Sports Archives - Page 22 Of 48

PGA Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 17, 2022

Typically the winner of the PGA Championship isn’t a surprise. It’s generally someone playing very good golf leading into the tournament and someone who is highly ranked headed into the tournament. These are two of the reasons that what Phil Mickelson did at Kiawah Island in 2021 was so surprising. The +25000 longshot was T69 the week before his big triumph.

Even Collin Morikawa, who was only playing in his second-ever Major when he won in 2020, had a win at the Workday Charity Open just three weeks earlier.

This isn’t to say we should only focus on the favorites. Mickelson’s can happen. But the odds are good that Sunday’s eventual PGA Championship winner will be someone playing his best golf.

Favorites to win PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Rory McIlroy (+1400)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Cameron Smith (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Dustin Johnson (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)
Xander Schauffele (+2500)

If you’re looking to wager on someone playing his top golf, Scottie Scheffler is as good a bet as there is in the field. He’s playing his best golf and the best golf of anyone on the planet. The Masters champion finished T8 at the PGA last year and a career-best T4 in 2020.

Jon Rahm recently lost his No. 1 ranking to Scheffler, but the reigning U.S. Open champion has yet to drop behind Scheffler on the odds board. His best-ever finish at the PGA was a T4 in 2018. He was T8 last year.

Among this top group, we also have former PGA Championship winners Justin Thomas (2017) and Rory McIlroy (2012 and 2014). As the defending PGA Championship champion last year, Morikawa finished T8.

Best Value Picks

Remove his Masters performances the last two years, and it’s easy to think of Brooks Koepka as one of the PGA Championship favorites here. He’s paying +4200 as a two-time PGA winner (2018 and 2019), and the two-time U.S. Open winner (2017 and 2018) was great at all of the Majors a year ago except for Augusta. He was T2 at the PGA, T4 at the U.S. Open and T6 at The Open Championship.

Corey Conners is also worth a look at +4500. His lone Tour win came at the Valero Texas Open in 2019, so he’s probably well off your radar. But last year, he finished T8 at the Masters, T17 at the PGA, and T15 at the Open Championship. He also just finished T6 at the Masters last month.

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NASCAR at Kansas Speedway Betting Preview

NASCAR at Kansas Speedway 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2022

In the final race before NASCAR has its all-star break, the drivers make their annual stop at the Kansas Speedway on the Kansas side of Kansas City.

Sadly the name Buschy McBusch Race, as it was known for the regular-season race here in 2021, has been replaced. Now the race in Kansas is known as the AdventHealth 400. That’s 400.5 total miles driven and 267 laps around the tri-oval.

Favorite to Win the NASCAR AdventHealth 400

Kyle Larson (+700)
Kyle Busch (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+700)
Chase Elliott (+700)
William Byron (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
Tyler Reddick (+1600)
Alex Bowman (+1600)

The four drivers bunched at the top are likely to separate on the odds board before this race is run this weekend, so keep an eye on that before you place any NASCAR bets.

However, a bet on Denny Hamlin, no matter the number, is going to be a good one. He won on this track in 2019 and 2020, and he finished fifth in last year’s playoff race that was held here.

It is worth noting that in that playoff race last October, it was Kyle Larson taking the checkered flag. However, that is his one and only win in Kansas.

He finished third and fourth in the two races here in 2018, but in last year’s regular-season race, he finished 19th. He was 14th in the race before that.

Chase Elliott is also a worthy favorite. He won here in 2018 and has finished fourth, second, sixth, fifth, and second since that race.

Best Value Bets

If you’re looking to take a chance on a longshot, think about Austin Cindric at +6000. It’s a hefty payday if it hits, and here’s why it might: The young driver remains largely unknown, except on intermediate NASCAR tracks like the one in Kansas.

He’s run five races on this type of track, and it’s been the type where he shows the most improvement from starting position to finishing position.

Like last year at Kansas, when he began 38th but finished 22nd. He has shown the ability to gain on the field, and as his starting positions continue to improve, so will his finishes.

Also at +6000 is Aric Almirola, who has never won in Kansas, but he does have seven top-10 finishes here. He’s also had four top-10 finishes this NASCAR season, including Martinsville, Las Vegas, California, and Daytona.

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AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 10, 2022

We have just a week to go before the second major championship of the season, the PGA Championship. But before the best golfers in the world tee off at Southern Hills, there is one more tournament to look at – AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas.

The field isn’t as star-studded as next week’s, but seven of the best golfers in the world will be at the AT&T Byron Nelson this weekend, including the top golfer in the world, Scottie Scheffler, and there is a $9,100,000 prize purse at stake.

Favorites to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Preview

Scottie Scheffler (+700)
Justin Thomas (+900)
Will Zalatoris (+1400)
Dustin Johnson (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2200)
Sam Burns (+2200)
Hideki Matsuyama (+3500)
Joaquin Niemann (+3500)
Seamus Power (+3500)

The only way that Scottie Scheffler isn’t the favorite in any tournament on the schedule is if he doesn’t play. He’s won four of his last six individual tournaments, and he is taking no prisoners in this final tuneup before the PGA Championship. He’s atop the world rankings, and he’s been No. 1 in the FedExCup Standings since the first week of March.

It’s now been 14 months since Justin Thomas won a tournament, but his T8 at the Masters and T3 at the Valspar make him one of the favorites. Thomas will get into the winner’s circle again this year. It’s only a matter of time.

Will Zalatoris lives just up the road in Dallas, and at 19th in the FedExCup Standings, he is the highest-ranked player who is still in search of a first career victory. We’ve been talking about him getting that win for years now, but he’s coming off a T6 at the Masters and a T4 at the Zurich Classic, and we really mean it this time. He is going to win soon.

Best Value Bets

Jason Day is paying +5500, which are longer odds than you would expect for someone with four top-10 finishes at the Byron Nelson, including a win in 2010. He did miss the cut here last year, but his history of playing well at TPC Craig Ranch is enough to consider him a good bet.

Cameron Champ is paying +6500 for a W at AT&T Byron Nelson, which is excellent value for someone who seems to be figuring it all out at the moment. He missed five cuts early in the season, but a T10 at the Masters and a T6 at the Mexico Open makes him one to watch.

You might also want to take a flier on Sung Kang, paying +50000. He’s a member of TPC Craig Ranch and has been playing here for more than a decade. When it comes to AT&T Byron Nelson course familiarity, no one beats him.

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2022 Kentucky Derby Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 4, 2022

It is the most exciting two minutes in sports, and this Saturday, the Kentucky Derby will be run for the 148th time, kicking off horse racing’s Triple Crown.

So put on your fancy hat, pour yourself a mint julep, and join the 160,000 fans in attendance with the singing of “My Old Kentucky Home.” Then cheer like mad for the Kentucky Derby horse where you put your money.

2022 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

Mo Donegal (10-1)
Happy Jack (30-1)
Epicenter (7-2)
Summer is Tomorrow (30-1)
Smile Happy (20-1)
Messier (8-1)
Crown Pride (20-1)
Charge It (20-1)
Tiz the Bomb (30-1)
Zandon (3-1)
Pioneer of Medina (30-1)
Taiba (12-1)
Simplification (20-1)
Barber Road (30-1)
White Abarrio (10-1)
Cyberknife (20-1)
Classic Causeway (30-1)
Tawny Port (30-1)
Zozos (20-1)
Ethereal Road (30-1)

Zandon is the pre-race Kentucky Derby favorite, breaking from the 10th post at 3-1 odds. Zandon is a closer who is coming off a win at the Blue Grass Stakes.

Something to note on Zandon is that he will spend the least amount of time in the starting gates since the horses are loaded 1 and 11, 2 and 12, and so on. The final two horses to be loaded in are 10 and 20.

Epicenter, at 7-2, is next among the favorites and might have even taken the top spot had he been given a more favorable post. He’s won four of his last five races, including the Louisiana Derby in March.

The only other horse with single-digit odds is the Canadian-bred Messier. In February, he won the Robert B. Lewis stakes at Santa Anita and followed that up with a Grade I second-place finish at Santa Anita in April.

Following those three horses, there are a pair of contenders at 10-1, Mo Donegal and White Abarrio. A winner of four of his last five starts, White Abarrio won the Florida Derby, the Hot Bull Stakes, and was third in last year’s Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs.

It’s also worth noting that White Abbario is in the 15th starting post, which is the same spot Authentic won from in 2020 – one of three Derby winners in the last ten years to race from 15th.

Longer Shots to Consider

It’s a wide-open field, which makes this a perfect race to bet on horses with longer odds.

Like Cyberknife, at 20-1. He dominated in a win at the Arkansas Derby and has been coming into his own these last few months.

Barber Road, paying 30-1, has finished in the money at three graded stakes races this year and appears to be on the verge of finally getting to the wire first.

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DuraMAX Drydene 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2022

NASCAR moves from the 2.6-mile tri-oval at the superspeedway at Talladega to the 1-mile oval at Dover Motor Speedway for the DuraMAX Drydene 400.

The Monster Mile, as it is known, gives this race something we didn’t see a week ago – parity. Since 2019 we have had five races at Dover, and we have had five different winners – Kyle Larson, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Alex Bowman, and Denny Hamlin.

And according to DuraMAX Drydene 400 race ratings, 11 drivers competing this weekend have a 90 rating or better at Dover. That means we should be in for a great race and a close finish.

Favorites to Win DuraMAX Drydene 400

Kyle Larson (+500)
Kyle Busch (+700)
William Byron (+700)
Joey Logano (+700)
Chase Elliott (+750)
Ryan Blaney (+800)
Denny Hamlin (+1000)
Alex Bowman (+1100)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
Ross Chastain (+1200)

There is parity this week, with those five different winners in the last five races, but Kyle Larson is the deserved DuraMAX Drydene 400 favorite because of his performance here.

He has just one win, coming in 2019, but in the other 2019 race, he finished third, and in the May race last year, he finished second. And when looking back even further, he has two other runner-up finishes in Dover – 2016 and 2017.

A trio of drivers are tied for the second shortest odds at +700. Kyle Busch won here in 2017, but his most recent two races were 11th and 27th place finishes.

William Byron has finished fourth in each of his last two races at Dover, his only top-five finishes here. And Joey Logano was eighth three races ago, sixth two races ago, and fifth in 2021.

Chase Elliott is the last of the top five, and he’s been up and down at Dover recently. He finished third in his last DuraMAX Drydene 400 race here, wrecked to a 39th place finish the race before that, was fifth three races ago and had a mechanically challenged 38th place finish before that.

DuraMAX Drydene 400 Longshots Worth a Look

You can find Cole Custer for between +10000 and +25000, and as someone with back-to-back top-10 finishes at Dover, that is great value. He started 30th last year and worked his way up to 10th, so if he can qualify in the top half, you have to like his chances.

A little less out there is a bet on Daniel Suarez, who is paying +7500 to take the W at DuraMAX Drydene 400. He finished ninth here last year, and when he was racing for Joe Gibbs in 2017 and 2018, he had three top-10 finishes.

Driving in the Truck Series, he also has a pair of runner-up finishes at Dover and a win here with the Xfinity Series.

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Mexico Open at Vidanta Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 26, 2022

The Mexico Open has been around since 1944, but for the first time ever, the PGA Tour has put it on its schedule.

There will be 132 PGA Tour golfers, a prize purse of $7.3 million, 500 FedExCup points at stake, and a beautiful weekend spent in Vallarta, Mexico. Also being awarded are spots in the PGA Championship and the 2023 Players Championship and Masters.

Joining the field is Jon Rahm, who made his PGA Tour debut in Mexico seven years ago.

Favorites to Win Mexico Open at Vidanta

Jon Rahm (+350)
Kevin Na (+2000)
Gary Woodland (+2000)
Abraham Ancer (+2000)
Cameron Tringale (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Sebastian Munoz (+2500)
Aaron Wise (+3000)
Chris Kirk (+3500)
Patrick Reed (+3500)

Why should you place a bet on Jon Rahm? Because he’s the obvious Mexico Open pick here. Sometimes going with the golfer who is heads and shoulders above the rest of the field is the only smart play.

Rahm has three top-10 finishes this season, including runner-up at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, and he is the second-ranked player in the world. The next highest in this field is Abraham Ancer at 20th. Tony Finau is 25th. Kevin Na is ranked 32nd.

Simply put, no one else here is on Rahm’s level.

Why should you place a bet on someone other than Jon Rahm at the Mexico Open? Because it’s golf, and anything can happen. Because Ancer is playing in his home country and is carrying the banner for Mexico. Because Rahm, even as the No. 2 player in the world, has yet to win a tournament this year.

Longshots Worth a Look

Normally players at +2000 and +3000 would be considered longshots, but since Ancer, Tony Finau, and guys like Kevin Na and Gary Woodland are in the top-10, we’re not going to consider them Mexico Open longshots.

Carlos Ortiz, at +7000, qualifies. He has been sponsored by Vidanta since 2016, and his official title is Embajador de Vidanta Golf. The ambassador of Vidanta golf.

The Guadalajara native was a champion in the Greg Norman academy early in his career, and the course at Vidanta was designed by Norman. It’s more than just a connection. It’s a window into the kind of course that is built for Ortiz.

He is a Mexico Open longshot and just the 90th-ranked golfer in the world. But no one has more incentive this weekend than Ortiz.

One other golfer to consider is Matt Jones at +5500. This is a coastal course, subject to coastal winds, and Jones is good in those conditions. And his 2022 has been very good, finishing third at Kapalua, T15 at Riviera, and a T2 at San Antonio.

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GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

New Orleans is not your typical golf destination, and the Zurich Classic of New Orleans is definitely not your typical PGA event.

Golfers skew their regular individual play for a rare team event. The first member of the team is chosen based on the Tour priority rankings, and then that person chooses a partner that must be either a PGA Tour member or someone who has earned entry into the tournament through an exemption.

The teams of two compete by playing fourball in the first and third rounds and alternate shot for the second and fourth rounds. And each member of the winning team gets $1 million, 400 FedEx points, and invites to the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS Championship.

Pretty nice incentives.

Favorites to Win the Zurich Classic

Hovland/Morikawa (+650)
Cantlay/Schauffele (+800)
Palmer/Scheffler (+900)
Leishman/Smith (+1000)
Burns/Horschel (+1200)
Fleetwood/Garcia (+1600)
Lowry/Poulter (+2200)
Gooch/Homa (+2200)
Neimann/Pereira (+2500)
Varner III/Watson (+2500)

The best duo on paper is Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa, but this will be the first time they’ve ever played together as a team, and they really don’t complement each other. Neither is great at putting, and that could come back to bite the pre-tournament favorites.

Ryan Palmer is a wildcard, but it feels like anyone could team up with Scottie Scheffler and be in the mix on Sunday. Scheffler has won four of his last six starts, including back-to-back wins at the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play and a little tournament called the Masters.

Marc Leishman and Cameron Smith also deserve to be mentioned among the best bets this weekend. They won Zurich Classic as a team a year ago, Smith won it with a different partner in 2017, and Smith won THE PLAYERS Championship in March and just finished T3 at Augusta.

Best Value Bets

A solid choice that is paying +3500 is the twosome of Tyrrell Hatton and Danny Willett. Willet is excellent around the green, and Hatton is superb when he’s on the green.

As complements to one another’s game, no duo might be a better fit than these two. Hatton finished top-10 at the WGC Match Play in March, and Willett was just T12 at the Masters.

Paying +4500 should have you giving Keegan Bradley and Brendan Steele a closer look. They play together all the time, and they both know each other’s strengths and weaknesses better than any team in the field. They also finished T4 at this tournament last year, just two off the lead.

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2022 NBA Playoffs: Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on April 13, 2022

The 2022 NBA Playoffs are underway, as the Play-In Tournament began Tuesday night.

The Nets clinched the No. 7 seed with a win over Cleveland, and in the West, the No. 7 seed goes to Minnesota for its win over the Clippers.

As for which team will still be standing when the 2022 NBA Playoffs conclude two months from now, these are the favorites.

Odds to Win 2022 NBA Championship

Phoenix Suns (+270)
Milwaukee Bucks (+475)
Brooklyn Nets (+650)
Golden State Warriors (+900)
Boston Celtics (+1000)
Miami Heat (+1200)
Philadelphia 76ers (+1300)
Memphis Grizzlies (+1500)
Dallas Mavericks (+2200)
Utah Jazz (+2800)

The Suns were paying over +1500 when the season began, and now they easily have the shortest odds of anyone in the playoffs. The No. 1 seed in the West will begin its postseason on Sunday against the team that secures the No. 8 seed.

The Bucks are paying +475 to win a second consecutive NBA title. They begin the playoffs on Sunday when the No. 6 Bulls go to Milwaukee. Giannis Antetokounmpo is paying +650 to win the MVP award. He was the Finals MVP last season.

The Nets didn’t clinch their playoff spot until Tuesday night, but they have the third shortest odds of anyone in the group. Those odds and Brooklyn’s prospects are subject to change based on the health of Ben Simmons. According to reports, he’s targeting Game 3 against the Celtics as a return to the court.

The Warriors dropped behind the Nets on the odds board when Steph Curry went down with an injured foot. He will put his foot to the test during a scrimmage on Thursday to determine his availability against the Nuggets in Game 1. The task against the Nuggets and likely repeat-MVP Nikola Jokic will be challenging, with Curry or without.

Longshots to Win 2022 NBA Playoffs

Of the teams that have secured a spot in the NBA Playoffs, the Chicago Bulls are paying the longest odds at +10000. Chicago finished as the No. 6 seed in the East and drew the defending champions in the first round. That is why their odds are so long.

The Raptors are the No. 5 seed in the East and take on the No. 4 seeded Sixers. Toronto is paying +6000 to win the NBA Championship, with Philadelphia expected to easily take care of business against the Raptors.

The Timberwolves, the newly minted No. 7 seed in the West, is also paying +6000 to win the title. They begin the 2022 NBA Playoffs at Memphis on Saturday.

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2022 World Series: Early Betting Favorites

by WagerHome Blog on April 12, 2022

We are just a week into the Major League Baseball season, and it is not too early to look ahead to the possible 2022 World Series winners six months from now. For futures bets like these, if you haven’t placed your World Series wagers yet, what are you waiting for?

We have the favorites, the odds, and which teams deserve your betting consideration.

Favorites to Win the 2022 World Series

Los Angeles Dodgers (+475)
Toronto Blue Jays (+850)
New York Yankees (+950)
Houston Astros (+950)
Atlanta Braves (+1000)
Chicago White Sox (+1100)
New York Mets (+1200)
San Diego Padres (+1600)
Tampa Bay Rays (+1700)
Milwaukee Brewers (+1700)

The best team in baseball, at least according to the betting public, is the Los Angeles Dodgers. They do have the highest payroll; they have three former MVPs in their everyday lineup and three pitchers in the rotation that have or could win the Cy Young. L.A. did drop their opening series at Colorado, but they are still the odds-on favorite to win the Series.

Three of the top-10 teams on the favorites list are from the American League East, headed by the Toronto Blue Jays. Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. is a triple-crown threat, an MVP favorite, and the biggest reason the World Series might go back to Canada.

Aaron Judge is another potential American League MVP, and the Yankees are always in the mix for a World Series, although it’s now been 13 years since they last won.

Following the Yankees are the two World Series teams from a year ago, the runner-up Houston Astros and the World Series champion Atlanta Braves. The loss of Freddie Freeman in Atlanta has them just fifth on the list.

The Worst World Series Odds

There are four teams in baseball paying +20000 or longer for a 2022 World Series win.

At +20000, it’s the Colorado Rockies. It was just 2018 that Colorado played a game 163 for the National League West. But Nolan Arenado left last year, Trevor Story is gone this year, and this team will struggle to win 70 games.

Battling the Rockies for fourth place in the National League West will be the Arizona Diamondbacks, paying +25000 for a World Series win.

The Baltimore Orioles tied the Diamondbacks in 2021 for the most losses in baseball at 110. If the Orioles win the World Series this year, it will pay +50000.

Also coming in at +50000 are the Pittsburgh Pirates. Pittsburgh lost 101 games last season, but they do have one of the best rookies in baseball in shortstop Oneil Cruz.

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Favorites to win PGA Championship

Best Value Picks

Pay Per Head Software

Favorite to Win the NASCAR AdventHealth 400

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Preview

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

2022 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

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