Best Bets for NFL Week 3

by WagerHome Blog on September 21, 2023

Best Bets for NFL Week 3

Television ratings are up, attendance is up, and the beginning of the NFL season has seen a significant rise in wagering. There are nine teams that have yet to lose a game in 2023, and nine teams that have yet to lose a point spread bet.

Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins (-6.5)

The Broncos played an excellent first half of football last week, and a terrible second half. They are 0-2, many of the problems that plagued the Nathaniel Hackett-led Broncos, are still a problem a year later with Sean Payton as the head coach.

The Dolphins are firing on all cylinders, and have played eight good quarters of football in two road wins, and two road covers. Now they are at home in Miami for the first time this season, and they are a top bet to win by more than a touchdown.

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-7.5)

Best Bets for NFL Week 3

After a big win on the road at the Bengals, and their second cover of the season, the Ravens return home in sole possession of first place in the AFC North. Only two teams in the AFC are unbeaten, and the Ravens, with new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, are one of them.

Lamar Jackson looks more and more comfortable in the offense, and even though the Ravens are starting to be hit by injuries, the Indianapolis Colts are down to backup quarterback Gardner Minshew for this one. Minshew is a fine backup, but he limits the offense, and the Colts prospects at covering the spread. Look for the Ravens to win this game by double digits.

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (-2)

In each of his first two starts this season, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has thrown for at least three touchdown passes. Last year as the Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers had just a single three-touchdown game.

The Packers offense has been really good through two weeks on the road, and now they play at Lambeau Stadium for the first time this year, against an offense not playing as well. Alvin Kamara still has two more games on his suspension, and that will continue to handicap the Saints.

The Packers will respond to the home crowd, Love will have another big game, and Green Bay will cover.

Dallas Cowboys (-12) at Arizona Cardinals

Both the Cowboys and Cardinals have started 2-0 against the spread, but that is where the similarities end. Dallas has beaten the spread by a combined 49 points, and they have outscored their opponents 70-10.

Arizona has beat the spread by a combined five points over two losses, and just played one of the worst halves of football, ever, in losing to the Giants. The Cowboys will roll by two touchdowns or more.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 3
NFL

Week 2 NFL Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 14, 2023

In NFL Week 1, the Detroit Lions got the win that justified their preseason hype. The San Francisco 49ers looked like the best team in the NFL, with the Dallas Cowboys right behind them. While the Seattle Seahawks underperformed massively, as did the Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills.

It was a wild week in the greatest reality show on earth, and Week 2 promises more of the same.

NFL Pick: Las Vegas Raiders (+9) at Buffalo Bills

Where is the respect for the Raiders? They were four-point underdogs last week in Denver, and Las Vegas won the NFL game outright by stretching out of their time of possession and limiting the number of times the Broncos had the ball.

Now they are nine-point underdogs at b, a team that just lost to a reeling Jets team. If ever there was a win there for the taking, it was the Bills at the Jets, and they couldn’t get it done. Buffalo will probably get the win this week, but the spread is much too big. Look for the Raiders to cover.

NFL Pick: Baltimore Ravens (+3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Another underdog worth taking this week is the Baltimore Ravens. They covered the spread at home in Week 1, and now they get their top rival for the AFC North crown, a Bengals team that looked terrible at Cleveland.

Joe Burrow won’t be nearly as bad as he was last week, but the offensive line is a real concern. Instead of the new and improved line we were promised, they were a major liability. Baltimore will be able to exploit that and keep this game close.

At 2.5 points, you might want to avoid this game, but when the Ravens are getting more than a field goal, take it.

NFL

NFL Pick: San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) at Los Angeles Rams

The Rams had an excellent showing in their Week 1 win at Seattle, and the offensive explosion came without Cooper Kupp. Turns out Matthew Stafford is still a very good quarterback, and Sean McVay is a very good NFL coach.

But, did you see the 49ers in Pittsburgh? They dominated the Steelers on both sides of the ball, and there is no reason to think that they can’t do the same at SoFi Stadium this weekend. And when you consider that the 49ers have covered each of the last seven games against their rival Rams, this bet becomes obvious.

The Rams are better than we thought, but they are still a young team that will struggle against the completeness of the 49ers. San Francisco wins this game and covers the spread.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogWeek 2 NFL Betting Preview

NFL Week 1 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 7, 2023

NFL Week 1 Betting Preview

It is finally here. All 32 NFL teams will have played their Week 1 games by the time the Bills and Jets finish things out on Monday, and the road to the Super Bowl will officially be underway.

The American Gaming Association conducted its annual preseason study, and over the course of the 272-game regular season, 73.5 million adult Americans are planning to wager on one, many, or all of the games.

Raise your hand if you are one of the 73.5 million. Now put your hand down so you can scroll through our betting preview.

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-10)

There are reasons to be excited about the Texans. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud should be fun, and rookie pass rusher Will Anderson is going to be a beast. But they are rookies, playing for a rookie head coach.

The Baltimore Ravens have a healthy MVP candidate at quarterback, and a wide receiver room that has more talent than at any time in the Lamer Jackson era. The offensive line is healthy, J.K. Dobbins is back, and the Ravens are a serious Super Bowl contender, if that health can hold.

Baltimore is an elite team, and they will win their home opener by two touchdowns or more.

Tennessee Titans at New Orleans Saints (-3)

Neither of the South divisions are going to be good this year, but the Saints look like the best team in the NFC South. They should also get plenty of wins against the AFC South, with the exception being the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Saints have the better defense, the better quarterback, and with the health of Michael Thomas, the better wide receivers. Derrick Henry is not going to be enough for the Titans to keep this close. The Saints offense looks good with Derek Carr, Chris Olave, and Thomas. They will look good on Sunday at home, and cover the field goal spread.

NFL Week 1

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (+2.5)

Monday night at MetLife will be the loudest regular season game ever for the Jets. Generations of Jets frustration will be let out, as they welcome Aaron Rodgers to town.

The stars are too aligned to make New York home underdogs, so we’re taking the points. Keep in mind that with Zach Wilson at quarterback, the Jets defense orchestrated an upset of the Bills last year.

Without Von Miller the Buffalo pass rush won’t be a factor, and Rodgers, recognizing the importance of winning the opener against the defending division champion, will respond. Take the Jets and the points.

Pay Per Head Software

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NFL

NFL 2023 Kickoff Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 5, 2023

Give yourself a round of applause. You have survived another NFL offseason. On Thursday, the new 2023 season kicks off in Kansas City, as the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs hang their banner with the Detroit Lions in town.

The NFL moved to a single-game Thursday kickoff in 2002, and since 2004, it has been a tradition to have that game hosted by the defending Super Bowl champions. There will be concerts, a larger-than-normal tailgate at Arrowhead Stadium, and a full celebration of the 272 games of the regular season to come.

Amid all the pomp and circumstance, there will be a football game. A pretty good football game at that. And there will be NFL betting.

NFL Week 1: Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

If there is one team that is impossible to hate, it is the Detroit Lions. Their starting quarterback, Jared Goff, is engaged to a Sports Illustrated swimsuit model. Their head coach is ranked No. 1 on everyone’s list of “want to have a beer with.” Their fans have been battered by bad teams since the 1950s, yet they remain loyal.

There is something about the city of Detroit and something about the Lions that you want to root for.

And to top it off, they are actually a good team. They are favored to win the NFC North because they have one of the best offenses in the NFL. We won’t see Jameson Williams to begin the season, but in the age of diminishing running back returns, rookie Jahmyr Gibbs is an exciting one to watch.

NFL

The Kansas City Chiefs are also a pretty good team. For each of the five years that Partick Mahomes has been the quarterback, they have hosted the AFC Championship Game. Twice, they have won the Super Bowl with Mahomes, and they are the preseason betting favorite to win a third.

Chris Jones remains a holdout, which will hurt the Chiefs pass rush. Can the Lions take advantage of that? Maybe, on offense. But the Chiefs offense should have its way with a suspect Lions defense.

Game Pick: Chiefs (-7)

Andy Reid is 9-1 in Week 1 as the head coach of the Chiefs, 5-0 with Mahomes as the starting quarterback, and Mahomes has 18 Week 1 touchdown passes and no interceptions.

In these five season-openers, the Chiefs have won them all by an average of 13 points, and four of the five wins were by at least 10 points. Go with the Chiefs at home.

Pay Per Head Software

We have 18 weeks of the NFL coming up, then four more rounds of postseason play. Plus, college football is in its second week, the baseball pennant races are as hot as ever, and then basketball and hockey will be here on a nightly basis.

It can be too much for an independent bookmaker to stay on top of unless that bookie is also paired with a top pay per head software provider, like WagerHome.com. With WagerHome, you get a fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting.

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NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 17, 2023

We’ve got NFL preseason games all weekend long, including our first Monday night game of the season. And that means there is a full weekend of NFL betting.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (-6) – Friday

It is official. Bijan Robinson, one of the most anticipated running back prospects in years, will make his Falcons debut against the Bengals on Friday night.

Falcons head coach Arthur Smith was a bit of a party pooper, adding to the announcement;

“We’re not going to go crazy. We just need the reps.”

Three reps, ten reps, all signs point to Robinson being worth your time. He’s had a great training camp for the Falcons, and his first time on an NFL field, even in the preseason, will be an event.

NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) – Saturday

These two teams play just 180 miles away from each other, and these two starting quarterbacks are separated by just one-hundredth of a second. A centisecond, as 0.01 is known, was the difference between the 40-time for Bears quarterback Justin Fields at the NFL combine and what Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson ran.

Richardson has been named QB1, and he will get reps. Fields will play again this preseason, and hopefully, it will be this week. The quarterback track meet would be fun to watch.

New Orleans Saints (-3) at Los Angeles Chargers – Sunday

Derek Carr continues his trip around the AFC West. Last week he played the Chiefs, a team he faced 17 times as the quarterback of the Raiders. Now he gets the Chargers, a team he faced 18 times when they were division rivals.

He looked sharp last week, and all of his offensive pieces are healthy and clicking. Justin Herbert never plays in the preseason, which makes the Saints a deserved favorite at SoFi on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) at Washington Commanders – Monday

Rivals by proximity, for the majority of the Ravens’ tenure in Baltimore, they have been a much better team than the Washington Commanders. But Monday’s game might be rather spicey after the two teams get involved in multiple brawls this week at a joint practice.

Players are tired of hitting their teammates, they like hitting other teams, and that can lead to hot tempers. Although the body slam of Commanders’ corner Danny Johnson by Ravens tight end Mark Andrews went well beyond frayed tempers.

Watch the game because the Ravens never lose in the preseason. Enjoy the game because these two teams don’t like each other.

Pay Per Head Software

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Running Back Additions in the AFC East

Running Back Additions in the AFC East

by WagerHome Blog on August 15, 2023

It’s not very often that teams in the middle of the preseason can add an impact free agent. But when you consider what is happening in the AFC East running back market, these are not normal times.

Early on Monday, the New England Patriots announced that they were signing former Cowboys star running back Ezekiel Elliott. Not to be outdone, a few hours later, the New York Jets announced that they had come to terms with former Vikings star running back Dalvin Cook.

It’s a four-team race in what may be the most competitive division in football, and two of the four offenses just got better.

AFC East News: Ezekiel Elliott’s Impact in New England

The Patriots have the longest odds of anyone in the AFC East, paying +800 to win the division. That didn’t change with the signing of Elliott, but the makeup of their backfield did change.

Head coach Bill Belichick likes third-year running back Rhamondre Stevenson, but they were very clear about their intent to add a veteran back to the mix. They flirted with Dalvin Cook and had camp visits with Leonard Fournette and Darrell Henderson. But in Elliott, they get someone who is especially good at finding the endzone.

Elliott has 80 career touchdowns, including 12 last year, and he has as many 50 catches in a season three times. As a third-down option and redzone target, Zeke is a great addition for the Patriots.

Back when Zeke became a free agent in March, the Patriots weren’t even in the top 10 favorites to sign him.

Running Back Additions in the AFC East

AFC East News: Jets All-In on 2023

After an offseason that saw the Jets completely remake their offense, they have added one final piece that could put them over the top. New York is high on second-year running back Breece Hall, but early in the season, he is still going to be slowed by last year’s knee injury.

The signing of Dalvin Cook gives the Jets cover for Hall in the short term and a terrific tandem of running backs for later in the season. There is no time like the present in New York. This is a team built to win now, and the signing of Cook for $8.6 million for one season is about winning a division and making a Super Bowl run.

New York is +270 to win the AFC East, which puts them second behind the Buffalo Bills. But they are -130 to make the playoffs. This kind of opportunity doesn’t come along often for the Jets, and Cook will help make sure they don’t waste it.

Pay Per Head Software

The second week of the NFL preseason kicks off on Thursday; in two weeks, we have college football, and then it’s the NFL regular season, the baseball postseason, and the NBA and NHL.

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WagerHome BlogRunning Back Additions in the AFC East
NFL

NFL Preseason Week 1 Kicks Off

by WagerHome Blog on August 10, 2023

Last week’s NFL Hall of Fame Game was just a teaser. An amuse-bouche, if you will. The tiniest of appetizers to get us ready for the smorgasbord of football to come, the 2023 regular season.

That makes this weekend a full trip to the salad bar with all the fixings. We get 16 NFL preseason games, which amounts to 960 minutes of actual game time over the course of the weekend.

Thursday through Sunday is not a national holiday, but it should be.

Top NFL Games of the Weekend

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Following two games on Thursday, our Friday of preseason football begins with the Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals and Jordan Love taking the quarterback reins in Green Bay.

This will be his first start as QB1, and even though you should never get too carried away regarding preseason performances, Packers fans are going to want to be wowed.

New York Giants (-3) at Detroit Lions

There is no sneaking up on anyone this year for either of these teams. The Giants are coming off a playoff berth, and the Lions are the preseason betting favorite to win the NFC North. How will both teams respond with the higher expectations?

We also get to see how the Giants plan to use new tight end Darren Waller and how the Lions are going to feature first-round draft pick Jahmyr Gibbs. All reports out of camp say that Gibbs is the real deal, and if Detroit does make it back to the playoffs, he will be a big reason why.

NFL Preseason Week 1 Kicks Off

New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

We’re not expected to see Aaron Rodgers on Saturday in Carolina, but we will get our first look at the No. 1 overall pick, Panthers quarterback Bryce Young.

There will be growing pains. There will be interceptions. There will be bad decisions. A lot. But head coach Frank Reich loves his new quarterback, and the growth Young experiences from this weekend through the end of the season will be worth watching.

San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

We probably won’t see much of Jimmy Garoppolo this preseason, with the Raiders expected to be cautious with a previously injured foot. But we should see plenty of Trey Lance for the 49ers as Kyle Shanahan and company try to figure out what kind of future he has in San Francisco.

We’ll also see some Sam Darnold and maybe some Brock Purdy, although that is more of a long shot. Whoever plays for San Francisco, everyone will be watching. It’s been a long time since one of the Super Bowl favorites was so unsettled at quarterback.

Pay Per Head Software

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NFL Special Props for 2023

NFL Special Props for 2023

by WagerHome Blog on July 21, 2023

NFL training camps opened this week, and by early next week, all 32 teams will be conducting full-squad practices as they get ready for another season of professional football. For us, that means another season of NFL wagers and fun prop bets to get us ready for September’s kickoff.

Justin Fields – Chicago Bears

Bears quarterback Justin Fields is hoping to take another big step this season, and the special props are ready for it.

4,750 combined passing and rushing yards (+150)

This is a lot of total yards for a quarterback, and it would be more than 1,400 above his 2022 output. But he is a special player with an incredibly high ceiling. Have the Bears added enough around him to allow this kind of a leap.

400-plus passing yards in any one game (+225)

This is a bet that is more likely to happen than the season bet above. In a division with the high-scoring Lions and with games against the Chiefs, Chargers, and Cardinals, a one-game shootout where Fields goes crazy isn’t that far-fetched.

New York Jets

We’re going to get a lot of the Jets this season, thanks to the move to New York by Aaron Rodgers. They are going to be this year’s “Hard Knocks” team, and they have some of the most tempting special season props.

Aaron Rodgers: 4000-plus passing yards and Jets make playoffs (+160)

On the surface, this seems like an easy bet. Rodgers has gone over 4,000 yards 10 times in his career and 11 times he’s been to the playoffs. But he was under 4,000 yards in 2022, and the Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2009.

Garrett Wilson: 175-plus receiving yards in any one game (+275)

After winning Rookie of the Year, expectations for Garrett Wilson are off the charts. He’s an incredible talent, and Rodgers will help move him into the class of elite wide receivers.

NFL Special Props for 2023

All of that is true, and what is also true is that 175 yards is a tall order. In 2021 the Rodgers to Davante Adams connections went over 175 only once. It also only happened once in 2020 and once in 2019. Just three times in 108 games together.

Rodgers and Wilson will have many big games together this season, but to go over 175 yards is a tall order and not all that likely to happen.

Dalvin Cook’s Next NFL Team

  • Patriots (+150)
  • Dolphins (+200)
  • Jets (+400)
  • Broncos (+1500)

Dalvin Cook is a 27-year-old four-time Pro Bowler, and he will have a team by the end of training camp. The odds suggest quite strongly that it will be in the AFC East, but not with the Bills, where his brother James plays.

Pay Per Head Software

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NFL Draft Betting Preview

NFL Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 25, 2023

The biggest sporting event of the week is Thursday’s NFL Draft, which is expected to have more than 300,000 fans in attendance at Kansas City’s Union Station, and another 10-plus million people watching on television.

The Aaron Rodgers trade has been completed, and it will change things for Thursday and Friday. The two teams swap first round picks, giving Green Bay the No. 13 pick and the Jets the No. 15 pick.

The Packers also get a second round pick (No. 42), a sixth round pick (No. 207), and a second round pick in 2024 that will move to a first round pick if Rodgers plays 65% of the snaps.

Along with the QB in question, the Jets get Green Bay’s fifth round pick this year (No. 170).

With at least one big draft day trade off the table, the betting markets are heating up.

NFL Draft – First Overall Pick

  • Bryce Young (-2000)
  • C.J. Stroud (+900)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1500)

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young is now the heavy favorite to go No. 1 overall to Carolina. Just a couple of weeks ago, this was supposed to be a close race.

Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is now playing +900, and Florida QB Anthony Richardson is third at +1500. No one else is a real possibility.

NFL Draft Betting Preview

NFL Draft – Second Overall Pick

  • Will Levis (-130)
  • Tyree Wilson (+240)
  • C.J. Stroud (+275)
  • Will Anderson (+285)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1800)

What is happening at No. 2, the pick currently owned by the Texans? There was talk that Houston would skip on a quarterback and take the best defensive player available, which was going to be Will Anderson from Alabama. But now Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson is above him, and Kentucky quarterback Will Levis has somehow risen to the top.

NFL Draft – Third Overall Pick

  • C.J. Stroud (+230)
  • Tyree Wilson (+250)
  • Will Anderson (+250)
  • Paris Johnson Jr. (+350)
  • Anthony Richardson (+500)
  • Will Levis (+900)

The Arizona Cardinals currently own the No. 3 overall pick, so if Stroud really does go here, it is likely to be after a trade. But Arizona has a lot of needs, so Wilson, Anderson, or offensive tackle Paris Johnson Jr. would all make sense.

NFL Draft – Quarterbacks Taken in First Round

  • Over 4.5 (-200)
  • Under 4.5 (+250)

We can get to four first round quarterbacks quite easily, with Young, Stroud, Richardson, and Levis. If there is going to be a fifth quarterback taken, it would likely be Hendon Hooker from Tennessee or Tanner McKee from Stanford.

Pay Per Head Software

So many potential NFL Draft bets, while at the same time, we have the NBA and NHL Playoffs, a full schedule of baseball, NASCAR, golf, MMA, and more. If you are an independent bookmaker trying to stay on top of it all, you need a top pay per head software provider in your corner.

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NFL

NFL Betting Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on January 25, 2023

We had 272 regular season games, there have been ten postseason games, and we are now down to three games left. Two of those three are this Sunday, giving the NFL bettors one last weekend to wager on multiple games.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

The first game on Sunday is for the NFC Championship. This is the third trip to this game in four years for the 49ers, and this is the Eagle’s first NFC Championship appearance since they won the Super Bowl five years ago.

These are the two best teams in the NFC, and this is the matchup that most NFL fans have been hoping to see since the 49ers began their 12-game winning streak. San Francisco has the best scoring defense in the NFL. The Eagles are eighth. The Eagles have the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, while the 49ers are sixth.

On both sides of the ball, it is strength on strength, and on the sidelines, we have two of the finalists for NFL Coach of the Year. In two years, Nick Sirianni has taken the four-win Eagles to a 14-win team that is one win from the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan twice lost his starting quarterback this season but has his team one win from their second Super Bowl appearance in four years.

This is going to be a classic game between two teams playing at their peaks. But the edge has to go to Philadelphia because quarterback Jalen Hurts played like an MVP. Brock Purdy is just making the ninth start of his career.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5)

The Chiefs avoided total disaster with the injury to Patrick Mahomes in the Divisional Round. It looked like the kind of tackle that resulted in a broken leg. Instead, it was just sprained ankle, albeit of the high ankle sprain variety, which is the most serious of sprained ankles.

Patrick Mahomes will play this Sunday against the Bengals in the rematch of last year’s AFC Championship, won by Cincinnati in overtime. But he will be far less mobile than normal and not quite the Mahomes we’re used to seeing. And this is where having Andy Reid as your head coach is so valuable. If anyone can create a game plan that succeeds with Mahomes staying in the pocket, it is Reid.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals rolled to victory over the Bills last week and are playing excellent football. But the offensive line is banged up, and the Chiefs finished second in the NFL in sacks this season. Where Buffalo failed, the Chiefs will succeed, and Burrow will face just enough pressure to open the door for Kansas City to avenge last year’s loss.

Pay Per Head Software

WeWe’ve’ot two great games and four teams that could all lift the Lombardi Trophy on February 12. Independent bookmakers, this is the weekend to join forces with a top pay-per-head software provider like WagerHome.com.

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