Palmetto Championship at Congaree Betting Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2021

Following the stunning developments over the weekend that saw Jon Rahm forced to withdraw from the Memorial Tournament with the third-round lead because of a positive COVID-19 test, the PGA Tour is back in South Carolina with the Palmetto Championship because the RBC Canadian Open has been canceled for the second year in a row because of COVID-19.

So as much as the PGA Tour has hummed along more than a year after the pandemic first hit, the news of the day stands as a reminder that the Tour continues to deal with COVID on a daily basis.

As for this week’s stand-in course, Congaree was more than happy to step up and fill the void as it seeks to find a hosting gig for the President’s Cup in 2022.

Favorites to Win Palmetto Championship

  • Dustin Johnson (+800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+800)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+1400)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1800)
  • Sungjae Im (+2000)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
  • Harris English (+2800)
  • Ian Poulter (+3500)
  • Lucas Glover (+4000)
  • Brandt Snedeker (+4000)

A week before the U.S. Open and one week after the Memorial would normally mean a field low on big-name talent. Not so this week at the newly contested Palmetto Championship, where local golfer Dustin Johnson, the number one player in the world, will tee it up for one final tune-up before golf’s third major of the season. He is atop the favorites board at +800.

Joining him at the top is Brooks Koepka, making his first start since the PGA Championship. For Koepka, this weekend will be more about golf since his feuding partner Bryson DeChambeau isn’t in the field. DeChambeau has openly complained about the heckling he received last week at Muirfield and Koepka egging it on with his social media posts. It will be interesting to see if there is any blowback on Koepka this week in South Carolina.

The First Look: Palmetto Championship at Congaree

The PGA Tour is back in South Carolina with the Palmetto Championship, as the RBC Canadian Open has been canceled for the second year in a row because of COVID.

Underdogs to Consider

The rest of the field is weaker, meaning the tournament is primed to see someone rise up from the ranks of the dark horses and make a run for the victory.

Alexander Noren is one such possibility, paying +4000. He had the second-best final round of the Memorial, climbing up to 13th at the tournament’s end. He also comes equipped with a strong short game and good distance off the tee, which should play well at Congaree.

Lucas Glover is another +4000 worth considering because of his familiarity with the course. While most of the field has no experience at Congaree, Glover is a Clemson product who has played the course multiple times.

Also, give a look to J.T. Poston, paying +10000. His swing coach is the Director of Golf for the Congaree Foundation, and no doubt he will have all of the pertinent course tips in his caddy’s notes.

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WagerHome BlogPalmetto Championship at Congaree Betting Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses

Betting Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses for the Memorial Tournament

by WagerHome Blog on June 1, 2021

The PGA Tour heads to Ohio and one of the most prestigious non-major tournaments of the season, the Memorial Tournament. Muirfield Village Golf Club, the site of the Memorial, was designed by the great Jack Nicklaus, and the event is hosted by him each year.

The event is known for its long rough, fast greens and top-flight field.

Favorites to Win 2021 Memorial

  • Jon Rahm (+1000)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1600)
  • Justin Thomas (+1600)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2000)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Fans will be permitted at the Memorial Tournament, just not many of them

The PGA Tour heads to Ohio and one of the most prestigious non-major tournaments of the season, the Memorial Tournament.

The top of the favorites board looks like the tournament history page. Jon Rahm, the betting favorite, won this event in 2020. Bryson DeChambeau, tied for second on the board with Rory McIlroy, was the winner here in 2018. And Patrick Cantlay, who rounds out the top 10 favorites, was the Memorial champion in 2019.

Keep an eye on Viktor Hovland at +1800. He has two third-place finishes in his last three tournaments, and he is the Tour’s current scoring leader. If ever there was someone on the cusp of notching his first big win, it’s the 23-year-old Hovland.

Also, take a look at Justin Thomas. He hasn’t been in the top 10 since THE PLAYERS in March, but he’s one of the best iron players in the world, and that is the key to taming any of the Nicklaus courses. He also notched a top 5 at the Memorial as recently as 2017.

Underdogs to Consider

Louis Oosthuizen is paying +3300 in spite of his recent runner-up status at the PGA Championship. He also leads the Tour this season in strokes gained and putting. A golfer as hot as Oosthuizen shouldn’t have such good betting value.

Patrick Reed at +4000 is also a very good value play. He missed the cut last week at Colonial, but Reed actually plays his best golf following a missed cut. He missed the cut at The American Express in January, then won the very next week at Torrey Pines. He also missed the cut at the Valspar, then finished tied for sixth the next week at the Wells Fargo.

He also has been in the top 10 in two of his last four tournaments at Muirfield.

At 44-years-old and paying +5000, it’s easy to ignore Charley Hoffman. Although when you considered just a week ago, he finished tied for third at Colonial, and a month before that, he was second at the Valero Texas Open, and he’s been in the top 20 for six straight tournaments, that +5000 looks very enticing.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses for the Memorial Tournament

PGA Championship Betting Favorites, Darkhorses, and Underdogs

by WagerHome Blog on May 18, 2021

It’s a big weekend in what has been an excellent first half of the season on the PGA Tour. The PGA Championship is here, the second major of the year, and it’s at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina for the first time since 2012.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

  • Rory McIlroy (+1150)
  • Jon Rahm (+1450)
  • Justin Thomas (+1450)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1450)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1650)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1700)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1850)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2000)
  • Daniel Berger (+3000)
  • Collin Morikawa (+3000)

Your eyes do not deceive you. That is Rory McIlroy on top of the favorites board. After 18 months without a win and becoming a forgotten man on tour, McIlroy just won at the Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow, and the betting public is once again on McIlroy to win.

He did miss the cut at the Masters and THE PLAYERS Championship and finished tied for 33rd in last season’s PGA Championship. So buyers be a little wary. Does one win cure all? Maybe not. But the last time the PGA Championship was played on this course, McIlroy won by eight strokes.

This is a long course, so naturally, Bryson DeChambeau is in the running. He was a top-10 finisher at the Wells Fargo, but this past weekend he struggled to a 55th place finish at the Byron Nelson.

Dustin Johnson is still the world’s No. 1 ranked player, but here he’s only seventh. He’s not been great this year, but if you’re looking for a favorite to bet, DJ comes with real value.

If you’re looking for a breakthrough candidate to win his first major, give Daniel Berger a look at +3000. This season he won at Pebble Beach, was top 10 at THE PLAYERS, and tied for third at the Byron Nelson.

Underdogs to Consider

Brooks Koepka is recovering from knee surgery, but as a two-time PGA Championship winner, it’s hard to resist his +5000 payday.

Keegan Bradley was second at Valspar, was just one round away from going top-10 at the Wells Fargo, and is a past PGA Championship winner. He also finished third when the PGA was at this course and is paying a very enticing +7000.

If you really want to take a chance, think about Sergio Garcia at +11000. He missed his last three cuts but started with a 68 at the Heritage and a 65 at the Byron Nelson, and he has 12 top-five finishes at major championships.

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship Betting Favorites, Darkhorses, and Underdogs

AT&T Byron Nelson Favorites, Dark Horses, and Underdogs

by WagerHome Blog on May 10, 2021

Here’s a brief piece on the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Favorites, Dark Horses, and Underdogs. A year off the schedule because of COVID-19, the AT&T Byron Nelson returns in 2021 in a new home, the TPC Craig Ranch, just north of Dallas, Texas.

As the world’s golfers get in their final tune-ups for the PGA Championship, a number of the world’s top golfers will be competing in Texas.

Favorites to Win AT&T Byron Nelson

  • Dustin Johnson (+1000)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1000)
  • Jon Rahm (+1000)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1200)
  • Daniel Berger (+1800)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2000)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2000)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+2500)
  • Marc Leishman (2800)

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson leads the field at the Byron Nelson, and even though he hasn’t finished in the top 10 since back in February, he is the favorite to win here. He’s currently ninth in driving distance and seventh in scoring average, so the play has been what you expect from the 2020 Masters champion. But his last time out at the Valspar Championship, DJ finished tied for 48th.

Bryson DeChambeau appeared to turn the corner last week after a rough patch that saw him finish tied for 46th at the Masters. He finished in the top 10 at the Wells Fargo Championship after thinking he’d missed the cut on Friday and actually leaving town. He then took a red-eye flight back to Charlotte, made his tee time on Saturday, and put together his two best rounds – back-to-back 68s – since October.

It’s been four weeks since Hideki Matsuyama won the Masters and four weeks of being celebrated as the conquering hero back in Japan. His month even included being the guest of honor for the Prime Minister of Japan.

He is now back in the U.S. and getting in a final tournament before trying to win a second consecutive major.
Underdogs With Value

The eyes of the golf world have been on Will Zalatoris (+2800) since his runner-up finish at the Masters, and this might be the week he gets his first win. He’s a Dallas native and first played in the Byron Nelson back in 2018.

Aaron Wise (+6600) is another under-the-radar golfer coming into the weekend playing good golf. He was a top 10 finisher at the Wells Fargo Championship and saved his best rounds for Saturday and Sunday. He has two top 10 finishes, five finishes in the top 25, and he won the Byron Nelson back in 2018.

Sung Kang (+35000) beat a somewhat weak field when he won the Byron Nelson in 2019. It’s a new course, so most previous Byron Nelson results are hard to judge. But Kang is a member at TPC Craig Ranch and knows the course better than anyone in the field.

There are other golfers out there who might make a buzz in the tournament, so don’t be surprised if one gets ahead of the pack.

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WagerHome BlogAT&T Byron Nelson Favorites, Dark Horses, and Underdogs

Favorites, Darkhorses, and Underdogs for the Wells Fargo Championship

by WagerHome Blog on May 4, 2021

After a cancellation a year ago, the Wells Fargo Championship is back. And while last weekend’s field at the Valspar Championship was a little light on big names, this week at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, 10 of the top 15 golfers in the world will be teeing it up for the $8.1 million purse.

With just two tuneups left before the PGA Championship in South Carolina, the golfing world has descended upon North Carolina to get itself ready.

Odds to Win Wells Fargo Championship

Justin Thomas (+800)

Jon Rahm (+900)

Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)

Xander Schauffele (+1600)

Viktor Hovland (+1800)

Rory McIlroy (+1800)

Webb Simpson (+1800)

Tony Finau (+2500)

Patrick Cantlay (+2800)

Patrick Reed (+2800)

Will Zalatoris (+2800)

Justin Thomas was the betting favorite last week and he ended up tied for 13th. He’s the favorite once again, and now in an even better field, and his +800 number doesn’t justify the risk of placing a bet. 

Rory McIlroy is the course record holder here with his -21 back in 2015. At +1800 he’s among the favorites, but still provides solid betting value. This is also where he won his first ever PGA Tour event back in 2010, and despite his recent struggles, he is a different golfer on this course.

It’s hard not to be a fan of Will Zalatoris after his incredible run at Augusta, and no doubt he is playing well. But if you are looking to bet on Zalatoris at +2800, you really should put that money toward Patrick Reed or Patrick Cantlay, also at +2800. Reed is the seventh ranked golfer in the world and Cantlay is ranked 11th, and both are much better bets to win in a solid field like this.

wells fargo betting

Wells Fargo – Best Value Underdogs

If you’re looking to bet someone outside the top 10, think about Max Homa and his +3400 payout. He won at this tournament the last time it was played (2019) and was incredible on the greens. He’s also playing well currently, with six top-25 finishes in his last eight tournaments, a win at the Genesis Invitational, and sixth place finish last week at Valspar.

Also, give Keegan Bradley a look. He’s coming off a second place finish at Valspar and two tournaments ago at the Zurich Classic he tied for fourth. And better yet, he’s completely under the radar this week and paying +5000.

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WagerHome BlogFavorites, Darkhorses, and Underdogs for the Wells Fargo Championship

Masters 2021 picks: Expert predictions

by WagerHome Blog on April 6, 2021

Gone from the calendar last April, the Masters is back in its traditional spot of opening up the spring. In just a few days, we will hear Jim Nantz welcome us to the “tradition unlike any other” as the best golfers in the world tee it up for the first major championship of the season.

It also marks the first time since November that we get to place wagers on a major championship, and these are your Masters betting favorites to begin the week.

2021 Masters Favorites

  • Dustin Johnson (+900)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1000)
  • Justin Thomas (+1000)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1100)
  • Jon Rahm (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2500)
  • Patrick Reed (+2800)

The world’s number one player and the Masters champion when this tournament was played in November, Dustin Johnson is the obvious betting favorite here. He’s been in the top five at Augusta for five straight years, and it would be shocking if Johnson wasn’t in contention on Sunday.

A week ago, 2015 champion Jordan Spieth was paying at +1400 and was fifth on the list of favorites. On Sunday, however, he just won his first event in almost four years at the Valero Texas Open, and now he’s second on the list behind Johnson.

The other interesting story among the Masters betting favorites is Brooks Koepka. Just three weeks ago, he had surgery to repair a dislocated kneecap, and we weren’t sure he was going to be here. It’s why the second-place finisher in 2019 is only paying +2500.

Others to Watch

Sergio Garcia has gone from a Masters champion in 2017 to +5000 in 2021. That is good value for a player who right now is at the top of his game. He finished in the top 10 at The Players Championship and tied for fifth at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event.

masters betting

Another golfer who is playing a lot better than his number would indicate is Matt Kuchar at +8000. He finished in third place at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event and tied for 12th place at the Valero Texas Open. Kuchar has never won a major despite finishing in the top 10 at all four events, but he is definitely worth a look at such a good value.

A real dark horse, but one worth considering, is Si-woo Kim at +10000. He doesn’t have a great history at Augusta (21st in 2019), which is why he is paying so much. But he did win The American Express in January and finished in the top 10 at Sawgrass in March, which is why you should consider him.

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WagerHome BlogMasters 2021 picks: Expert predictions

Betting Odds to Win WGC Dell Technologies Match Play

by WagerHome Blog on March 23, 2021

The PGA Tour makes a stop in Austin, Texas, this week for the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play, the only match play event on the PGA calendar. It is a field of the best golfers in the world, with 59 of the top 64 ranked players participating in this week’s event.

Only Brooks Koepka, Adam Scott, Gary Woodland, and Justin Rose opted to skip the tournament, and Tiger Woods will, of course, also be absent.

Favorites to Win WGC Dell Technologies

  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Jon Rahm (+1400)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1400)
  • Rory McIlroy (+2000)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)
  • Sungjae Im (+2500)
  • Patrick Reed (+2500)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2500)
  • Paul Casey (+2500)

Tournament Format

The field of 64 golfers is split into 16 foursomes, with each of the four golfers playing a round robin against one another Wednesday through Friday.

The winner of each foursome will then advance to the quarterfinals, and a single-elimination bracket will be set, with both the quarters and semifinals being played on Saturday. The championship match and the third-place match will take place on Sunday, with $1.8 million going to the winner.

Foursomes to Watch

Dustin Johnson is the number one golfer in the world and was a winner at this event in 2017, and his group includes Kevin Na, Robert MacIntyre, and Adam Long.

The winner at Sawgrass, Justin Thomas, is the betting favorite to win in Austin, but his group is far from an easy road. Louis Oosthuizen finished third at the U.S. Open in September and just finished sixth at the WGC Workday Championship.

Kevin Kisner is the third member of the group, and he was the winner of this event in 2019. The fourth member of this foursome is Matt Kuchar, who was the runner-up to Kisner in 2019, the last time this event was held.

dell technologies match play

A good longshot opportunity is with Scottie Scheffler (+4000) in a foursome that includes Jason Day, Xander Schauffele, and Andy Sullivan. Scheffler went to college at the University of Texas, so this is a bit of homecoming for him.

Also, Schauffele is the highest-ranked golfer in the group, but he finished 39th at the WGC Workday Championship and is coming off a missed cut at The Players Championship.

It’s also worth taking a look at Brian Harman (+7000) in a group with Patrick Cantlay, Hideki Matsuyama, and Carlos Ortiz. Harman is coming off a third-place finish at The Players Championship, and it’s worth noting that the designer of TPC Sawgrass, Pete Dye, also designed the course at Austin Country Club.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win WGC Dell Technologies Match Play

What Underdogs Have a Chance at The Players Championship?

by WagerHome Blog on March 10, 2021

It’s hard to call any of the 154 players who will be at TPC Sawgrass this weekend for The Players Championship underdogs. A record-tying 113 of them are PGA Tour winners, and 10 of them have won this tournament before.

Often called golf’s “fifth major,” the qualifying standards ensure that this is the best field of the year. To get in, you need to win a major or other designated tournament, be ranked in the top 50 in the world, be in the top 10 in FedEx Cup points, or be a leading money winner.

And if that doesn’t fill out the 154-golfer field, the rest of the FedEx Cup list, up to place 125, will be used.

It’s a great field, a tough course, and there are a number of great value bets that might walk away as the champion.

Paul Casey (+4500)

Paul Casey just finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational despite a 2-over-par 74 on Sunday, and he finished in fifth place at Pebble Beach back in February. That followed an eighth-place finish at The American Express in January.

As the 19th-ranked player in the world, +4500 is good value for a hot Casey.

Danny Willett (+35000)

Danny Willett is on our radar because of the big number the oddsmakers have put next to his name. He doesn’t have a great history at Sawgrass with four missed cuts. But +35000 is way too high for a golfer who has a green jacket from Augusta.

Willett is coming off a 31st-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but in truth, he was much better than that. Without a final round 77, he would have finished in the top 20.

Ryan Moore (+27500)

In a field of overachieving golfers, Ryan Moore might be the clearest underdog of the bunch. His 2021 reads missed cut, missed cut, missed cut, tied for 26th. So yeah, Moore isn’t rolling into The Players Championship on a wave of great golf.

underdogs

But the Stadium Course at Sawgrass is unique, knowledge of the course is key, and Moore has logged 46 competitive rounds at The Players. In the last two tournaments here in 2018 and 2019, Moore finished at -8 and -9, which included a top 20 finish and a round of 66, which is just three off the course record.

Is he going to win? It’s highly unlikely. But he’s at his best when he’s playing here, and that potential payoff is too good to resist.

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WagerHome BlogWhat Underdogs Have a Chance at The Players Championship?

Who Will Win The Players Championship?

by WagerHome Blog on March 9, 2021

Other than Pebble Beach and Augusta National, there is no more recognizable American golf course than the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla. The 17th hole “island green” is as iconic as any par-3 in the world.

It’s also the site of one of the most competitive tournaments anywhere in the world, The Players Championship. In fact, the Stadium Course was constructed specifically to host this event and its collection of the best golfers in the world.

There was no champion in 2020, as the event was canceled after Hideki Matsuyama tied the course record with a first-round 63. So the current defending champion is 2019 winner Rory McIlroy.

He is one of 10 total Players Champions in the field this weekend, along with 113 total PGA Tour winners, which is tied for the most in any tournament in 21 years.

This field also has 29 of the top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings and 49 of the top 50 players in the World Golf Rankings.

This field is stacked.

The Players Championship Favorites

  • Dustin Johnson (+1100)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Justin Thomas (+2000)
  • Webb Simpson (+2200)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Tony Finau (+2500)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2500)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2500)

Dustin Johnson is the favorite and the world’s top-ranked player, but he is not one of the 10 players who have won this tournament before. In fact, he’s played in this event 12 times but only finished in the top 10 once, a fifth-place finish in 2019.

Along with his win in 2019, McIlroy has three other top 10 finishes. He is currently ranked eighth in the world and has finished in the top 10 in each of the previous two weeks.

Webb Simpson was the champion here in 2018, but the rest of his history at The Players is checkered. He’s missed the cut four times and finished over par in two other tournaments.

However, he did just finish sixth at the WGC-Workday Championship two weekends ago.

the players

Not on this list, but at +3500, is Matsuyama, who did have that incredible start to the tournament last year before the rest of it was canceled. Matsuyama is ranked 23rd in the world and finished eighth here in 2019 and seventh in 2016.

He hasn’t been in the top 10 in any event since November, but with a good history at Sawgrass, Matsuyama is a good value bet.

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WagerHome BlogWho Will Win The Players Championship?

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 3, 2021

The world has now come full circle in the last year. In 2020, the Arnold Palmer Invitational was the final PGA tournament to be completed before the season was put on a three-month hiatus because of the coronavirus pandemic.

It’s an ignominious anniversary, to be sure, and not one worth celebrating. But what is worth noting is how well the PGA Tour rebounded and how this season, despite the restrictions that remain in place, has gotten off to a great start.

Collin Morikawa, the winner of the PGA Championship a year ago, came out on top at Sunday’s final round of the WGC-Workday Championship. The final round was highlighted by tributes to Tiger Woods, including a number of players who wore Tiger’s signature Sunday red and black.
The Tour now moves to Orlando and the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Favorites to Win

  • Rory McIlroy (+800)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1200)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1200)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+1600)
  • Patrick Reed (+2000)
  • Sungjae Im (+2000)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2200)
  • Paul Casey (+2800)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
  • Francesco Molinari (+2800)
  • Jordan Spieth (+3000)

If last season was any indication, this is a tournament that will be won by those who make the most out of bad shots. The Bay Hill course played at 2-over-par 74 in 2020 – the highest scoring average for a non-major in four years. So it’s not going to come down to who hits the greens, but who does the best when they don’t hit the greens.

That’s why you see Rory McIlroy’s name at the top of the favorites list. He was the 2018 champion here, and he knows how to play this course. And play it well, even when the winds are up, as they were in 2020.

Tyrrell Hatton was the winner at Bay Hill in 2020. He didn’t hit many fairways, but the Englishman is a scrambler, and it makes him another solid bet to do well in 2021. For what it’s worth, the early forecast calls for rain on Saturday, so Hatton will once again feel right at home.

arnold palmer invitational

Francesco Molinari is a great value play at +2800. He won this tournament in 2019 but wasn’t around in 2020 to defend his title because of a back injury. He has 28 career rounds at Bay Hill and has the fourth-best aggregate score in the field. He also just finished inside the top 10 at the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago.

Also, take a look at Jordan Speith at +3000. He has top five finishes at Phoenix and Pebble Beach in 2021 and is making his first-ever appearance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

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WagerHome Blog2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview