EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 23, 2023

The NASCAR Cup Series takes a break from being the left turn circuit this week by heading to the road course in Austin, Texas. The Circuit of the Americas is the place, a 20-turn 3.46-mile Grand Prix course that will test the best the drivers have to offer.

Normally this would be the domain of Chase Elliott, with the rest of the Grand Prix field racing to keep up with him. But he is out with a leg injury he suffered while snowboarding, meaning that this road race is wide open.

Favorites to Win EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix

Kyle Larson (+650)
Ross Chastain (+800)
Kyle Busch (+800)
Tyler Reddick (+900)
William Byron (+1200)
A.J. Allmendinger (+1200)
Daniel Suarez (+1500)
Christopher Bell (+1500)
Austin Cindric (+1500)
Ryan Blaney (+1800)
Alex Bowman (+1800)

Just how good has Chase Elliott been on Grand Prix road courses? He has 14 top-5 finishes since 2019, which includes seven wins and three runner-ups. So while his excellence on the road course, and COTA specifically, will be missed, his absence will add competitiveness.

Kyle Larson is the favorite in Elliott’s place. He was a runner-up in 2021 at this course, and on road courses in general he has four overall wins – twice at Watkins Glen and once each at Sonoma and Charlotte Roval. Larson has yet to win this season, but he does have two top-five finishes.

Grand Prix

Behind Larson are Ross Chastain and Kyle Busch at +800. Chastain won this race last year and was the fourth-place finisher in 2021. He also had a top-five finish at Road America last July. Busch hasn’t won on a road course since Sonoma in 2015, but he does have five top-five finishes since 2021.

Among the other favorites on the board, there have been top-five finishes at COTA for Tyler Reddick, A.J. Allmendinger, Christopher Bell, and Alex Bowman.

Best Value Bets

Chris Buescher is probably someone off your radar. He was 35th last week in Atlanta and 15th the week before in Phoenix. But in his final five road course races last year he finished second, sixth, 10th, ninth, and sixth. He’s paying +3000 to win and +425 to finish in the top-five.

Kimi Raikkonen is at +5000 to win here on Sunday, which is incredible value when you consider that he won on this course as an F1 driver and he’s racing this week for Trackhouse Racing, who won here last year.

This is only Raikkonen’s second start in NASCAR Grand Prix. But in his first start last year at Watkins Glen he was running in the top-10 when he got swept up in a wreck. He can win at this course, his team can win here, and he’s paying +650 to get a top-five finish.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogEchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Betting Preview

Latest NCAA Tournament Odds

by WagerHome Blog on March 21, 2023

The greatest basketball tournament in the history of the sport never disappoints. Two of the top seeds lost in the first weekend, with Purdue becoming just the second top seed in history to lose in the first round to a 16-seed. Break out Fairleigh Dickenson (although sadly their Tournament ended two days later).

Defending champion Kansas lost to Arkansas, Arizona lost to Princeton, and fellow two-seed Marquette was beaten by Tom Izzo and Michigan State.

Sixteen teams remain, and this is who the oddsmakers are favoring to win it all.

Favorites to Win Final Four

Alabama Crimson Tide (+350)
Houston Cougars (+360)
UCLA Bruins (+850)
Texas Longhorns (+1000)
Connecticut Huskies (+1000)
Creighton Blue Jays (+1100)
Tennessee Volunteers (+1100)
Gonzaga Bulldogs (+1200)
Michigan State Spartans (+2500)
Kansas State Wildcats (+3000)
Arkansas Razorbacks (+3500)
Xavier Musketeers (+3500)
San Diego State Aztecs (+4000)
Miami Hurricanes (+4500)
Florida Atlantic Owls (+4500)
Princeton Tigers (+20000)

Since the NCAA Tournament expanded in 1985, this is just the fourth time that multiple No. 1 seeds failed to get to the Sweet-16. And now, with just two top seeds remaining, not surprisingly, they are the two heavy favorites to win the NCAA title. Alabama has the easiest path, with only a fifth seed, a six seed, and a 15th seed left in the South Region.

NCAA

Houston faces the Miami Hurricanes in the Sweet-16, and the winner there will play the winner of Xavier and Texas. The NCAA Tournament is now without blue bloods Duke, North Carolina, Kansas, and Kentucky, but UCLA is plenty blue, and they are the highest seed remaining in the West.

The Kansas State Wildcats were picked in the NCAA preseason to finish dead last in the Big 12. Instead, America’s coach, Jerome Tang, who is having more fun than anyone else left in the Tournament, has K-State as the highest remaining seed in the East. Up next for the Wildcats, who just knocked off Kentucky, is Michigan State.

Favorites to Win Each Region

East – Tennessee (+130)
West – UCLA (+210)
South – Alabama (-140)
Midwest – Houston (-115)

Alabama and Houston are favorites to get things closed out in their regions and make it to the Final Four. In the East, however, Tennessee is only the fourth seed, and they are favored over No. 3 seed K-State (+350). Even No. 7 seed Michigan State (+300) is favored over the Wildcats.

UCLA is the No. 2 seed in the West and is playing in Las Vegas, just up the 15 Freeway from L.A. But at +210, they are actually tied with UConn as West favorites. Just behind them is Gonzaga at +240. Arkansas, who beat Kansas, is at +550.

Pay Per Head Software

Only 15 NCAA Tournament games remain, and 12 NCAA teams will be eliminated this weekend. Baseball begins in less than two weeks, the NBA and NHL Playoffs aren’t far away, and the NFL Draft is here in a month.

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WagerHome BlogLatest NCAA Tournament Odds

Ambetter Health 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 16, 2023

It was a mistake, plain and simple. If Kevin Harvick had taken on just two new tires on his final pit stop, as the rest of the leaders did, as opposed to taking on four new tires, he would have won in Phoenix. His team made the miscalculation with just three laps of racing remaining. It was too little time for Harvick, even running slightly faster on the new set of tires.

He lost, William Byron won for the second consecutive week, and NASCAR has now ended the west coast start to its Cup Season by moving across the country to Atlanta.

Favorites to Win Ambetter Health 400

William Byron (+900)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Kyle Larson (+1200)
Ross Chastain (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Christopher Bell (+1400)
Alex Bowman (+1600)
Brad Keselowski (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Atlanta gave us a wild race last spring – 46 lead changes and 13 cautions – as the repaving of Atlanta Motor Speedway caused it to race much faster and wide open. The winner last spring was William Byron, who comes into Ambetter Health 400 riding a two-race winning streak. Naturally he is the Ambetter Health 400 favorite, and a much-deserved one at that.

Ambetter Health 400

Kyle Busch had wins in Atlanta in 2008 and 2013, and he was the Ambetter Health 400 runner-up in 2021. But in the two races last year on the remade Atlanta Motor Speedway he finished 20th and 33rd.

Ross Chastain was the runner-up in both of the Atlanta races last year and he led for a total of 75 laps. He was only 24th in Phoenix last week, but he was ninth at Daytona and third in Fontana. He could very easily get a victory on Sunday.

Ryan Blaney is also one of the favorites to keep an eye on. He has led laps in five of the last six races in Atlanta for a total of 85 laps. He was a winner here in 2021 and he has four top-five finishes at this track since 2020. It’s also worth noting that Blaney just finished as the runner-up in Phoenix.

Best Value Bets

Chase Briscoe has been consistent at Atlanta, finishing 15th and 16th in the two races last season. But he’s coming off a seventh-place finish in Phoenix, he’s a driver on the rise, and a top-five finish this week pays +850. An outright win pays +3300.

Those are the same odds you can get for Erik Jones, who loves drafting tracks like Atlanta. He has finished in the top-10 in three of the last five drafting tracks, which includes a fourth-place Ambetter Health 400 finish here last July. At +850 for a top-five Ambetter Health 400 finish makes him an excellent value play.

Pay Per Head Software

We have racing and golf every week, the XFL has proven to be one of the best betting games in town, baseball is coming up, and there is that little thing going on right now called the NCAA Tournament.

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WagerHome BlogAmbetter Health 400 Betting Preview

Valspar Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 14, 2023

We bet the averages when it comes to golf, but because of the nature of the game and the big field of other excellent golfers, quite often those averages don’t work out. Scottie Scheffler is one of the best bets, when you go by the averages, and he was a terrific bet last week at THE PLAYERS Championship with an easy five-stroke win.

The averages at the Valspar Championship, however, would tell you that winning the same tournament twice in a row is a long-shot, so avoid last year’s winner at all cost. But this is where the averages break down. In 2022 Sam Burns won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after first winning the tournament. In 2019 (there was no tournament in 2020) Paul Casey won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after he first won the Valspar Championship by fending off Tiger Woods by a stroke.

So with back-to-back champions two times in a row, who is the next golfer likely to begin his run on the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook? And just how likely (or unlikely) is it?

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Justin Thomas (+1000)
Jordan Spieth (+1200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600)
Sam Burns (+1600)
Justin Rose (+2200)
Keegan Bradley (+2200)
Adam Hadwin (+2500)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
Davis Riley (+3300)
Denny McCarthy (+3300)
Dustin Suh (+3300)

Justin Thomas fits the pattern as someone who has never won this tournament before. But he was T3 on this course last year and he did finish fourth in Phoenix. In five starts at Innisbrook he has four top-20 finishes.

Valspar Championship

Jordan Spieth won on this course in 2015, and he just finished T19 at THE PLAYERS. Just a week earlier he was T4 at the Arnold Palmer, and is definitely playing good enough golf to win the Valspar Championship again this weekend.

The aforementioned Sam Burns is the two-time defending champion at this event. Even though his last three events this year are two missed cuts and a T35, he was T11 at the American Express and T6 in Phoenix right before that downturn. He knows this course well, and he’s playing the type of golf in 2023 that could make him a three-time winner.

Keegan Bradley was the runner-up here in 2021, and this season he has a T20 in Phoenix, a T10 at the Arnold Palmer, and he was the runner-up at the Farmers Insurance. Overall he hasn’t been great on this course – the runner-up in 2021 was his lone noteworthy result – but he’s definitely playing well enough to be in the mix come Sunday.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogValspar Championship Betting Preview

United Rentals Work United 500 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 9, 2023

The United Rentals Work United 500 is a bit on the wordy side. So from here on out the NASCAR race this Sunday in Phoenix will simply be referred to as Phoenix.

The race United Rentals Work United 500 is the last of the west coast swing, and then we head back east to Atlanta. And if we’ve learned anything from the start of this Cup Series season, what you don’t know is far greater than what you think you know. We have had six races, and when William Byron crossed the finish line first in Las Vegas last weekend, he became the sixth different winner.

Favorites to Win Phoenix 500

Ryan Blaney (+650)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Joey Logano (+850)
Denny Hamlin (+900)
Christopher Bell (+900)
Kyle Busch (+900)
William Byron (+1000)
Kevin Harvick (+1000)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1100)

Race favorite Ryan Blaney has never won at United Rentals Work United 500, but he’s been in the top-five a total of five times, including each of the last three races here. Just five months ago in Phoenix he was the runner-up.

Kyle Larson won here in November of 2021. He also has five other top-five finishes at this track. Larson was sixth at Daytona, and he was the runner-up last weekend in Las Vegas.

A strong case could be made for Joey Logano as the race favorite this week in Phoenix. His recent history here is better than anyone’s, with a win last November, a runner-up in 2021, and a win and a third-place finish in the two races held here in 2020. In his last seven races in Phoenix, Logano has led for 612 laps.

Best Value Plays

The intermediate flat track in Phoenix favors a particular type of driver and car, and two of those types of plays are paying particularly long odds – Aric Almirola (+4000) and Ryan Preece (+4500).

Almirola most recently won in New Hampshire, a similar type of track. That same season he finished in sixth place at Phoenix. Overall in his history at Phoenix, he has two top-five finishes, and seven times he has finished in the top-10.

Ryan Preece doesn’t have the history of Almirola, and he hasn’t had many good results in Phoenix. But he’s driving a Ford, just like Almirola, and Ford has led an inordinate amount of laps at Phoenix in recent years, including almost all of the laps last November.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogUnited Rentals Work United 500 Betting Preview

THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 6, 2023

Often called the fifth major on the PGA Tour, THE PLAYERS Championship is indeed a special event. Not only is it the only event on Tour that gets to be written in all-caps, it is the strongest field of the year. Teeing it up at Ponte Vedra Beach this weekend are 49 of the 50 players currently in the FedExCup Playoffs.

Ben Taylor is the lone missing player from the top-50, and he has a pretty good excuse. Instead of playing golf at TPC Sawgrass this weekend, he’s getting married. At the time he and his bride-to-be chose their wedding date, Taylor says he never dreamed he would qualify.

Favorites to Win THE PLAYERS Championship

Jon Rahm (+800)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Patrick Cantlay (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Max Homa (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)

Jon Rahm is coming off a pedestrian T39 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but with three wins in his last six starts, he is obvious and deserved favorite. In 2021 he finished ninth at this event, but was only 55th last season.

Rory McIlroy won this event in 2019 and was T2 last week at the Arnold Palmer. On the season he has four starts, one win, and two top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked third in the World Golf Rankings.

THE PLAYERS

Just above McIlroy is second-ranked Scottie Scheffler. He was T4 last week at the Arnold Palmer, following up a T12 at The Genesis and a victory at the Phoenix Open. He tied with Rahm last year for 55th place at this event.

Rounding out the top-four on the odds board in Justin Thomas, a winner here in 2021. He also finished third on this course back in 2016. With over $3.6 million in winnings at TPC Sawgrass, it’s safe to say that Thomas likes this tournament.

Value Bets to Consider

Si Woo Kim at +6600 isn’t an obvious pick after finishing just T39 last week at Bay Hill. However, he finished strong over his final 30 holes, and by the end of the weekend he was playing his best golf since he won the Sony Open in January. He won THE PLAYERS back in 2017 and was top-10 two years ago.

Webb Simpson is another past champion – he won in 2018 – and he is on the board at +15000. He’s had a rough season, but he did just finish the Arnold Palmer with a final round 66 to get a T24. Also, his -18 at THE PLAYERS in 2018 was the lowest score here since 1996.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogTHE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2023

A lot of the heavy hitters on the PGA Tour took last week off because they were preparing to hit the course this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Jon Rahm is back in the field, which of course, makes him the favorite. But Rahm is just one of 44 of the OWGR Top-50 that will be playing this week, as well as all 14 winners this season.

And for the first time in 2023, weather will play an important role in Arnold Palmer. Forecasters are calling for high winds all four days, with some gusts as high as 40mph.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+600)
Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Max Homa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Rahm already has three wins this season, including the last time he played two weeks ago. His run right now is Tiger-esque, and there is no safer bet in sports than on Rahm to be in the mix for a title at Arnold Palmer. He wasn’t great on this course last year, but that doesn’t matter when looking at this year’s odds. He is the best golfer on the planet.

Scottie Scheffler has a win at the Phoenix Open and three other top-10s this year. He was also the winner at Bay Hill last year. Rory McIlroy was the winner here in 2018, and he’s been in the top-15 in seven of his eight career starts here.

After those big three, there is a bit of a drop down to the next group of contenders, led by Max Homa. He has two wins this season, including the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago. He was also the runner-up two weeks ago at Riviera. He was top-10 on this course in 2021.

Viktor Hovland was the runner-up on this course a year ago, and Will Zalatoris has a top-10 finish in two career starts at the Arnold Palmer.

Best Value Bets

With so many great golfers in the field it’s harder to find a longshot who might rise to the top of the leaderboard. But one possibility this weekend is Keith Mitchell at +4000. He has a T6 and T5 at the Arnold Palmer. He’s also coming off a fifth-place finish two weeks ago at Riviera.

Arnold Palmer

Sam Burns is also paying +4000, and this year he has a T11 at the American Express and a T6 at the Phoenix Open. He was T9 at this event a year ago in spite of shooting a 75 in the third round. Clear that up, and he could be a contender.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogArnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

Honda Classic Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 21, 2023

The PGA Tour concluded its west coast swing with an electric appearance by Tiger Woods at Riviera Country Club. He finished well off the lead, but considering this was his first tournament since last July, we’re going to see great things from Tiger before this year is over.

The Tiger Woods magic was also present in the person of Jon Rahm, who continues to dominate the sport in a way not seen since Woods was in his prime. Rahm has won five of his last nine starts, and all nine of those starts have ended with him in the top-10.

Favorites to Win the Honda Classic

Sungjae Im (+850)
Shane Lowry (+1600)
Aaron Wise (+2200)
Alex Noren (+2500)
Chris Kirk (+2500)
Denny McCarthy (+2500)
Matt Kuchar (+2500)
Min Woo Lee (+2500)
Billy Horschel (+2800)

Honda Classic

The PGA Tour heads to Florida for the Honda Classic this weekend, the final Honda Classic to be played. Beginning in 2024 there will be a new title sponsor for this longtime stop on Tour. Part of the reason Honda is pulling out is that because of the schedule, this has become a rest week for most top golfers.

Sungjae Im is the best golfer in the field and the runaway favorite in the field. He missed the cut at PGA National last year, but he was eighth in 2021, and he was the winner here in 2020. Just two weeks ago, he finished T6 at the Phoenix Open, following up a T4 at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Shane Lowry is coming off a T14 at the Genesis Invitational, fueled by a final round 68. Last year at this event, he was the runner-up at -9. Lowry, along with Im, are two of the three top-20 golfers in the World Rankings in the field this week.

The third of those top-20 golfers is Billy Horschel, who is off to a rough start this season. He missed the cut at both the Genesis Invitational and Sony Open. His best finish since the calendar flipped to 2023 was a T30 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Horschel has twice finished in the top 10 at this event.

Upcoming PGA Schedule

The course at PGA National is still one of the best on Tour, with 26 different water hazards on the course. But the best golfers in the world are using the shift to the east coast as a chance to rest up for the two big events coming up in March, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass.

This week the field takes a step back in quality, but in the first two weeks of March, it will be the best field seen outside of a Honda Classic major championship.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogHonda Classic Betting Preview

NBA Championship Odds

by WagerHome Blog on February 16, 2023

As we head into the NBA’s All-Star weekend, it is the perfect time to check in and see who are the current betting favorites to win the NBA Finals in June.

Boston Celtics (+270)

The favorite to win the title is the best team in the Eastern Conference, the Boston Celtics. They have the best depth in the league, Jayson Tatum is having a career-year with more than 30 points scored per game, and Marcus Smart came back on Wednesday from an ankle injury and was immediately his usual great defensive self.

The break is needed with the Celtics nursing a few injuries, but this is a team built to win a title.

Milwaukee Bucks (+410)

Two years ago, the Bucks were champions, beating the Suns in six games. Still around from the team is of course one of the best players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo, as well as Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez – their three leading scorers this season.

The wildcard is Khris Middleton, who has twice missed long stretches this season because of injury. He was critical to the Bucks’ championship run, and they need him to stay healthy if they hope to get to the Finals again this year.

Phoenix Suns (+500)

The Suns were the best regular season team a year ago, but they were bounced in the conference semifinals by the Dallas Mavericks. Of course, that roster did not include Kevin Durant, and this year’s roster does. Adding him at the trade deadline to Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Deandre Booker, and Mikal Bridges has the fans in Arizona expecting a better playoffs in 2023.

Denver Nuggets (+750)

NBA

Nikola Jokic is a heavy favorite to win yet another MVP award. It would be his third in a row if he does in fact win it. So far, however, his personal dominance has yet to work out for the Nuggets. They made the conference semis when Jokic won the award in 2021, but were knocked out in the first round last year in his MVP repeat season.

This Nuggets team does have the best record in the West heading into the All-Star break, so maybe this postseason will be different.

Los Angeles Clippers (+1200)

Still, in search of their first-ever trip to the NBA Finals, the Clippers are paying the fifth shortest odds on winning the NBA title. That’s quite high on the odds board, considering that the Clippers are only fifth in the Western Conference and unlikely to climb any higher than third.

It all comes down to health for this team. If Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are healthy in the playoffs, they could be dangerous. If they aren’t healthy, the Clippers have no shot.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogNBA Championship Odds

WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 7, 2023

It may only be the second biggest sporting event in the WM Phoenix area this weekend, but the crowds at the WM Phoenix Open are likely to be the most lively in the state. While the corporate crowds of the Super Bowl will gather in Glendale, Arizona, on the other side of town up to 300,000 fans will turn TPC Scottsdale into a loud and raucous four days on the course.

WM Phoenix is one of the PGA Tour’s favorite stops, because of the crowds, and also because of the golf. Five of the last seven tournaments here had to go to a playoff before a winner was decided.

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Jon Rahm (+800)
Cameron Smith (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1500)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Tony Finau (+2000)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Rory McIlroy makes his first stop on the PGA Tour in the new calendar year. He has played this event once in the past, in 2021, and he finished 13th that year at -13. McIlroy is the number one ranked golfer in the world.

Spain’s Jon Rahm is ranked third in the world, and his 2023 is off to a great start. In January, he won at both the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express at PGA West. He finished the month at the Farmer’s Insurance at Torrey Pines with a seventh-place finish.

Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion at this event. Last year’s win in Scottsdale was the first Tour win of his career, and it launched an unforgettable year. He won four times in 2022, including at The Masters in April. He finished T2 at the U.S. Open, was ranked No. 1 in the world, and he won the Jack Nicklaus Award, given to the PGA Tour’s golfer of the year.

Good Value Bets

Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) loves playing at WM Phoenix. He was a runner-up in 2015, and then he won back-to-back in 2016 and 2017. He was also a top-10 finisher here in 2022.

Brooks Koepka (+3500) is also a two-time winner at this event. He beat Matsuyama by a stroke in 2015, and was a single-stroke winner in 2021. When he won at the WM Phoenix Open in 2021 he was +5000 when the tournament began. He was +4000 the first time he won.

If you are looking for a longshot to play, Keegan Bradley (+12500) is worth a look. He was a runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago, following up on a strong finish to 2022 when he was T5 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and the winner at the Zozo Championship.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogWM Phoenix Open Betting Preview