-23) at South Florida Bulls

The Cincinnati Bearcats is one such team with College Football Playoff dreams that are in danger of not being realized. The Bearcats are still undefeated, but they aren’t collecting a lot of impressive wins. Cincinnati began October in impressive fashion, beating Notre Dame and then recording huge wins over Temple and Central Florida.

Since then, however, it was a touchdown victory over Navy, plus an eight-point win over Tulsa. It’s been three straight wins without a cover, and they are missing the cover by an average of 15 points per game. Against Navy, they missed by a full three touchdowns.

This is the week that changes and Cincinnati responds. Needing a big win, they get it and beat South Florida by at least four touchdowns.

Texas A&M at Mississippi (+2.5)

The mid-season stretch that saw Texas A&M lose two consecutive games is a distant memory. After losing to Arkansas and Mississippi State, the Aggies upset Alabama and have been on cruise control ever since.

Four straight covers, beginning with Alabama, is making Texas A&M one of the best bets in college football. Most recently was a 20-3 win over Auburn, where the defense was its most dominating self. A&M is giving up just 14 points and 318 yards per game.

NCAA Football Week 11 Best Bets

Ole Miss is coming off another big performance by quarterback Matt Corral. He threw for 324 yards last Saturday and has the Rebels averaging 9.2 yards per pass play. They’re also averaging almost 36 points per game.

At home, and with the way Corral is playing, it’s nice to get points, even against a good team like A&M. Take Mississippi and the points.

Oklahoma at Baylor (+5.5)

Oklahoma has its sights set on the College Football Playoff, even as the Sooner have been up and down all year long. Up, in that, they remain a perfect 9-0. But down, in that, there have been a number of close calls, and pre-season Heisman Trophy favorite Spencer Rattler has been benched.

The benching has worked, with Caleb Williams proving more than capable of leading the Sooners. But still, they are underperforming as a team. Beating Kansas by 12, with the spread at 38, as a prime example. It makes this weekend’s game at Baylor interesting.

The Bears are tough, especially in Waco, and they have covered six of their nine games this season. Against Oklahoma, they will make it seven in 10 games. Take Baylor and the points.

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NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 3, 2021

When the dust settles on Monday night, we will officially be halfway done with the regular season. So let’s end the first half on a high note and hit on all of these bets for NFL Week 9.

New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

The Patriots had been getting close, with almost victories against both the Buccaneers and the Cowboys. But little things were getting in the way, and we weren’t quite sure if they could figure out how to fix them.

Going into Los Angeles, beating the Chargers, and making Justin Herbert look nothing more than average is an excellent start. And coming on the heels of a 41-point drubbing of the Jets isn’t bad either.

The tale of the tape is this: Mac Jones is better than Sam Darnold, and as good as Carolina’s defense has played, New England’s is playing even better. Matt Rhule is also a good head coach, but Bill Belichick is still the master.

Patriots win this game by at least a touchdown. Take the Pats and lay the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

A two-game skid sandwiched around the bye week is not how the Chargers envisioned ending the month of October. They’ve gone from first place in the AFC West to fighting for the wild card lives. But there is simply too much talent on this team to believe this kind of play continues.

The losses to the Ravens and Patriots were bad, but the Eagles are also bad – not including their demolition of the Lions last week. Prior to the skid, the Chargers had covered three consecutive point spreads. Remove the Lions from the equation, and the Eagles have covered just three of seven games.

L.A. wins at Philadelphia by at least a touchdown.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Welcome to a world in which we expect the Bengals to win football games. Such is life when you have weapons like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.

It’s because of this new world that we look at what happened to the Bengals last week against the Jets as an aberration and not a trend. The Titans lost to the Jets and have won four straight since. Cincinnati should also bounce back in a similar fashion, beginning this weekend against their Ohio rival.

Gone are the good feelings about last year’s playoff win over the Steelers. Last Sunday against Pittsburgh, it felt like the same old Browns. Cleveland is limited by injuries, and now Odell Beckham, Jr’s father, is going after Baker Mayfield on social media. It’s not going to help, either OBJ’s numbers or Mayfield’s play.

Cincinnati is simply the better team, and they will win on Sunday by at least a field goal.

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NCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 2, 2021

As the college football season moves into November, there are still five undefeated teams. And with all five from different conferences, it is conceivable that we could end the year with five unbeaten teams all vying for the four College Football Playoff spots.

That is why impressing on the field at this point in the season is so important and why it gives us a window into NCAA Football Week 10 best bets.

Missouri at No. 1 Georgia (-38)

Missouri is 4-4 and playing to be bowl eligible. And with that incentive, the 38-point spread feels like a huge number for Georgia to cover.

Maybe, but consider these facts. Georgia is 6-2 against the spread this year and has easily covered big spreads against much better teams, like Arkansas and Florida. Missouri did just beat Vanderbilt by nine points, but Georgia beat Vandy by 62.

Finally, even though Missouri has four wins on the season, they are 0-8 against the spread this season. That’s right. Not once, in victory or defeat, have the Tigers covered a spread in 2021.

Unbeaten Georgia will smash Missouri by at least 40 points. Take the Bulldogs and lay the points.

No. 10 Wake Forest (+2.5) at North Carolina

Wake Forest is one of the five unbeaten teams left in the country, yet the Deacons head into Saturday’s game as underdogs to North Carolina. The Tar Heels do have a great offense led by quarterback Sam Howell, but the Heels are just 4-4 and haven’t fared well of late.

Wake Forest rolls into the game, coming off a 38-point win against Duke. UNC is coming off a 10-point loss to Notre Dame.

Both teams recorded big wins over Duke, but against another shared opponent, Wake beat Florida State by 21, and the Heels lost to the Noles by 10.

It’s true that Wake Forest hasn’t won at Chapel Hill since 2006, but that streak ends on Saturday. Take the Demon Deacons and the points.

NCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

No. 12 Auburn at No. 13 Texas A&M (-4)

The only game this week between ranked teams is an SEC showdown between the best of the second tier in that conference. The top tier is, of course, Georgia and Alabama.

Although Alabama plays a big role in where you should put your betting dollars on Saturday. The reason Alabama isn’t No. 1 in the nation and undefeated is because of these Texas A&M Aggies and their three-point upset victory on October 9th. Since then, the Aggies have had impressive covers against Missouri and South Carolina, winning by 21 and 30 points.

Auburn is no slouch, with a big cover against Arkansas three weeks ago. But at home at Kyle Field, the Aggies will prove to be too much. A&M wins by a touchdown and covers this spread.

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NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2021

We are nearing the halfway point of the NFL season, and the action around the league is heating up. There are some big games on the schedule in Week 8, but more importantly, there are some great NFL Week 8 betting opportunities to be had.

Arizona Cardinals -6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers

The 7-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 6-1 Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 8. These are two of the best teams in the NFL this season, but the Packers are coming into this game shorthanded.

Green Bay could be without their top three wide receivers due to injuries and COVID-19, and that is going to have a big impact on this game. Arizona is scoring over 32 points per game, and the Packers will need to score to keep this game close.

This would be a great game if both teams were at full strength, but that won’t be the case in this one. Take the Arizona Cardinals -6.5 as they win this game by a touchdown at least.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.0 at New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints pose the biggest challenge to Tampa Bay in the NFC South, but it’s not a very big threat. Tampa Bay has been rolling over opponents this season, and they will be looking to make a statement in New Orleans.

The Saints are allowing less than 17 points per game this season, but they haven’t faced an offense this good yet. Tom Brady has already thrown for 21 touchdowns this season, and this should be another huge day for the Tampa Bay offense.

NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

New Orleans can make this a competitive game, but they just don’t have enough weapons to win the game. Take the Buccaneers -5.0 as they move to 7-1.

Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 vs. New York Giants

The Kansas City Chiefs are an absolute mess, and their 3-4 start has to be one of the biggest surprises in football. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown nine interceptions this season, and that defense has been a disaster.

The Chiefs host the 2-5 New York Giants on Monday night, and this feels like the perfect time to turn things around. Kansas City is too talented to continue to lose games, and they should feast on a bad Giants team in this one.

New York is dealing with a number of injuries to key players, and this could get out of hand in a hurry. Take the Chiefs -10.0 as the Monday Night Football Game turns into a blowout.

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NCAA Week 9 Best College Football Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2021

The college football season just continues to deliver each season, and there is another loaded slate of games on tap for Week 9. There is a top-10 showdown in the Big Ten Conference to highlight things, but there are several other great games as well.

The betting action for these games continues to heat up as well, and you can take matters into your own hands by launching a pay per head site. Here are three of the best NCAA Week 9 college football bets.

Michigan State Spartans +4.5 vs. Michigan Wolverines

One of the best rivalries in college football renew on Saturday when Michigan State hosts Michigan. There is always drama surrounding this game, but even more so this season as each team is in the Top-10.

Both teams run the football exceptionally well, and this game is going to be won in the trenches. Michigan has the ability to be more explosive on offense, but Michigan State has a defense that is nasty.

Home-field advantage plays a major role in this rivalry, and it’s strange to see the home team as an underdog. The right play in this game is to take the 4.5-point and bet on the Spartans in the Big Ten Conference rivalry game.

Texas Tech Red Raiders +20.0 at Oklahoma Sooners

The Oklahoma Sooners are once again on top of the Big 12 Conference, and they have also moved up to number four in the country. That doesn’t mean that Oklahoma has been dominant this season, as that has not been the case.

Texas Tech is 5-3 on the season, but they missed a great chance to move to 6-2 by blowing a big lead to Kansas State. The Red Raiders can score points in a hurry, and that always makes them dangerous.

NCAA Week 9 Best College Football Bets of the WeekOklahoma is clearly the more talented team in this matchup, but they aren’t covering 20 points. Take the points and look for the Red Raiders to provide a challenge.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

The final game to focus on for Saturday night takes place in South Bend as the Fighting Irish host the UNC Tar Heels. Notre Dame has not been dominant in 2021, but they also come into this game with just one loss.

North Carolina burst onto the scene a season ago, but they have struggled to find their rhythm this season. The Tar Heels want to score points, but they are going up against a great defense.

This game could be close for a half, but it will be all Notre Dame after that. Take the Fighting Irish -3.5 as they move to 7-1 with a double-digit win.

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NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2021

We’ve had a change at the top of the AFC, with the Ravens now in the driver’s seat for the top seed. Meanwhile, the Cardinals keep winning in the NFC and are the unchallenged favorites.

As for the top bets that you should look at for NFL Week 7, here they are.

Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

Just as impressive as Green Bay’s five-game winning streak is the five straight games in which they have covered the spread. And in three of those games, they won by at least 10 points, which would be enough to cover this week too.

Meanwhile, Washington is an abysmal 1-5 against the spread this season and running back Antonio Gibson continues to get even more banged up.

It’s Packers all the way. They win by at least two touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens were dominant last week, but most of their games have come down to the final play or two, and most are within one score. And in spite of a 5-1 record that leads the AFC, they are just 3-3 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have had a margin of victory/defeat of exactly three points in four of their six games played – three-point losses to Chicago and Green Bay and three-point wins over Minnesota and Jacksonville.

This game will be close, and if not exactly three points, it will be less than seven. Look for Cincinnati to cover.

Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders (-3)

The Raiders avoided a three-game losing streak by easily handling their business at Denver. So to everyone who thought there would be a significant hangover following the departure of Jon Gruden, think again. Las Vegas played with freedom against the Broncos that we hadn’t seen before.

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

The Eagles played the Bucs tight and covered the spread. But Thursday games are always unpredictable. Prior to a win against Carolina the week earlier, the Eagles had failed to cover in three straight games. Raiders win this game by at least a touchdown. Take Vegas and lay the points.

Kansas City at Tennessee (Over 55)

The Chiefs did go under on Sunday against Washington, but that was because of some uncharacteristically good defense out of Kansas City. Offensively they did their part, scoring 31 points. Prior to that game, they had point totals of 58, 72, 54, 71, and 62.

They love going over, as do the Titans. Tennessee has hit three straight overs with 65, 56, and 51 points. It’s also worth noting that the two teams played twice in 2019, and they combined for 67 points in the regular season and 59 points in the AFC Championship Game.

Hammer this over.

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NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2021

In Week 7, we watched No. 2 Iowa suffer a stunning loss to Purdue. Alabama is back after losing to Texas A&M, as they easily handled Mississippi State. And Oklahoma has a star in the making in freshman quarterback Calen Williams, who got another big Sooners win.

It’s now Week 8, and the best college football betting continues. Check out our best NCAA Week 8 college football bets below.

Tennessee at Alabama (-27.5)

Beware an angry Nick Saban. Finishing undefeated and playing for a national championship feels to Saban like a birthright, which is why the loss to Texas A&M back on October 9th was so hard for him to take.

Enter last week, where he took a 17.5-point spread against Mississippi State and turned it into a 40-point win. And this week, he’s now supposed to beat Tennessee by four touchdowns, and you would be foolish to bet against him.

The Volunteers have covered three of six games this year, and they’ve won four games by at least 25 points. But this week, it’s going to be a big loss in Tuscaloosa. The Tide will cover.

Northwestern at Michigan (-21.5)

It’s been quite some time since Michigan played a blowout win. In their first three games, the Wolverines won by an average margin of victory of 35 points. In their last three, the average margin of victory is 10. Although they covered in the last two games, with wins over Wisconsin and Nebraska.

One of those wins for Michigan was at Nebraska, a team that beat Northwestern by 49. This week’s Michigan win isn’t going to be by that seven-touchdown margin, but it will eclipse the three-touchdown margin of the current point spread.

Michigan rolls against the Wildcats and wins this game by more than 28 points. Bet on them to cover the spread.

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

Cincinnati (-28.0) at Navy

Cincinnati is 6-0 on the season and 5-1 against the spread, including a 2-0 mark ATS when going on the road. That includes a 10-point cover at Indiana and an 8.5-point cover at Notre Dame. The Bearcats have climbed to the No. 2 ranking in the country, and as much as it was a longshot when the season began, this team is making a solid claim for a playoff spot.

There is only one more ranked team on the schedule, and it isn’t Navy. Cincinnati needs impressive wins, and that requires a cover against the Midshipmen, who just lost by 18 to Memphis. The Bearcats get it done and continue to justify their high national ranking.

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