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The Open Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 18, 2023

There are 156 of the best golfers in the world competing this weekend at the 151st edition of The Open Championship. It is the oldest tournament in golf by at least 25 years, first played in 1860 as a three-round tournament on a 12-hole links course with eight competing players.

It is still open to all who can qualify, which started in 1861, and it is still links golf, which brings an extra challenge for golfers that they don’t find on courses in the United States.

It also now has a much bigger field, and instead of the original red leather belt with a silver buckle worth £25, the winner gets the Claret Jug (introduced in 1872) and $3 million, a $500,000 increase from last year.

Favorites to Win The Open Championship

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Scottie Scheffler (+700)
Jon Rahm (+1300)
Cameron Smith (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)
Rickie Fowler (+2500)

It’s been a minute since Rory McIlroy came into a major championship with the expectations he has this week. In 2014 he won The Open Championship, then followed that up with a win in the PGA Championship. But since then, it’s been a string of majors (and major) disappointment.

This year in the majors, he has a runner-up and a T7, he has six straight top-10 finishes, he just won the links golf tuneup at the Scottish Open, and this year’s British Open is back at Royal Liverpool, where McIlroy won his Claret Jug nine years ago. The stars are aligning for McIlroy, and he is a deserved co-favorite.

The other golfer at +700 is Scottie Scheffler, the world’s number-one player. In the majors this year, he has finished T10, T2, and third, and he hasn’t finished outside the top-12 in any tournament since last October. His best finish at The Open Championship was a T8 in 2021.

Jon Rahm has four wins this season, including the Masters in April. He was T3 at The Open Championship in 2021. Cameron Smith is the defending champion and is hoping to be the first repeat Open champion since 2008. Five-time major champion Brooks Koepka is hoping to build on his win at the PGA Championship and win his first Claret Jug. He has three PGA Championship wins and wins at the U.S. Open in 2017 and 2018.

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Crayon 301 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2023

This week, we are in for the Crayon 301. One of the best parts about NASCAR racing is the variety. We had a street race in Chicago, last week the drivers were in the rain doing pack racing in Atlanta, and now we’re up north for some short and flat racing in New Hampshire.

You must be able to handle your car in all types of conditions if you are going to come through the Cup Series season as the champion.

Favorites to Win Crayon 301

Martin Truex Jr. (+650)
Christopher Bell (+650)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Denny Hamlin (+850)
William Byron (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Kevin Harvick (+1100)
Chase Elliott (+1100)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1400)

Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell are co-favorites at +650, and both have had a good recent run on this track. Since 2020 Truex has two top-five finishes in three starts and has led for a total of 172 laps over those three races.

Bell has two top-five finishes in three races, including a win here last July. Earlier this season at the short track in Richmond, Bell finished fourth. He was second at Richmond last summer.

Kyle Larson also likes short tracks. He won at Richmond back in April and finished in fifth place there last year. Phoenix is also short and flat, and since 2020 he has a win and two other top-five finishes there. Larson has never won at New Hampshire, but three separate times he has been the runner-up.

William Byron is coming off a win in Atlanta, he is the current Cup leader, and he is bunched with three other drivers at +1100. In five starts at New Hampshire, he has never cracked the top 10, but he had a third-place finish at Richmond last year, and this year he led there for 117 laps.

He was the winner at Phoenix in March, one of his four wins this season, and that could be a sign he’s ready to be in the mix this weekend.

Best Crayon 301 Bet Outside the Top 10

Not listed above is Brad Keselowski, but he really should be on your Crayon 301 betting radar. He’s a two-time winner at New Hampshire, with nine top-five finishes and an average finish since 2020 of third place.

Best of all, he is paying +1800 to win and +250 to finish in the top-five. He’s been 50/50 on top-five finishes over his last eight races here, so +250 is excellent value.

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Scottish Open 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 11, 2023

The Scottish Open 2023 is finally here! Last week’s John Deere Classic was missing most of the stars on the PGA Tour. This week at the Barbasol Championship, there is almost no one of any note playing.

That’s because the best players in the world have already made their move over to the UK. They are either prepping for The Open Championship in around Liverpool, or they are in Scotland, acclimating to the weather and links golf by playing in the Scottish Open.

Odds to Win the Scottish Open

Scottie Scheffler (+650)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Xander Schauffele (+1400)
Patrick Cantlay (+1400)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Tyrrell Hatton (+1800)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)
Rickie Fowler (+2000)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2500)
Jordan Spieth (+2500)

Missing from this list of favorites is Jon Rahm, as he gets ready for The Open on his own and away from this star-studded field. He is one of two top-10 golfers in the world that isn’t playing at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, located about 20 miles outside of Edinburgh.

Scottie Scheffler is here, and he is the favorite. He missed the cut at the Scottish Open last year, although he was terrific here in 2021. Looking ahead to next week, he is only the second betting favorite for The Open.

That’s because next week’s favorite is Rory McIlroy, the No. 2 betting favorite in Scotland. McIlroy has played here in two of the last three years, with only a 34th-place finish to show for it.

But he’s playing with confidence, and next week he will be playing in The Open at the same place he won in 2014. Consequently, that was the last time he won one of golf’s majors.

Xander Schauffele is an obvious third betting favorite, if not deserving of even higher. He won this tournament last year by shooting the low round of the day on both Friday and Saturday. He also has top-10 finishes at the Masters and U.S. Open this year, and he’s coming off a -14 at the Travelers Championship.

Next week at The Open, he’s tied for sixth on the betting board at +2000.

Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick is also worth your time. He started off his season of majors with a T10 at the Masters and just recently had a T17 at the U.S. Open. But why you should like him is how he has done specifically in this event.

He was T6 here last year, T2 in 2021, and T14 in 2019. He knows this course, and he excels in the bad weather that usually comes with playing in this part of the world.

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UFC 290 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 6, 2023

It’s International Fight Week at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, the busiest week of the year in the UFC, the kickoff to the summer fighting schedule, and the home of two championship bouts.

Brandon Moreno-Alexandre Pantoja Odds

Moreno Win (-190)
Moreno by KO/TKO (+275)
Moreno by Submission (+800)
Moreno by Decision (+150)

Pantoja Win (+160)
Pantoja by KO/TKO (+900)
Pantoja by Submission (+425)
Pantoja by Decision (+400)

Twice Brandon Moreno has won the flyweight title, with the most recent win coming in January when he beat former champion Deiveson Figueiredo. But he is also looking at a history in which he has lost twice to Alexandre Pantoje.

Pantoje was victorious by submission when they met in 2016, and then two years later he won by unanimous decision. It’s been five years now since they fought, and as you can see from the odds, that UFC history, while nice, doesn’t tip the odds to Pantoje. Moreno is a better fighter now, and he’s a good bet to hold on to his belt beyond Saturday’s match.

Volkanovski-Rodriguez Odds

Volkanovski Win (-400)
Volkanovski by KO/TKO (+150)
Volkanovski by Submission (+1000)
Volkanovski by Decision (+125)

Rodriguez Win (+300)
Rodriguez by KO/TKO (+550)
Rodriguez by Submission (+1400)
Rodriguez by Decision (+1000)

After a flirtation at lightweight, which almost saw him beat champion Islam Makhachev, Alexander Volkanovski is back to featherweight and 145 pounds. And that is where he is dominant, and why he is a heavy UFC favorite to win the unification belt on Saturday.

A win here pretty much wraps up his possible accomplishments at 145 pounds, and it is likely that we see take another crack at 155 with a rematch against Makhachev. But before he gets to that, he needs to take care of business against Yair Rodriguez. The 30-year-old native Mexican has a resume of big wins – Dan Hooker, Andre Fili, and B.J. Penn – and his only two losses have come against top flight fighters.

Volkanovski is the deserved favorite, but at +300 there is value in a bet on Rodriguez.

Top Undercard Matches

Robert Whittaker (-375) vs. Dricus du Plessis (+290)

The middleweight title belongs to Israel Adesanya, but both Robert Whittaker and Dricus du Plessis hope to be the one who gets to fight him for the title in Sydney. Win, and a title bout is yours.

Dan Hooker (+225) vs. Jalin Turner (-275)

Finishing is the name of the game for Dan Hooker and Jalin Turner. These two fighters have an 89% finishing rate in their combined 35 wins.

Robbie Lawler (+200) vs. Niko Price (-250)

After 22 years and 29 wins, Robbie Lawler says goodbye to the UFC with one final fight against 15-fight winner, Niko Price.

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MLB All-Star Festivities Taking Shape

by WagerHome Blog on July 3, 2023

Next week the best of Major League Baseball will descend upon the city of Seattle for the Home Run Derby on Monday and the MLB All-Star Game on Tuesday.

We don’t yet have the full list of Home Run Derby participants, but we do know for sure who won’t be there. The Braves Ronald Acuna Jr., the MVP favorite in the National League, says he will skip this event this year.

Acuna said;

“I think there are other players out there that deserve to be a part of it and be showcased.”

He did say, however, that he might participate again in the coming years.

Confirmed Home Run Derby Participants

Julio Rodriguez – Seattle Mariners
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Toronto Blue Jays
Mookie Betts – Los Angeles Dodgers
Randy Arozarena – Tampa Bay Rays
Pete Alonso – New York Mets

The biggest name here is Pete Alonso, who has twice won this event (2019 and 2021) and absolutely loves participating. He will be looking to reclaim the title he lost at Dodger Stadium last year when he was knocked out in the second round by Julio Rodriguez.

Rodriguez lost in the finals last year to Juan Soto, 19-18, but this year he will have the Mariners crowd behind him, and he will be hitting in his home park.

Juan Soto has yet to confirm one way or the other on participating, and neither has current home run leader Shohei Ohtani. The Japanese star and heavy American League MVP favorite participated in the event in 2021 and was knocked out by Juan Soto.

When the full field is announced, the betting odds for the Home Run Derby will be released.

MLB All-Star Rosters

The aforementioned Ohtani headlines the American League roster, making the MLB All-Star team as both a DH and pitcher. He leads the Majors in home runs and RBI as a hitter, and he leads the American League in strikeout rate as a pitcher.

The first-place Rangers have four starters for the A.L., the Rays have two, and joining Ohtani is teammate Mike Trout.

In the National League, eight Atlanta Braves will be on the team, including three starters. The Dodgers have five players, and it’s the fourth straight year they have had at least five.

The biggest snub in the A.L. is Rays shortstop Wander Franco, an exceptional defensive player, and base stealer, and he is second in WAR to just Ohtani. At only 22, he’s going to be an MLB All-Star many times over in his career, but he should be one this year.

The biggest N.L. snub is Fernando Tatis Jr. The Padres have underperformed, and he is coming off a PED suspension, but he also ranks ninth in all of baseball in slugging, and he’s having an MLB All-Star caliber season.

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Baseball Betting Odds at the Halfway Point

by WagerHome Blog on June 29, 2023

Following Wednesday’s slate of baseball games, 11 of the Major League Baseball’s 30 teams have played at least 81 games. By the end of this weekend, that number will include all 30 teams.

With the calendar ticking over to July on Saturday and baseball hitting the halfway pole, it’s a good time to see where your baseball futures bets stand.

World Series Champion

Atlanta Braves (+350)
Tampa Bay Rays (+475)
Los Angeles Dodgers (+600)
Houston Astros (+1000)
Texas Rangers (+1100)
New York Yankees (+1300)

The Braves are your clubhouse leader through the first half of the baseball season, but the hot start by the Rays has not cooled down. They are the top favorite in the American League. The Dodgers have fallen into third place in the National League West, but they are still a top World Series favorite.

American League MVP Award

Shohei Ohtani (-1200)
Corey Seager (+3000)
Wander Franco (+4000)

To be this big of a favorite with so much season still to go underscores just how special Shohei Ohtani is. As a batter, he leads the league in home runs and RBI, and as a pitcher, he is second in strikeouts, 10th in ERA, and first in batting average against. A true unicorn.

National League MVP Award

Ronald Acuna Jr. (-190)
Corbin Carroll (+750)
Freddie Freeman (+750)
Luis Arraez (+2200)

Going 30-30 has been a benchmark of a great all-around offensive season. How about 30-70? That is what Ronald Acuna Jr. is on pace to do. He has 36 stolen bases and 19 home runs at the halfway point, and his OPS of .993 leads the National League.

American League Cy Young

Shane McClanahan (+265)
Framber Valdez (+300)
Kevin Gausman (+450)
Gerrit Cole (+600)
Shohei Ohtani (+1100)

This is a tight race, but being in the first place helps the Rays’ Shane McClanahan, as does his American League-leading ERA and 11-1 record. Houston’s Framber Valdez is second in ERA, while Toronto’s Kevin Gausman leads the league in strikeouts.

Ohtani is playing the fifth shortest odds to win his first Cy Young.

National League Cy Young

Zac Gallen (-165)
Clayton Kershaw (+425)
Spencer Strider (+750)
Zack Wheeler (+1200)
Logan Webb (+1200)

Zac Gallen is 10-2, and he has the Arizona Diamondbacks in first place. Chasing him and Arizona is Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kershaw is the last player to win the Cy Young and MVP in the same season. That was 2014, his third of three Cy Young wins.

Atlanta’s Spencer Strider leads all of baseball in strikeouts.

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Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 27, 2023

It is time for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. Read on to find out which golfer will come out on top!

We still have a couple of more weeks of the PGA Tour playing stateside before everyone heads across the Atlantic for the Scottish Open and then The Open Championship. The final major of the year is being held in Liverpool, England.

For now, we are in the land of Motown, before we head to the home of the Beatles. It is the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club, a course that has been around since 1899, but it is a newbie on the circuit. It was introduced to the PGA Tour just four years ago when Nate Lashley went -25 to win.

Favorites to Win Rocket Mortgage Classic

Tony Finau (+1200)
Rickie Fowler (+1400)
Collin Morikawa (+1500)
Hideki Matsuyama (+1600)
Max Homa (+1800)
Sungjae Im (+1800)
Justin Thomas (+1800)
Tom Kim (+2200)
Keegan Bradley (+3000)
Harris English (+3300)

It’s not a packed field of great golfers, but 14 of the top 40 golfers in the world are going to be at Rocket Mortgage Classic on Thursday. The highest-ranked of those 14 is Max Homa, coming in at No. 9 overall. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open and Travelers but was T9 at the Charles Schwab and T8 at the Wells Fargo.

Tony Finau is the 14th-ranked player in the world and the defending champion at Rocket Mortgage Classic. It is that fact that has him as the modest favorite to repeat, something that hasn’t been done in the short history here. Since winning the Mexico Open in April, it’s been a tough stretch for Finau, going T23, T72, CUT, T32, and T45.

Also high on the favorites board is Rickie Fowler, who has been red hot since May. He was T6 at the Charles Schwab, T9 at the Memorial, T5 at the U.S. Open, and T13 at the Travelers. And even before missing the cut at the PGA Championship prior to this stretch, he has five other top-15 finishes going back to the Phoenix Open.

Considering recent play, it’s a bit surprising that Finau is paying shorter odds than Fowler, who has made three cuts in four tournaments at the Detroit Golf Club.

Another golfer to keep an eye on is Harris English, at the end of the top 10 favorites. He missed much of 2022 with a torn labrum, but prior to that, he was a top-10 player in the World Golf Rankings, and he was a 2021 Ryder Cup choice.

He’s on the comeback from last year’s surgery, finishing T3 at the Wells Fargo, T12 at the Charles Schwab, and T8 at the U.S. Open.

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NBA Draft 2023 Aftermath

by WagerHome Blog on June 23, 2023

The worst-kept secret in all of sports is now a fact. French sensation Victor Wembanyama is officially a member of the San Antonio Spurs. He was selected with the first overall pick in Thursday night’s NBA Draft, ushering in a new era of basketball in the Alamo City.

The last two times the Spurs had the number one overall pick, they selected David Robinson and Tim Duncan. Both won Rookie of the Year, and both went on to win championships and all-time great status.

The smart money is on Wembanyama to do the same.

Odds to Win NBA Rookie of the Year

Victor Wembanyama (-225)

He is the most talked about prospect since LeBron James. He’s a can’t miss pick for the Spurs, and he will be great from his first NBA game on.

Scoot Henderson (+350)

Thanks to the addition of third overall pick Scoot Henderson, the Portland Trail Blazers may be able to rebuild their team without having to trade Damian Lillard. Henderson is an explosive scorer who comes into the NBA with two years of G League experience under his belt, which should mean that he is dangerous right away.

Chet Holmgren (+375)

Yes, Chet Holmgren of the Oklahoma City Thunder is eligible to win the Rookie of the Year award. The second overall pick in 2022 missed the entire season with a Lisfranc fracture, but he is just as highly touted now as he was a year ago.

The former Gonzaga Bulldog set a summer league record for most blocked shots in a game, and in his summer league debut last year, he had 23 points and six blocks.

Brandon Miller (+950)

As it turns out, the controversy around Alabama’s Brandon Miller did not cost him any draft position. He was the second overall pick of the Charlotte Hornets.

He will also spend his rookie season being compared to Scoot Henderson, the player the Hornets could have gotten instead. Miller is clearly talented, but he’s also slight, which could ding his effectiveness inside.

Amen Thompson (+1500)

The first of the Thompson twins, Amen is the newest member of the Houston Rockets, going to them with the fourth overall pick. He is an incredible athlete and should be great right from the start.

Cam Whitmore (+2000)

Falling to the Rockets with the 20th overall pick was Villanova’s Cam Whitmore. He’s an incredible talent who was expected to be a lottery pick, until reports of a few bad workouts caused him to fall.

Ausar Thompson (+2200)

The other Thompson twin was taken with the fifth overall pick by the Detroit Pistons. Many analysts are calling him at reach at No. 5, but he is a well-rounded basketball player, even without the potential upside of his brother.

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Next Week’s NHL Draft

by WagerHome Blog on June 22, 2023

This week the NBA will select its stars of the future in their two-round draft, and then next week, it is the NHL’s turn to make dreams come true. There will be seven rounds, 224 total picks, and one pick that we have already written in on our draft boards.

Connor Bedard – First Overall Pick

Connor Bedard won’t be 18 until next month, and he won’t officially be a member of the Chicago Blackhawks until Wednesday, June 28. But he will be the first overall pick when the NHL Draft is held in Nashville, and he is a doozy.

Bedard was just named the IIHF’s Male Athlete of the Year to go along with his now three IIHF gold medals. Winning the International Ice Hockey Federation’s award was a guarantee for Bedard after he completed one of the best World Junior Championship tournaments in history.

He was just the fourth player in history to lead the tournament in both goals and assists, and this year for the Regina Pats of the WHL, he scored 143 points in just 57 games.

Chicago is going to get a great one.

Second Overall Pick

Adam Fantilli (-700)
Leo Carlsson (+600)
Matvei Michkov (+1600)
Will Smith (+2500)

Following the pick of center Connor Bedard, another center in Adam Fantilli, is expected to be selected by the Anaheim Ducks with the second NHL Draft pick. As a freshman at Michigan, he scored 63 points in 36 games, and he was awarded the Hobey Baker Award this season as the NCAA’s top men’s player.

Also in the mix is Swedish center Leo Carlsson, the top-ranked European player in the draft.

Third Overall Pick

Leo Carlsson (-180)
Will Smith (+210)
Matvei Michkov (+600)
Adam Fantilli (+700)

The Columbus Blue Jackets own the third NHL Draft pick, and they are expected to grab the 6-foot-3, 18-year-old Carlsson. He was stuck on this wing this year during his professional season in Sweden and his time with the national team during the World Junior Championship. But he says that center is his natural position, and it’s where he’s at his best.

The desire for centers is also why Will Smith is so high on this list. Russian Matvei Michkov is a winger, and the best defenseman in the NHL draft is Austrian David Reinbacher. Smith is the highest-rated American in the group, and if the young center doesn’t go to Columbus with the third overall pick, he should go to San Jose with the fourth pick.

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2024 NBA and NHL Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on June 14, 2023

For the first time in their 47 years in the NBA, the Denver Nuggets are NBA champions. For the first time in the history of Las Vegas, they have a professional sports championship unless you want to count the UNLV basketball team from 1990 coached by Jerry Tarkanian.

We won’t see either champion play again until October, but the betting on the champions for next season is already open.

2024 NBA Champion Favorites

Denver Nuggets (+450)
Boston Celtics (+550)
Milwaukee Bucks (+700)
Phoenix Suns (+900)
Golden State Warriors (+1200)
Los Angeles Lakers (+1200)

Two-time MVP and new NBA champion Nikola Jokic is establishing himself as one of the best players of all-time. He is just 28, and that makes him the oldest of the Nugget’s core. They are the favorites to win another championship because they were easily the best team in the playoffs, and they bring back everyone for another year.

The Boston Celtics are the second betting favorite because of the youth of stars Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. The team around them was a title contender this year, and it will be again a year from now.

The Miami Heat, who beat the Celtics in the NBA Eastern Conference Finals, are only ninth on the favorites list.

2024 Stanley Cup Champion Favorites

Colorado Avalanche (+700)
Vegas Golden Knights (+800)
Carolina Hurricanes (+1000)
Florida Panthers (+1000)
Edmonton Oilers (+1200)
Boston Bruins (+1200)
Dallas Stars (+1200)

Never before has an expansion team won the Stanley Cup as fast as the Vegas Golden Knights. In just their sixth season in existence, Vegas is the Stanley Cup champion. They took out the Florida Panthers in five games, outscoring their Eastern Conference opponent 26-12.

It was a dominant performance, but it was not enough to put them atop the favorites board to repeat as champions next year. That honor belongs to the Colorado Avalanche, the 2022 champion that was undone this last season by a host of injuries.

It’s worth noting that despite the historic season of the Boston Bruins, they are only tied for fifth on this list with the Oilers and Stars – two teams that lost to Vegas in the playoffs. The Bruins set the record this year for most wins in a season with 65, and most points with 135. However, they became the seventh President’s Trophy winner since 2000 to lose in the first round.

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Favorites to Win The Open Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Crayon 301

Best Crayon 301 Bet Outside the Top 10

Pay Per Head Software

Odds to Win the Scottish Open

Pay Per Head Software

Brandon Moreno-Alexandre Pantoja Odds

Volkanovski-Rodriguez Odds

Top Undercard Matches

Robert Whittaker (-375) vs. Dricus du Plessis (+290)

Dan Hooker (+225) vs. Jalin Turner (-275)

Robbie Lawler (+200) vs. Niko Price (-250)

Pay Per Head Software

Confirmed Home Run Derby Participants

MLB All-Star Rosters

Pay Per Head Software

World Series Champion

American League MVP Award

National League MVP Award

American League Cy Young

National League Cy Young

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Rocket Mortgage Classic

Pay Per Head Software

Odds to Win NBA Rookie of the Year

Victor Wembanyama (-225)

Scoot Henderson (+350)

Chet Holmgren (+375)

Brandon Miller (+950)

Amen Thompson (+1500)

Cam Whitmore (+2000)

Ausar Thompson (+2200)

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Connor Bedard – First Overall Pick

Second Overall Pick

Third Overall Pick

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2024 NBA Champion Favorites

2024 Stanley Cup Champion Favorites

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