NFL Archives - Page 8 Of 15

NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 30, 2021

Two weeks remain in the NFL regular season, and there are only two weeks left of a full sixteen games for us to bet on each week. As the teams jockey for final playoff positioning, these are the four games you should give an extra look at in NFL Week 17.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5) at New York Jets

The only fear here is that the Bucs will get up by so much that they’ll take their foot off the gas, and the Jets will get a late score to stay inside two touchdowns.

That fear, however, is small. Tom Brady loves playing the Jets, and here his competitive nature will serve you well. He wants a Super Bowl, but he also wants another MVP award, and that will lead him to pour it on his old division rival.

The Tom Brady show will have Tampa Bay winning this game by at least 17 points.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Baltimore Ravens

These are two teams heading in completely opposite directions.

The Rams have won four straight games, covered all four, and have clinched a playoff berth. L.A.’s next goal is to secure the NFC West title.

The Ravens have lost four straight, gone 2-2 ATS, and have completely fallen out of the playoff picture. And another week goes by, and another cornerback does down with an injury.

The Ravens simply don’t have enough left to win this game and save their season. The Rams win, and they win by at least a touchdown.

Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

The Raiders defense is not equipped to handle Jonathan Taylor. He will get his yards, and the Colts will get their points. But even when Taylor is at his best, those points from the offense don’t get too high.

Taylor was great against the Cardinals, and Indy scored 22. He ran for 170 against the Patriots, and their final tally was 27.

Derek Carr is having a good season, and he expects to have Darren Waller back, and that will make a huge difference for the Raiders in keeping this game close. The Colts will still win, but Las Vegas only loses by a field goal.

Houston Texans (+13) at San Francisco 49ers

Is an injured Jimmy Garoppolo better than a still very raw Trey Lance?

After Garoppolo tore a ligament in his thumb last Thursday, the effects were obvious. He struggled to grip the football and throw it, and most doctors agree that he won’t be able to play this week or even again this season. However, the 49ers haven’t ruled him out just yet.

Regardless, the Texans are playing spirited football and covered two weeks in a row, and with a big 13-point spread against the 49ers, they will cover for a third straight week.

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NFL Week 16 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 23, 2021

Welcome back to our NFL Week 16 betting picks! As we move into the final three weeks of the season, there are two things we’re focused on: Which teams have the most to play for and which teams are best equipped to survive positive COVID tests. Unfortunately, December of 2021 is looking a lot like the 2020 season, and rosters can take unexpected hits at any given moment.

So always check the latest COVID/reserve list before placing your NFL Week 16 betting picks.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-7)

We expect that Baker Mayfield will be back for the Browns for Saturday’s game in Green Bay. But the Browns are now 7-7 and on playoff life support. The Packers, on the other hand, have control of home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs, and Aaron Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his life.

The Packers have an extra day of rest, more to play for, and a quarterback looking like a back-to-back MVP. There won’t be a late-game meltdown to blow the point spread like last week at Baltimore. This week Green Bay wins by at least 10 points and covers the spread.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (+10.5)

The old narrative would read like this: Tom Brady is super angry about getting shut out on Sunday night, and like the Hulk, you don’t want to make Tom Brady angry.

That sentiment about Brady is real, but the injuries just suffered by the Bucs offense are also very real and far more relevant. The simple fact is when Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are not in the lineup, this offense struggles. Remove Mike Evans, who we won’t know about until closer to kick-off, and points will be at a premium.

The Panthers have a good defense, and they will be able to slow an already slowed Tampa Bay offense enough to keep the final score to within 10 points. The Bucs will win but take the Panthers and the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-9) at Houston Texans

Another team that’s angry heading into Week 16 is the Los Angeles Chargers, who are just a fourth-down conversion away from being in the first place. Instead, they are most likely going to finish no better than second place, leaving them in the jumbled mess of the AFC wild-card race.

Winning at Houston keeps the Chargers clear of the teams currently out of the playoffs, like Baltimore and Pittsburgh, and helps them keep pace with the Colts and Bills. Winning big at Houston will help soothe the soul after losing in overtime to the Chiefs, and that is what will happen.

Take the Chargers and give the points.

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NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2021

Welcome to our NFL Week 15 Betting Picks! The NFL has moved into its Saturday game phase, so we are now treated to a full slate of NFL games all weekend long for the remainder of the regular season. More days of football is always a good thing, as are more days of football betting.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

It’s not that we’re not believers in the one-year turnaround in New England. The Patriots deserve their top spot in the AFC playoff seedings. We’re just big believers in the Colts at home, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way.

Both teams are coming off their bye, and are well-rested and as healthy as you can expect this late in the season. New England is also rolling. Their weather game in Buffalo was close, but their previous four wins were by 18, 38, 25, and 23 points.

But Saturday night is all about Taylor and if the Patriots can stop him. New England ranks 19th against the run, and in their last three games, they’ve given up 136.3 ypg. That is the opening Taylor needs, and that is why the Colts win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

There are five teams in the AFC bunched up at 7-6, and only two of them are going to make the playoffs. These two teams would both like to be in that group, making Sunday’s game in Denver a must-win for both.

The Broncos did look good last week, but it was Detroit. The week before, when they were in Kansas City and playing for first place in the AFC West, they lost 22-9.

The Bengals are coming off two straight losses at home, but Joe Burrow, despite his injured finger, is playing well. And when it comes to do-or-die football in late December, go with the better quarterback. Plus, the weather in Denver will be nice this weekend, leaving the Bengals offense to do its thing and win this game outright.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

As we just said with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, go with the better quarterback. And in Baltimore this weekend, despite these being the last two NFL MVPs, Aaron Rodgers is the better quarterback. And the healthiest.

Rodgers is rolling right now. Over his last three games, he has 1,033 yards, ten touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. Lamar Jackson has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and will be playing on a sprained ankle.

The Ravens look like a team completely out of gas. Green Bay looks like a team on a mission. Packers roll and win by 10 points.

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NFL Week 14 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 7, 2021

In Week 13, three AFC teams with playoff hopes lost winnable games at home. The shocking result in the NFC was the Detroit Lions getting their first win against the playoff-hopeful Vikings. So what is going to happen in NFL Week 14?

Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) at Cleveland Browns

Yes, the Ravens are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh. Yes, they just lost corner Marlon Humphrey for the season. And yes, Lamar Jackson has the second-most interceptions in the NFL with 13.

But the Browns continue to be one of the most injured teams in the NFL, and no one is sure just how long Baker Mayfield can hold up physically. And these teams just played each other in Week 12, and the Ravens won the game, even with four Jackson interceptions.

Chances of another four interceptions coming gift-wrapped for Cleveland are long, and if the Browns couldn’t win then, why should they be favorites now?

Take the points.

New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+6)

The Jets lost again last week because they are the Jets, but Zach Wilson wasn’t all that bad. It was easily his best game in two months, and it gives New York fans a little hope that this season isn’t a total loss.

The Saints, on the other hand, have to look at 2021 as a total loss. Injuries have killed them, and having no real or clear plan for quarterback succession has left them with a five-game losing streak.

We finally got to see Taysom Hill at QB, and while it started well, it ended rather poorly. His injured finger doesn’t require surgery, but how can New Orleans be almost a touchdown favorite?

The Saints are bad, Hill isn’t healthy, and all other options are horrible. Take the Jets and the points.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

These are tough times for the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots were supposed to be rebuilding, and the Bills were supposed to be a Super Bowl contender. But on Monday, the Patriots got a big leg up on the race for the AFC East by winning in the snow and wind of Buffalo.

Now, when you face a must-win game to keep pace in the division race, you’re facing the biggest of all thorns in your side, Tom Brady.

The Bills are reeling, and the Buccaneers are rolling. Buffalo is missing their best defensive back, Tre’Davious White, and Brady is playing like the MVP favorite, which he is.

Tampa Bay has won three straight, Buffalo has lost two of three, and the Bucs win this game by at least a touchdown.

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NFL Week 13 Betting Picks of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on December 1, 2021

Thanksgiving is behind us, December football is here, and the sprint to the end of the NFL regular season begins. Below are some of the best NFL Week 13 betting picks you can make this week!

Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

One of the most compelling games of Week 13 is the Chargers at the Bengals. Justin Herbert vs. Joe Burrow. One team that’s a puzzle vs. one team figuring it out.

At one point, the Chargers were 4-1 and looking like the AFC’s best. Since then, they’ve lost four of six and just got manhandled by the Broncos. As good as Herbert is, his defense is the opposite. Against the run, they rank dead last in the NFL.

So forget about Burrow on Sunday because it’s all about Joe Mixon. He had 123 rushing yards two weeks ago, 165 last week (both wins), and he will have a third straight big day.

Mixon leads the Bengals to the win and the cover.

Indianapolis Colts (-9) at Houston Texans

The Texans did beat the Titans, but that says more about the Titans without their offensive stars and a league that can see anyone win if the ball bounces the right way.

Following that win, the Texans went out and lost to the Jets and looked like a team that, if not for the Lions, would be the worst in the NFL.

The Colts are coming off a loss to the Bucs, but that was against one of the Super Bowl favorites. And against a fairly good defense, they put up 31 points. This game is not against a fairly good defense, and Jonathan Taylor should run wild.

Indianapolis may have lost the division last week, but they will win this week by at least two touchdowns.

Washington Football Team (+2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

It was a good and needed performance by the Raiders on Thanksgiving. Las Vegas had lost three straight games, and the last two by huge margins.

Meanwhile, Washington is riding a three-game winning streak. Yes, the last two came against the Panthers and Seahawks. But they covered both of those spreads, and those games came on the heels of their biggest win of the year, a 10-point victory over Tampa Bay.

The way to handle the Raiders is with your running backs. Joe Mixon rushed for 123 yards, and the Bengals won easily. Darrel Williams had 101 yards receiving out of the backfield, and the Chiefs won easily. And Washington has two very good running backs in Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic.

The two accounted for 202 total yards and two touchdowns last week. The week before, it was 145 yards and two scores. This week they have another big game, and Washington will cover for the fourth straight week.

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NFL Week 12 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2021

It’s Thanksgiving weekend, which means lots and lots of food, lots and lots of football, and conversations around the dinner table about which are the best bets to place on a long NFL weekend. Below are some of our best NFL Week 12 betting picks!

Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

You may not be targeting the Falcons and Jaguars as one of the matchups you want to watch. Fair enough, the two teams have combined for some really bad football. But this is a game that you’ll want to bet.

As bad as the Falcons have looked at times – 43-3 vs. Dallas and 25-0 vs. New England – there are times when the Falcons have looked good. They have four wins, including an impressive win on the road at New Orleans. And they have been beating teams like the Jags, with wins over the Giants, Jets, and Dolphins.

Watching these two teams may not be on your weekend viewing schedule. But the Falcons are a good bet to win on the road in Jacksonville, and this game should be on your betting slip.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

The Patriots have a rookie quarterback and a collection of no-name wide receivers. But they have a coach by the name of Bill Belichick and one of the best defenses in football.

A win on Sunday, and incredibly, the Patriots could find themselves as the top seed in the AFC. Just a few weeks ago, the Bills were going to win the AFC East. Now the Pats are in the first place, and they have the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games.

Even before the Titans lost to Houston, there were concerns about Tennessee and its offense. Those concerns become even more amplified against a defense like New England’s and a coach like Belichick. Tennessee’s fall without Derrick Henry continues on Sunday, the Patriots win streak rolls on, and they win by more than a touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers are good again, which is fun. They’ve won three of four games, climbed back into the playoff race, rookie Elijah Mitchell is turning into a star, and Deebo Samuel is having a season for the ages.

The problem this week for the 49ers is that they face a team that has been good all season long, even if the record hasn’t cooperated. Like San Francisco, Minnesota is 5-5, but they are three field goals away from being 8-2.

Last week the game-winning field goal finally went in their favor, and they beat Green Bay. This week will be another close game and another win for the Vikings.

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NFL Week 11 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 17, 2021

Week 10 was the week of blowouts, with six wins by 20 points or more and another two wins by 17 points. Which point spreads are safe for NFL Week 11?

Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb is expected back for the Browns running game, while the status for Kareem Hunt remains unclear. But to be fair, D’Ernest Johnson had 157 total yards in their absence on Sunday, and the Browns still got blown out.

Getting their running backs healthy won’t help much. The Cleveland defense is incredibly disappointing, and Baker Mayfield continues to rack up the injuries and below-average performances.

Detroit, on the other hand, is more competitive than not. In two of the three games in which they have been at least a touchdown underdog, they have covered the spread. They lost to the Ravens by two, the Rams by nine, the Vikings by two, and they tied the Steelers.

The Browns will win on Sunday, but the Lions keep the final score to within one touchdown.

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

Panthers fans were desperate to welcome back Christian McCaffrey throughout the month of October. That’s gone well, with 257 total yards for McCaffrey in the last two weeks.

Unexpectedly, however, was the welcoming back of Cam Newton. The last time these two played significant time together, the Panthers had a top-10 offense.

The McCaffrey-Newton combo isn’t going to become top-10 this season, but a bit of offensive resurgence isn’t unexpected. And when you consider how the Carolina defense is playing, don’t be surprised if the Panthers make the playoffs.

Washington is coming off a huge win, but a big loss of Chase Young to a torn ACL. CMC has a big day against WFT, and the Panthers cover this spread.

New York Giants (+11.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Yes, Tom Brady is angry after two straight losses, and he wants to take out his frustrations on the next opponent. Yes, it was the Giants who beat Brady twice in the Super Bowl, and he always enjoys beating them. But no, the issues with the Bucs will not be solved by the will of Tom Brady.

A very limited Washington offense just drove the ball 80 yards on 19 plays to seal the win over the Bucs. Brady can’t cover for that. Richard Sherman is now out with a calf injury, and it’s unclear when he might return. Vita Vea will also be out of the game because of an injury.

The wide receivers are banged up, the defense is short-handed, and the Giants will go into Tampa Bay and cover the spread. Take the points and New York.

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NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 10, 2021

The NFL has officially reached the halfway point, with nine weeks in the books and nine more weeks to go. As we kick off the second half, let’s begin with a look at NFL Week 10’s best point spread bets.

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3)

We were all very impressed with the Saints after they beat the Bucs in Week 8. There is simply something that New Orleans has over Tampa Bay, now with three straight wins over them in the regular season.

The problem is the rest of the league and their unsettled situation at quarterback. As 6.5-point favorites last week against the Falcons, the Saints lost outright. And now they get the hottest team in the AFC and on the road, no less. Three points just don’t feel like enough.

The Titans have beaten the Bills, Chiefs, Colts, and Rams in succession, and in all four games, Tennessee was the underdog. No Derrick Henry, no problem last week on the road in Los Angeles.

This team is very good, it’s not getting the respect it deserves from the betting public, and that is to your advantage. Take the Titans and lay the points.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5)

Maybe it was rust from Dak Prescott’s injury layoff. Maybe it was simply a case of one team not taking the other one seriously.

Whatever was the case with the Cowboys embarrassing loss to the Broncos on Sunday, Dallas has a score to settle. They are still a very good team and one of the NFC’s favorites. The only thing scarier than an offense of Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Ezekiel Elliott is when those four stars are angry.

Give the Falcons credit for figuring out how to make Cordarrelle Paterson one of the most interesting weapons in football and to make the pick of a tight end in the top-five look good. But as plucky as Atlanta has been, this game will be all Cowboys.

Dallas wins by at least 10 points and covers this spread.

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

Even if Aaron Rodgers plays in this game, two weeks of being banned from the practice facility and not being able to prepare for the Seahawks will have an effect.

And if we learn on Saturday that Jordan Love is going to get another start, this line is going to go heavily for the Seahawks. So get in now while the getting is still good.

Russell Wilson is back and healthy, and he will provide a much-needed lift for Seattle. Even with a full-strength Rodgers, the Pack has won three games by only three points or less.

Take Wilson and the Seahawks with the points.

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NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 3, 2021

When the dust settles on Monday night, we will officially be halfway done with the regular season. So let’s end the first half on a high note and hit on all of these bets for NFL Week 9.

New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

The Patriots had been getting close, with almost victories against both the Buccaneers and the Cowboys. But little things were getting in the way, and we weren’t quite sure if they could figure out how to fix them.

Going into Los Angeles, beating the Chargers, and making Justin Herbert look nothing more than average is an excellent start. And coming on the heels of a 41-point drubbing of the Jets isn’t bad either.

The tale of the tape is this: Mac Jones is better than Sam Darnold, and as good as Carolina’s defense has played, New England’s is playing even better. Matt Rhule is also a good head coach, but Bill Belichick is still the master.

Patriots win this game by at least a touchdown. Take the Pats and lay the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

A two-game skid sandwiched around the bye week is not how the Chargers envisioned ending the month of October. They’ve gone from first place in the AFC West to fighting for the wild card lives. But there is simply too much talent on this team to believe this kind of play continues.

The losses to the Ravens and Patriots were bad, but the Eagles are also bad – not including their demolition of the Lions last week. Prior to the skid, the Chargers had covered three consecutive point spreads. Remove the Lions from the equation, and the Eagles have covered just three of seven games.

L.A. wins at Philadelphia by at least a touchdown.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Welcome to a world in which we expect the Bengals to win football games. Such is life when you have weapons like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.

It’s because of this new world that we look at what happened to the Bengals last week against the Jets as an aberration and not a trend. The Titans lost to the Jets and have won four straight since. Cincinnati should also bounce back in a similar fashion, beginning this weekend against their Ohio rival.

Gone are the good feelings about last year’s playoff win over the Steelers. Last Sunday against Pittsburgh, it felt like the same old Browns. Cleveland is limited by injuries, and now Odell Beckham, Jr’s father, is going after Baker Mayfield on social media. It’s not going to help, either OBJ’s numbers or Mayfield’s play.

Cincinnati is simply the better team, and they will win on Sunday by at least a field goal.

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NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2021

We are nearing the halfway point of the NFL season, and the action around the league is heating up. There are some big games on the schedule in Week 8, but more importantly, there are some great NFL Week 8 betting opportunities to be had.

Arizona Cardinals -6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers

The 7-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 6-1 Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 8. These are two of the best teams in the NFL this season, but the Packers are coming into this game shorthanded.

Green Bay could be without their top three wide receivers due to injuries and COVID-19, and that is going to have a big impact on this game. Arizona is scoring over 32 points per game, and the Packers will need to score to keep this game close.

This would be a great game if both teams were at full strength, but that won’t be the case in this one. Take the Arizona Cardinals -6.5 as they win this game by a touchdown at least.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.0 at New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints pose the biggest challenge to Tampa Bay in the NFC South, but it’s not a very big threat. Tampa Bay has been rolling over opponents this season, and they will be looking to make a statement in New Orleans.

The Saints are allowing less than 17 points per game this season, but they haven’t faced an offense this good yet. Tom Brady has already thrown for 21 touchdowns this season, and this should be another huge day for the Tampa Bay offense.

New Orleans can make this a competitive game, but they just don’t have enough weapons to win the game. Take the Buccaneers -5.0 as they move to 7-1.

Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 vs. New York Giants

The Kansas City Chiefs are an absolute mess, and their 3-4 start has to be one of the biggest surprises in football. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown nine interceptions this season, and that defense has been a disaster.

The Chiefs host the 2-5 New York Giants on Monday night, and this feels like the perfect time to turn things around. Kansas City is too talented to continue to lose games, and they should feast on a bad Giants team in this one.

New York is dealing with a number of injuries to key players, and this could get out of hand in a hurry. Take the Chiefs -10.0 as the Monday Night Football Game turns into a blowout.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5) at New York Jets

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Baltimore Ravens

Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans (+13) at San Francisco 49ers

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Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-7)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (+10.5)

Los Angeles Chargers (-9) at Houston Texans

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New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

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Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) at Cleveland Browns

New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+6)

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

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Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

Indianapolis Colts (-9) at Houston Texans

Washington Football Team (+2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

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Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

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Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

New York Giants (+11.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5)

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

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New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

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Arizona Cardinals -6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.0 at New Orleans Saints

Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 vs. New York Giants

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